Akashic

county

Fayette County, IA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German40.9%30.5%12.5%

Irish14.2%12.8%9.4%

Norwegian11.2%4.1%—

American8.5%4.6%5.3%

English7.0%10.2%9.5%

Italian1.9%1.6%4.8%

Dutch1.4%2.7%—

French1.2%—1.6%

Mexican1.5%5.0%11.3%

Panamanian0.5%——

Colombian0.3%—0.4%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%

Cuban0.2%—0.7%

Honduran0.2%0.2%0.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Fayette County	Iowa	United States
Median age	43.9	38.8	39.1
Age 18–24	8.7%	10.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	22.9%	18.1%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Fayette County	Iowa	United States
Median household income	$60,165	$75,059	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.0%	11.1%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	20.7%	31.8%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Fayette County	Iowa	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.8%	9.2%	22.3%
Spanish	2.4%	4.7%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Fayette County	Iowa	United States
Catholic	14.6%	14.7%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	5.6%	10.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	52.0%	55.2%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	26.0%	15.8%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 66.9% of 14,843 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic33.9%3,334TrumpRepublican64.2%6,325KennedyWe The People1.1%104

R+30.4

Lead: 2,991
Total: 9,848
vs nation: R+28.9
Turnout: 66.9%

BidenDemocratic37.6%3,835TrumpRepublican60.3%6,145JorgensenLibertarian1.0%102

R+22.7

Lead: 2,310
Total: 10,186
vs nation: R+27.1
Turnout: 67.2%

ClintonDemocratic36.5%3,689TrumpRepublican55.7%5,620JohnsonLibertarian3.2%328

R+19.1

Lead: 1,931
Total: 10,098
vs nation: R+21.2
Turnout: 63.6%

ObamaDemocratic55.3%5,732RomneyRepublican43.3%4,492JohnsonLibertarian0.5%56

D+12.0

Lead: 1,240
Total: 10,366
vs nation: D+8.1
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic57.6%5,908McCainRepublican41.0%4,205OtherAll other candidates1.4%146

D+16.6

Lead: 1,703
Total: 10,259
vs nation: D+9.3
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic49.9%5,185BushRepublican49.3%5,128OtherAll other candidates0.8%79

D+0.5

Lead: 57
Total: 10,392
vs nation: D+3.0
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic48.2%4,640BushRepublican49.3%4,747NaderGreen1.8%174

R+1.1

Lead: 107
Total: 9,621
vs nation: R+1.6
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic50.2%4,832DoleRepublican40.0%3,848PerotReform9.2%890

D+10.2

Lead: 984
Total: 9,624
vs nation: D+1.7
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+30.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 19,2882024 5-year
Median household income: $60,1652024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 91.0%2024 5-year
Black: 0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+19.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+60.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Floyd County, IA · twin score 95.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 66.9%9,928 participants ÷ 14,843 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +17.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 49.8%–53.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	10,098	15,878	63.6%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	8,273	15,603	53.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	10,249	15,242	67.2%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	7,589	15,139	50.1%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	9,928	14,843	66.9%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

