akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Iowa

Iowa 2nd Congressional District delivered R+10 in 2024.

A rural-anchored district where the Missouri River corridor shapes the vote

18762024·38 elections
IA
Latest
R+10
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
795,361
2024 ACS

Iowa 2nd Congressional District, Iowa: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+53 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
795,3612024 5-year
Median household income
$74,1262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
87.2%2024 5-year
Black
4.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+24 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+53 in 1920MIT Election Lab
R
HINSON, AshleyCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: MILLER-MEEKS, Mariannette (2021–2023), LOEBSACK, Dave (2019–2021), LOEBSACK, Dave (2017–2019), LOEBSACK, Dave (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

22 counties · 2 D · 20 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.0%
186,015227,938421,277
R
−4.4%
203,244222,309434,416
R
−4.5%
180,280198,953412,806
D
+12.7%
231,329178,239416,652
D
+17.8%
235,231163,377404,786
D
+6.4%
211,770186,264401,201
D
+6.4%
180,994158,655350,445
D
+15.8%
174,916122,969328,029
D
+9.1%
159,660126,725363,041
D
+12.2%
182,595142,745327,768
R
−6.0%
165,080186,515354,615
R
−10.6%
141,252178,989356,225
R
−1.6%
167,091172,543346,543
R
−14.2%
137,221183,560326,868
R
−11.3%
129,809164,904311,756
D
+23.6%
195,601120,781316,756
R
−9.8%
150,687183,519334,402
R
−20.4%
125,353189,713315,985
R
−28.3%
114,323205,190321,137
D
+2.6%
134,060127,219266,360
R
−6.1%
123,348139,308263,630
R
−8.2%
136,195160,684297,623
D
+11.2%
150,437119,125279,864
D
+17.2%
152,430107,029264,128
R
−21.6%
99,179154,198254,720
R
−38.6%
36,881129,127239,139
R
−52.8%
47,747161,078214,525
R
−19.7%
47,97172,158122,961
D
+17.2%
47,21326,961117,635
R
−14.3%
46,99763,233113,927
R
−31.2%
36,22971,431112,854
R
−20.4%
47,28372,105121,878
R
−17.2%
48,65669,330120,062
R
−2.9%
49,30252,363104,672
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R43.3%55.4%1,230,416
2020R44.4%50.9%1,700,130
2016R35.7%60.1%1,541,036
2014R43.8%52.1%1,129,700
2010R33.3%64.4%1,116,063
2008D62.7%37.3%1,502,918
2004R27.9%70.2%1,479,228
2002D54.2%43.8%1,023,075
1998R30.5%68.4%947,907
1996D51.8%46.7%1,224,054
1992R27.2%69.6%1,292,494
1990D54.5%45.4%983,933
1986R33.6%66.0%891,762
1984D55.5%43.7%1,292,700
1980R45.5%53.5%1,276,986
1978R47.9%51.1%824,576

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
36.1%
Irish
13.4%
English
9.1%
American
4.8%
French
1.6%
Italian
1.4%
Scottish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.9%
speak English only
Spanish2.5%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.8%
Mainline Protestant
15.3%
Other Christian
5.7%
Methodist
5.6%
Baptist
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Non-Christian
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Iowa's 2nd stretches across the state's southern tier, blending small agricultural cities with river-town economies. The district has trended toward Republican margins in recent cycles, posting R+9.7 in 2024 after recording narrower gaps earlier in the decade.

The Democratic margin in Iowa 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-three points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 87% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $74,126 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1902/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Iowa voted Republican by 10.0 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 421,277 votes cast, 186,015 went Democratic and 227,938 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Iowa's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Iowa as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 2, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Iowa?
Congressional District 2, Iowa has a population of 795,361 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Iowa?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Iowa is $74,126 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.