akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 9·Ohio

Ohio 9th Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

A Lake Erie corridor district anchored by Toledo's blue-collar core

18762024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+7
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
739,684
2024 ACS

Ohio 9th Congressional District, Ohio: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Republican peak: R+38 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
739,6842024 5-year
Median household income
$65,4172024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
75.9%2024 5-year
Black
12.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+31 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38 in 1924MIT Election Lab
D
KAPTUR, Marcia Carolyn (Marcy)Congress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: WEBER, Edward Ford (1981–1983), ASHLEY, Thomas William Ludlow (1979–1981), ASHLEY, Thomas William Ludlow (1977–1979), ASHLEY, Thomas William Ludlow (1975–1977)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

8 counties · 1 D · 7 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−6.7%
163,658187,596357,186
R
−2.9%
174,867185,356366,596
R
−0.4%
165,246166,821359,121
D
+17.7%
213,743147,874371,933
D
+18.9%
225,594152,646385,307
D
+7.3%
204,298176,475381,975
D
+6.2%
168,750148,465327,437
D
+15.8%
164,726114,531316,744
D
+9.3%
152,001119,751348,056
R
−2.6%
150,744158,729312,355
R
−13.2%
141,793185,492330,550
R
−8.9%
128,251156,073314,098
D
+6.1%
156,661138,213301,846
R
−10.0%
130,220160,112297,666
D
+2.0%
132,841127,057286,418
D
+31.3%
191,627100,261291,887
R
−7.4%
142,769165,536308,305
R
−18.3%
116,885169,364286,249
R
−15.3%
121,989166,040288,030
R
−2.5%
108,415114,136224,809
R
−12.5%
105,406135,587240,993
R
−10.0%
112,326137,426249,752
D
+14.0%
116,64485,485222,238
D
+14.4%
112,64983,474202,009
R
−29.3%
70,960130,080201,985
R
−38.1%
29,75392,167163,663
R
−26.3%
54,18995,486156,811
D
+20.3%
54,88135,66194,759
D
+23.9%
32,72013,95178,472
R
−1.4%
39,87041,06585,840
R
−26.7%
26,20646,90277,431
R
−1.3%
38,31939,31079,235
R
−0.2%
38,05638,24177,037
D
+1.9%
29,34028,19860,304
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R46.5%50.1%5,704,620
2022R46.9%53.0%4,133,342
2018D53.4%46.6%4,410,898
2016R37.2%58.0%5,374,164
2012D50.7%44.7%5,449,018
2010R39.4%56.8%3,815,098
2006D56.2%43.8%4,019,236
2004R36.1%63.8%5,425,823
2000R35.9%59.9%4,448,801
1998R43.5%56.5%3,404,351
1994R39.2%53.4%3,436,884
1992D51.0%42.3%4,793,953
1988D57.0%43.0%4,352,905
1986D62.5%37.5%3,121,189
1982D56.7%41.1%3,395,463
1980D68.8%28.2%4,027,303
1976D49.5%46.5%3,920,613

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
27.6%
Irish
11.5%
English
9.3%
Polish
5.8%
American
4.8%
Italian
3.8%
French
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.7%
speak English only
Spanish2.6%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Other languages0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.8%
Other Christian
12.6%
Mainline Protestant
7.8%
Methodist
3.1%
Baptist
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Non-Christian
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Ohio's 9th stretches along the Lake Erie shoreline from Toledo to Cleveland's western suburbs, combining Rust Belt manufacturing communities with smaller lakefront cities in a configuration that has leaned reliably Democratic by double digits in recent presidential cycles.

The Democratic margin in Ohio 9th Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by seven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $65,417 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 9, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3909/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 9, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 9, Ohio voted Republican by 6.7 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 357,186 votes cast, 163,658 went Democratic and 187,596 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 9, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 9, Ohio as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 9, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 9, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 9, Ohio?
Congressional District 9, Ohio has a population of 739,684 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 9, Ohio?
Median household income in Congressional District 9, Ohio is $65,417 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Congressional District 9, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 9, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.