20 precincts · 9,817 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Fayette County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Smithfield-Westfield Twp.Smithfield-Westfield Twp.	266	472	25	763	34.9%	61.9%	R+27.0
Precinct -Oelwein Ward 4Oelwein Ward 4	351	388	13	752	46.7%	51.6%	R+4.9
Precinct -Oelwein Ward 1Oelwein Ward 1	287	365	5	657	43.7%	55.6%	R+11.9
Precinct -Auburn-Eden Twp.Auburn-Eden Twp.	168	417	6	591	28.4%	70.6%	R+42.1
Precinct -Center-Harlan Twp.Center-Harlan Twp.	181	402	6	589	30.7%	68.3%	R+37.5
Precinct -Bethel-Windsor Twp.Bethel-Windsor Twp.	146	387	6	539	27.1%	71.8%	R+44.7
Precinct -Oelwein Ward 2Oelwein Ward 2	227	283	11	521	43.6%	54.3%	R+10.7
Precinct -Oelwein Ward 3Oelwein Ward 3	228	278	13	519	43.9%	53.6%	R+9.6
Precinct -Oran Twp.Oran Twp.	172	329	4	505	34.1%	65.1%	R+31.1
Precinct -Fairfield-Putnam Twp.Fairfield-Putnam Twp.	138	360	5	503	27.4%	71.6%	R+44.1
Precinct -Pleasant Valley TwpPleasant Valley Twp	157	326	11	494	31.8%	66.0%	R+34.2
Precinct -Banks-Fremont Twp.Banks-Fremont Twp.	102	357	10	469	21.7%	76.1%	R+54.4
Precinct -Clermont TwpClermont Twp	132	325	7	464	28.4%	70.0%	R+41.6
Precinct -Jefferson-Scott Twp.Jefferson-Scott Twp.	150	283	7	440	34.1%	64.3%	R+30.2
Precinct -West Union Ward 1West Union Ward 1	164	249	7	420	39.0%	59.3%	R+20.2
Precinct -West Union Ward 3West Union Ward 3	148	254	7	409	36.2%	62.1%	R+25.9
Precinct -West Union Ward 2West Union Ward 2	104	220	8	332	31.3%	66.3%	R+34.9
Precinct -Dover TwpDover Twp	62	257	2	321	19.3%	80.1%	R+60.7
Precinct -Illyria TwpIllyria Twp	92	193	2	287	32.1%	67.2%	R+35.2
Precinct -Union TwpUnion Twp	59	180	3	242	24.4%	74.4%	R+50.0

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−4.9%
1896	−10.9%
1900	−18.7%
1904	−29.9%
1908	−18.4%
1912	+19.1%
1916	−24.5%
1920	−60.6%
1924	−39.5%
1928	−34.2%
1932	+19.4%
1936	+9.8%
1940	−15.1%
1944	−13.4%
1948	−8.4%
1952	−34.9%
1956	−23.2%
1960	−22.6%
1964	+10.7%
1968	−24.3%
1972	−23.9%
1976	−11.6%
1980	−17.3%
1984	−16.2%
1988	+3.7%
1992	+4.9%
1996	+10.2%
2000	−1.1%
2004	+0.5%
2008	+16.6%
2012	+12.0%
2016	−19.1%
2020	−22.7%
2024	−30.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	33.9%Harris3,334	64.2%Trump6,325	1.1%Kennedy104	R+30.4	R+7.7	R+28.9	9,848
2020	R	37.6%Biden3,835	60.3%Trump6,145	1.0%Jorgensen102	R+22.7	R+3.6	R+27.1	10,186
2016	R	36.5%Clinton3,689	55.7%Trump5,620	3.2%Johnson328	R+19.1	R+31.1	R+21.2	10,098
2012	D	55.3%Obama5,732	43.3%Romney4,492	0.5%Johnson56	D+12.0	R+4.6	D+8.1	10,366
2008	D	57.6%Obama5,908	41.0%McCain4,205	1.4%	D+16.6	D+16.1	D+9.3	10,259
2004	D	49.9%Kerry5,185	49.3%Bush5,128	0.8%	D+0.5	D+1.7	D+3.0	10,392
2000	R	48.2%Gore4,640	49.3%Bush4,747	1.8%Nader174	R+1.1	R+11.3	R+1.6	9,621
1996	D	50.2%Clinton4,832	40.0%Dole3,848	9.2%Perot890	D+10.2	D+5.3	D+1.7	9,624
1992	D	40.6%Clinton4,412	35.7%Bush3,879	23.0%Perot2,493	D+4.9	D+1.2	R+0.7	10,861
1988	D	51.6%Dukakis5,304	47.8%Bush4,921	0.6%	D+3.7	D+19.9	D+11.5	10,287
1984	R	41.4%Mondale4,677	57.6%Reagan6,505	1.1%	R+16.2	D+1.2	D+2.0	11,302
1980	R	38.0%Carter4,377	55.3%Reagan6,374	6.7%	R+17.3	R+5.8	R+7.6	11,523
1976	R	43.1%Carter5,220	54.7%Ford6,618	2.2%	R+11.6	D+12.3	R+13.6	12,102
1972	R	37.0%McGovern4,413	60.8%Nixon7,263	2.2%	R+23.9	D+0.4	R+0.7	11,940
1968	R	35.1%Humphrey4,098	59.3%Nixon6,935	5.6%	R+24.3	R+35.0	R+23.6	11,687
1964	D	55.3%Johnson6,900	44.6%Goldwater5,567	0.1%	D+10.7	D+33.3	R+11.9	12,482
1960	R	38.6%Kennedy5,256	61.2%Nixon8,330	0.2%	R+22.6	D+0.6	R+22.7	13,611
1956	R	38.4%Stevenson4,935	61.5%Eisenhower7,914	0.1%	R+23.2	D+11.8	R+7.8	12,866
1952	R	32.4%Stevenson4,403	67.3%Eisenhower9,152	0.3%	R+34.9	R+26.5	R+24.2	13,589
1948	R	45.1%Truman5,303	53.5%Dewey6,296	1.4%	R+8.4	D+5.0	R+12.9	11,760
1944	R	43.1%Roosevelt5,105	56.5%Dewey6,693	0.4%	R+13.4	D+1.7	R+20.9	11,846
1940	R	42.3%Roosevelt6,066	57.4%Willkie8,237	0.3%	R+15.1	R+25.0	R+25.1	14,342
1936	D	53.8%Roosevelt7,210	44.0%Landon5,891	2.2%	D+9.8	R+9.5	R+14.4	13,397
1932	D	59.1%Roosevelt7,690	39.7%Hoover5,166	1.3%	D+19.4	D+53.6	D+1.6	13,022
1928	R	32.5%Smith4,061	66.7%Hoover8,338	0.9%	R+34.2	D+5.3	R+16.7	12,509
1924	R	10.7%Davis1,272	50.2%Coolidge5,974	38.9%La Follette4,634	R+39.5	D+21.0	R+14.3	11,898
1920	R	18.6%Cox1,941	79.1%Harding8,265	2.3%	R+60.6	R+36.0	R+34.4	10,444
1916	R	36.3%Wilson2,311	60.8%Hughes3,872	2.9%	R+24.5	R+43.6	R+27.7	6,367
1912	O	38.2%Wilson2,379	19.1%Taft1,192	42.7%	Roosevelt +4.4	D+37.4	R+0.5	6,227
1908	R	38.5%Bryan2,281	56.8%Taft3,369	4.7%	R+18.4	D+11.6	R+8.8	5,928
1904	R	32.5%Parker2,070	62.4%Roosevelt3,978	5.1%	R+29.9	R+11.2	R+10.3	6,376
1900	R	39.7%Bryan2,708	58.4%McKinley3,984	1.9%	R+18.7	R+7.8	R+11.2	6,823
1896	R	43.8%Bryan2,822	54.7%McKinley3,522	1.5%	R+10.9	R+6.0	R+4.8	6,440
1892	R	45.0%Cleveland2,499	49.8%Harrison2,771	5.2%	R+4.9	—	R+6.6	5,559
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	32.2%3,070	67.8%6,471	9,541
2020	R	40.7%4,099	59.3%5,984	10,083
2018	R	47.0%3,701	53.0%4,167	7,868

