- Lead
- 1,538
- Total
- 4,850
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- 70.8%
Howard County, IA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.8% of 6,902 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,355
- Total
- 4,958
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Turnout
- 73.3%
- Lead
- 934
- Total
- 4,640
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Turnout
- 65.7%
- Lead
- 973
- Total
- 4,645
- vs nation
- D+17.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,219
- Total
- 4,728
- vs nation
- D+18.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 586
- Total
- 4,697
- vs nation
- D+14.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 504
- Total
- 4,491
- vs nation
- D+10.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 775
- Total
- 4,405
- vs nation
- D+9.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,4452024 5-year
- Population density
- 20 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 473 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,4462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chickasaw County, IA · twin score 95.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.8%4,884 participants ÷ 6,902 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.2%–52.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,640 | 7,062 | 65.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,671 | 6,932 | 53.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,996 | 6,812 | 73.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,407 | 6,982 | 48.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,884 | 6,902 | 70.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Howard County, IA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
62.7%
4,176 votes · D+26.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 62.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
66.5%
3,601 votes · R+34.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 65.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
4,176votes
62.7% of the vote · D+26.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 3,861 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
4,305votes
62.6% of the vote · R+25.3
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 3,714 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+18.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.8 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +17.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+31.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +30.2 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 23 points more Republican than the rolls.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 6,294 | 2,201 | 1,523 | 2,569 | 1 |
| 2010 | 6,416 | 2,148 | 1,574 | 2,693 | 1 |
| 2012 | 6,248 | 2,028 | 1,511 | 2,708 | 1 |
| 2014 | 6,244 | 1,902 | 1,492 | 2,846 | 4 |
| 2016 | 6,384 | 1,882 | 1,544 | 2,945 | 13 |
| 2018 | 6,224 | 1,750 | 1,565 | 2,888 | 21 |
| 2020 | 6,376 | 1,765 | 1,837 | 2,739 | 35 |
| 2022 | 6,284 | 1,595 | 1,887 | 2,764 | 38 |
| 2024 | 6,439 | 1,450 | 2,000 | 2,948 | 41 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−39 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −587 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,037 in average income, against $74,274 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+21.5 on average — 10 points more Democratic-leaning than Howard County, IA itself (R+31.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Winneshiek County, IA28R+9.2
- Chickasaw County, IA22R+37.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Winneshiek County, IA39
- Chickasaw County, IA20
- Mitchell County, IA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −28 |
| 2012 | −11 |
| 2013 | −119 |
| 2014 | −91 |
| 2015 | −58 |
| 2016 | −56 |
| 2017 | −44 |
| 2018 | −37 |
| 2019 | −6 |
| 2021 | +4 |
| 2022 | +32 |
| 2023 | −123 |
| 2024 | −11 |
| 2025 | −39 |
Howard County's small towns and agricultural economy anchor a voting pattern that has shifted roughly 40 points toward Republicans over the past two decades, mirroring broader rural realignment across the upper Midwest.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 34.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.7 points.
A population of 9,445, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,446 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chickasaw County and Allamakee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Howard County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.