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	36.5%2,744	63.5%4,784	7,528
2020Class II	R	38.8%Theresa Greenfield3,912	58.1%Joni Ernst5,865	10,095
2016Class III	R	30.9%Patty Judge3,069	64.5%Chuck Grassley6,412	9,947
2014Class II	R	44.1%Bruce Braley3,455	51.8%Joni Ernst4,054	7,828
2010Class III	R	31.2%Roxanne Conlin2,466	66.7%Chuck Grassley5,265	7,893
2008Class II	D	67.2%Tom Harkin6,810	32.8%Christopher Reed3,326	10,139
2004Class III	R	26.2%Arthur Small2,643	72.5%Chuck Grassley7,315	10,086
2002Class II	D	55.2%Tom Harkin4,238	43.5%Greg Ganske3,339	7,684
1998Class III	R	25.3%David Osterberg1,894	73.8%Chuck Grassley5,520	7,479
1996Class II	D	52.7%Tom Harkin4,997	46.1%Jim Ross Lightfoot4,373	9,479
1992Class III	R	25.0%Jean Lloyd-Jones2,455	72.0%Chuck Grassley7,063	9,813
1990Class II	R	45.8%Tom Harkin4,112	54.2%Tom Tauke4,861	8,975
1986Class III	R	30.1%John P. Roehrick2,390	69.6%Chuck Grassley5,533	7,947
1984Class II	D	50.8%Tom Harkin5,604	48.3%Roger W. Jepsen5,326	11,029
1980Class III	R	40.7%John C. Culver4,642	58.7%Chuck Grassley6,702	11,414
1978Class II	R	43.6%Dick Clark3,645	55.7%Roger W. Jepsen4,657	8,361
1974Class III	D	51.2%John C. Culver4,901	48.1%David M. Stanley4,608	9,574
1972Class II	D	55.7%Dick Clark6,600	43.9%Jack Miller5,205	11,856
1968Class III	R	44.5%Harold E. Hughes5,097	55.5%David M. Stanley6,360	11,458
1966Class II	R	34.5%E.B. Smith3,260	65.1%Jack Miller6,164	9,462
1962Class III	R	44.0%E.B. Smith3,806	56.0%Bourke Hickenlooper4,850	8,656
1960Class II	R	43.9%Herschel Loveless5,894	56.1%Jack Miller7,529	13,423
1956Class III	R	42.1%R.M. Evans5,234	57.9%Bourke Hickenlooper7,204	12,438
1954Class II	R	43.2%Guy M. Gillette3,712	56.5%Thomas E. Martin4,863	8,601
1950Class III	R	39.4%Albert J. Loveland3,898	60.4%Bourke Hickenlooper5,970	9,887
1948Class II	D	50.4%Guy M. Gillette5,798	49.0%George A. Wilson5,644	11,511
1944Class III	R	43.1%Guy M. Gillette5,018	56.6%Bourke Hickenlooper6,585	11,636
1942Class II	R	39.4%Clyde L. Herring3,217	60.2%George A. Wilson4,916	8,165
1938Class III	R	45.8%Guy M. Gillette4,892	53.6%Lester Dickinson5,726	10,692
1936Class II	R	49.3%Clyde L. Herring6,230	49.5%Lester Dickinson6,253	12,637
1932Class III	D	55.7%Richard L. Murphy7,001	41.5%Henry Field5,209	12,566
1930Class II	R	37.4%Daniel F. Steck2,656	62.1%Lester Dickinson4,412	7,101
1926Class III	R	37.6%Claude R. Porter3,138	62.2%Smith W. Brookhart5,190	8,347
1924Class II	R	45.1%Daniel F. Steck5,037	54.9%Smith W. Brookhart6,136	11,173
1920Class III	R	34.6%Claude R. Porter3,510	65.1%Albert B. Cummins6,606	10,155
1918Class II	R	31.8%Charles R. Keyes1,422	68.2%William S. Kenyon3,043	4,465
1914Class III	R	29.2%Maurice Connolly1,574	47.0%Albert B. Cummins2,529	5,386

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1936Special · Class III	R	49.0%Guy M. Gillette5,937	50.1%Berry F. Halden6,069	12,108
1922Special · Class II	R	31.9%Clyde L. Herring2,565	68.1%Smith W. Brookhart5,486	8,052

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	30.9%Deidre Dejear2,328	66.8%Kim Reynolds5,032	7,533
2018	R	41.9%Fred Hubbell/Rita R Hart3,446	55.0%Kim Reynolds/Adam Gregg4,528	8,230
2014	R	35.9%Jack Hatch2,815	60.6%Terry Branstad4,745	7,831
2010	R	44.7%Chet Culver3,546	52.1%Terry Branstad4,136	7,939
2006	D	55.7%Chet Culver4,401	42.5%Jim Nussle3,361	7,904
2002	D	52.1%Tom Vilsack4,092	45.7%Doug Gross3,590	7,847
1998	D	50.0%Tom Vilsack3,908	48.7%Jim Ross Lightfoot3,807	7,821
1994	R	38.4%Bonnie Campbell3,275	60.4%Terry Branstad5,149	8,524
1990	R	41.3%Donald Avenson3,762	58.5%Terry Branstad5,331	9,120
1986	R	47.3%Lowell Junkins3,819	52.7%Terry Branstad4,253	8,077
1982	R	38.0%Roxanne Conlin3,653	61.5%Terry Branstad5,912	9,614
1978	R	38.5%Jerome D. Fitzgerald3,272	61.0%Robert D. Ray5,177	8,490

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2024R+18.1

Presidential vote · 2024R+30.4

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Democratic.

DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

Voter registration in Fayette County, IA
Year	Total registered	Democratic	Republican	Unaffiliated	Other
2008	14,017	4,301	4,320	5,392	4
2010	11,906	3,796	3,980	4,121	9
2012	12,295	3,864	4,206	4,206	19
2014	12,460	3,800	4,082	4,544	34
2016	12,484	3,739	4,204	4,495	46
2018	12,338	3,561	4,113	4,598	66
2020	12,723	3,728	4,583	4,325	87
2022	12,517	3,365	4,741	4,324	87
2024	12,633	2,937	5,220	4,383	93

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−30 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −1,275 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $47,286 in average income, against $72,019 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+19.9 on average — 10 points more Democratic-leaning than Fayette County, IA itself (R+30.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Buchanan County, IA62R+28.1
Black Hawk County, IA33D+1.2
Winneshiek County, IA33R+9.2
Bremer County, IA32R+22.1
Clayton County, IA32R+34.4

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Buchanan County, IA54
Black Hawk County, IA53
Clayton County, IA32
Bremer County, IA25
Winneshiek County, IA23
Linn County, IA21

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Fayette County, IA in Fayette County, IA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+108
2012	−196
2013	−230
2014	−192
2015	−112
2016	−262
2017	−155
2018	+2
2019	−27
2021	−56
2022	+39
2023	−56
2024	−108
2025	−30

Fayette County's population has declined steadily as agriculture consolidated, and its presidential margins have swung more than 30 points toward Republicans over the past two decades, mirroring broader rural Iowa realignment.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.4 points.

A population of 19,288, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,165 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Floyd County and Clayton County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Floyd County

Iowa

95.0twin score

12-yr trendelasticity2008–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry

Clayton County

Iowa

94.3twin score

12-yr trend2004–2012 trajectory

Allamakee County

Iowa

92.6twin score

12-yr trend2004–2008 trajectoryelasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Cities & towns in Fayette County

Oelwein

R+9

5.8K residents

Iowa at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Fayette County, Iowa vote in 2024?

In 2024, Fayette County, Iowa voted Republican by 30.4 points (R+30.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,848 votes cast, 3,334 went Democratic and 6,325 went Republican.

When did Fayette County, Iowa last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Fayette County, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Fayette County, Iowa?

Fayette County, Iowa has a population of 19,288 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Fayette County, Iowa?

Median household income in Fayette County, Iowa is $60,165 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.

What is the political history of Fayette County, Iowa?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fayette County, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.

Measure

Fayette County

Iowa

United States

Median age

43.9

38.8

39.1

Age 18–24

8.7%

10.0%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

22.9%

18.1%

17.2%

Measure

Fayette County

Iowa

United States

Median household income

$60,165

$75,059

$84,427

Poverty rate

12.0%

11.1%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

20.7%

31.8%

35.6%

Measure

Fayette County

Iowa

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

3.8%

9.2%

22.3%

Spanish

2.4%

4.7%

13.6%

Measure

Fayette County

Iowa

United States

Catholic

14.6%

14.7%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

5.6%

10.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

52.0%

55.2%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

26.0%

15.8%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+30.4MIT Election Lab

Population

19,2882024 5-year

Median household income

$60,1652024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

91.0%2024 5-year

Black

0.8%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+19.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+60.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Floyd County, IA · twin score 95.0

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

10,098

15,878

63.6%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

8,273

15,603

53.0%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

10,249

15,242

67.2%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

7,589

15,139

50.1%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

9,928

14,843

66.9%

A/A

Fayette County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Smithfield-Westfield Twp.Smithfield-Westfield Twp.

266

472

763

34.9%

61.9%

R+27.0

Precinct -Oelwein Ward 4Oelwein Ward 4

351

388

752

46.7%

51.6%

R+4.9

Precinct -Oelwein Ward 1Oelwein Ward 1

287

365

657

43.7%

55.6%

R+11.9

Precinct -Auburn-Eden Twp.Auburn-Eden Twp.

168

417

591

28.4%

70.6%

R+42.1

Precinct -Center-Harlan Twp.Center-Harlan Twp.

181

402

589

30.7%

68.3%

R+37.5

Precinct -Bethel-Windsor Twp.Bethel-Windsor Twp.

146

387

539

27.1%

71.8%

R+44.7

Precinct -Oelwein Ward 2Oelwein Ward 2

227

283

521

43.6%

54.3%

R+10.7

Precinct -Oelwein Ward 3Oelwein Ward 3

228

278

519

43.9%

53.6%

R+9.6

Precinct -Oran Twp.Oran Twp.

172

329

505

34.1%

65.1%

R+31.1

Precinct -Fairfield-Putnam Twp.Fairfield-Putnam Twp.

138

360

503

27.4%

71.6%

R+44.1

Precinct -Pleasant Valley TwpPleasant Valley Twp

157

326

494

31.8%

66.0%

R+34.2

Precinct -Banks-Fremont Twp.Banks-Fremont Twp.

102

357

469

21.7%

76.1%

R+54.4

Precinct -Clermont TwpClermont Twp

132

325

464

28.4%

70.0%

R+41.6

Precinct -Jefferson-Scott Twp.Jefferson-Scott Twp.

150

283

440

34.1%

64.3%

R+30.2

Precinct -West Union Ward 1West Union Ward 1

164

249

420

39.0%

59.3%

R+20.2

Precinct -West Union Ward 3West Union Ward 3

148

254

409

36.2%

62.1%

R+25.9

Precinct -West Union Ward 2West Union Ward 2

104

220

332

31.3%

66.3%

R+34.9

Precinct -Dover TwpDover Twp

257

321

19.3%

80.1%

R+60.7

Precinct -Illyria TwpIllyria Twp

193

287

32.1%

67.2%

R+35.2

Precinct -Union TwpUnion Twp

180

242

24.4%

74.4%

R+50.0

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−4.9%
1896	−10.9%
1900	−18.7%
1904	−29.9%
1908	−18.4%
1912	+19.1%
1916	−24.5%
1920	−60.6%
1924	−39.5%
1928	−34.2%
1932	+19.4%
1936	+9.8%
1940	−15.1%
1944	−13.4%
1948	−8.4%
1952	−34.9%
1956	−23.2%
1960	−22.6%
1964	+10.7%
1968	−24.3%
1972	−23.9%
1976	−11.6%
1980	−17.3%
1984	−16.2%
1988	+3.7%
1992	+4.9%
1996	+10.2%
2000	−1.1%
2004	+0.5%
2008	+16.6%
2012	+12.0%
2016	−19.1%
2020	−22.7%
2024	−30.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

33.9%Harris3,334

64.2%Trump6,325

1.1%Kennedy104

R+30.4

R+7.7

R+28.9

9,848

2020

37.6%Biden3,835

60.3%Trump6,145

1.0%Jorgensen102

R+22.7

R+3.6

R+27.1

10,186

2016

36.5%Clinton3,689

55.7%Trump5,620

3.2%Johnson328

R+19.1

R+31.1

R+21.2

10,098

2012

55.3%Obama5,732

43.3%Romney4,492

0.5%Johnson56

D+12.0

R+4.6

D+8.1

10,366

2008

57.6%Obama5,908

41.0%McCain4,205

1.4%

D+16.6

D+16.1

D+9.3

10,259

2004

49.9%Kerry5,185

49.3%Bush5,128

0.8%

D+0.5

D+1.7

D+3.0

10,392

2000

48.2%Gore4,640

49.3%Bush4,747

1.8%Nader174

R+1.1

R+11.3

R+1.6

9,621

1996

50.2%Clinton4,832

40.0%Dole3,848

9.2%Perot890

D+10.2

D+5.3

D+1.7

9,624

1992

40.6%Clinton4,412

35.7%Bush3,879

23.0%Perot2,493

D+4.9

D+1.2

R+0.7

10,861

1988

51.6%Dukakis5,304

47.8%Bush4,921

0.6%

D+3.7

D+19.9

D+11.5

10,287

1984

41.4%Mondale4,677

57.6%Reagan6,505

1.1%

R+16.2

D+1.2

D+2.0

11,302

1980

38.0%Carter4,377

55.3%Reagan6,374

6.7%

R+17.3

R+5.8

R+7.6

11,523

1976

43.1%Carter5,220

54.7%Ford6,618

2.2%

R+11.6

D+12.3

R+13.6

12,102

1972

37.0%McGovern4,413

60.8%Nixon7,263

2.2%

R+23.9

D+0.4

R+0.7

11,940

1968

35.1%Humphrey4,098

59.3%Nixon6,935

5.6%

R+24.3

R+35.0

R+23.6

11,687

1964

55.3%Johnson6,900

44.6%Goldwater5,567

0.1%

D+10.7

D+33.3

R+11.9

12,482

1960

38.6%Kennedy5,256

61.2%Nixon8,330

0.2%

R+22.6

D+0.6

R+22.7

13,611

1956

38.4%Stevenson4,935

61.5%Eisenhower7,914

0.1%

R+23.2

D+11.8

R+7.8

12,866

1952

32.4%Stevenson4,403

67.3%Eisenhower9,152

0.3%

R+34.9

R+26.5

R+24.2

13,589

1948

45.1%Truman5,303

53.5%Dewey6,296

1.4%

R+8.4

D+5.0

R+12.9

11,760

1944

43.1%Roosevelt5,105

56.5%Dewey6,693

0.4%

R+13.4

D+1.7

R+20.9

11,846

1940

42.3%Roosevelt6,066

57.4%Willkie8,237

0.3%

R+15.1

R+25.0

R+25.1

14,342

1936

53.8%Roosevelt7,210

44.0%Landon5,891

2.2%

D+9.8

R+9.5

R+14.4

13,397

1932

59.1%Roosevelt7,690

39.7%Hoover5,166

1.3%

D+19.4

D+53.6

D+1.6

13,022

1928

32.5%Smith4,061

66.7%Hoover8,338

0.9%

R+34.2

D+5.3

R+16.7

12,509

1924

10.7%Davis1,272

50.2%Coolidge5,974

38.9%La Follette4,634

R+39.5

D+21.0

R+14.3

11,898

1920

18.6%Cox1,941

79.1%Harding8,265

2.3%

R+60.6

R+36.0

R+34.4

10,444

1916

36.3%Wilson2,311

60.8%Hughes3,872

2.9%

R+24.5

R+43.6

R+27.7

6,367

1912

38.2%Wilson2,379

19.1%Taft1,192

42.7%

Roosevelt +4.4

D+37.4

R+0.5

6,227

1908

38.5%Bryan2,281

56.8%Taft3,369

4.7%

R+18.4

D+11.6

R+8.8

5,928

1904

32.5%Parker2,070

62.4%Roosevelt3,978

5.1%

R+29.9

R+11.2

R+10.3

6,376

1900

39.7%Bryan2,708

58.4%McKinley3,984

1.9%

R+18.7

R+7.8

R+11.2

6,823

1896

43.8%Bryan2,822

54.7%McKinley3,522

1.5%

R+10.9

R+6.0

R+4.8

6,440

1892

45.0%Cleveland2,499

49.8%Harrison2,771

5.2%

R+4.9

—

R+6.6

5,559

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

32.2%3,070

67.8%6,471

9,541

2020

40.7%4,099

59.3%5,984

10,083

2018

47.0%3,701

53.0%4,167

7,868

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

36.5%2,744

63.5%4,784

7,528

2020Class II

38.8%Theresa Greenfield3,912

58.1%Joni Ernst5,865

10,095

2016Class III

30.9%Patty Judge3,069

64.5%Chuck Grassley6,412

9,947

2014Class II

44.1%Bruce Braley3,455

51.8%Joni Ernst4,054

7,828

2010Class III

31.2%Roxanne Conlin2,466

66.7%Chuck Grassley5,265

7,893

2008Class II

67.2%Tom Harkin6,810

32.8%Christopher Reed3,326

10,139

2004Class III

26.2%Arthur Small2,643

72.5%Chuck Grassley7,315

10,086

2002Class II

55.2%Tom Harkin4,238

43.5%Greg Ganske3,339

7,684

1998Class III

25.3%David Osterberg1,894

73.8%Chuck Grassley5,520

7,479

1996Class II

52.7%Tom Harkin4,997

46.1%Jim Ross Lightfoot4,373

9,479

1992Class III

25.0%Jean Lloyd-Jones2,455

72.0%Chuck Grassley7,063

9,813

1990Class II

45.8%Tom Harkin4,112

54.2%Tom Tauke4,861

8,975

1986Class III

30.1%John P. Roehrick2,390

69.6%Chuck Grassley5,533

7,947

1984Class II

50.8%Tom Harkin5,604

48.3%Roger W. Jepsen5,326

11,029

1980Class III

40.7%John C. Culver4,642

58.7%Chuck Grassley6,702

11,414

1978Class II

43.6%Dick Clark3,645

55.7%Roger W. Jepsen4,657

8,361

1974Class III

51.2%John C. Culver4,901

48.1%David M. Stanley4,608

9,574

1972Class II

55.7%Dick Clark6,600

43.9%Jack Miller5,205

11,856

1968Class III

44.5%Harold E. Hughes5,097

55.5%David M. Stanley6,360

11,458

1966Class II

34.5%E.B. Smith3,260

65.1%Jack Miller6,164

9,462

1962Class III

44.0%E.B. Smith3,806

56.0%Bourke Hickenlooper4,850

8,656

1960Class II

43.9%Herschel Loveless5,894

56.1%Jack Miller7,529

13,423

1956Class III

42.1%R.M. Evans5,234

57.9%Bourke Hickenlooper7,204

12,438

1954Class II

43.2%Guy M. Gillette3,712

56.5%Thomas E. Martin4,863

8,601

1950Class III

39.4%Albert J. Loveland3,898

60.4%Bourke Hickenlooper5,970

9,887

1948Class II

50.4%Guy M. Gillette5,798

49.0%George A. Wilson5,644

11,511

1944Class III

43.1%Guy M. Gillette5,018

56.6%Bourke Hickenlooper6,585

11,636

1942Class II

39.4%Clyde L. Herring3,217

60.2%George A. Wilson4,916

8,165

1938Class III

45.8%Guy M. Gillette4,892

53.6%Lester Dickinson5,726

10,692

1936Class II

49.3%Clyde L. Herring6,230

49.5%Lester Dickinson6,253

12,637

1932Class III

55.7%Richard L. Murphy7,001

41.5%Henry Field5,209

12,566

1930Class II

37.4%Daniel F. Steck2,656

62.1%Lester Dickinson4,412

7,101

1926Class III

37.6%Claude R. Porter3,138

62.2%Smith W. Brookhart5,190

8,347

1924Class II

45.1%Daniel F. Steck5,037

54.9%Smith W. Brookhart6,136

11,173

1920Class III

34.6%Claude R. Porter3,510

65.1%Albert B. Cummins6,606

10,155

1918Class II

31.8%Charles R. Keyes1,422

68.2%William S. Kenyon3,043

4,465

1914Class III

29.2%Maurice Connolly1,574

47.0%Albert B. Cummins2,529

5,386

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1936Special · Class III

49.0%Guy M. Gillette5,937

50.1%Berry F. Halden6,069

12,108

1922Special · Class II

31.9%Clyde L. Herring2,565

68.1%Smith W. Brookhart5,486

8,052

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

30.9%Deidre Dejear2,328

66.8%Kim Reynolds5,032

7,533

2018

41.9%Fred Hubbell/Rita R Hart3,446

55.0%Kim Reynolds/Adam Gregg4,528

8,230

2014

35.9%Jack Hatch2,815

60.6%Terry Branstad4,745

7,831

2010

44.7%Chet Culver3,546

52.1%Terry Branstad4,136

7,939

2006

55.7%Chet Culver4,401

42.5%Jim Nussle3,361

7,904

2002

52.1%Tom Vilsack4,092

45.7%Doug Gross3,590

7,847

1998

50.0%Tom Vilsack3,908

48.7%Jim Ross Lightfoot3,807

7,821

1994

38.4%Bonnie Campbell3,275

60.4%Terry Branstad5,149

8,524

1990

41.3%Donald Avenson3,762

58.5%Terry Branstad5,331

9,120

1986

47.3%Lowell Junkins3,819

52.7%Terry Branstad4,253

8,077

1982

38.0%Roxanne Conlin3,653

61.5%Terry Branstad5,912

9,614

1978

38.5%Jerome D. Fitzgerald3,272

61.0%Robert D. Ray5,177

8,490

Frequently asked questions

How did Fayette County, Iowa vote in 2024?

In 2024, Fayette County, Iowa voted Republican by 30.4 points (R+30.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,848 votes cast, 3,334 went Democratic and 6,325 went Republican.

When did Fayette County, Iowa last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Fayette County, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Fayette County, Iowa?

Fayette County, Iowa has a population of 19,288 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Fayette County, Iowa?

Median household income in Fayette County, Iowa is $60,165 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.

What is the political history of Fayette County, Iowa?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fayette County, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.