akashic
1876–2024
Buchanan County, Iowa
Buchanan County·Iowa

Buchanan County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Rural northeast Iowa county where margins have widened each cycle since 2008

18762024·38 elections
Buchanan County, Iowa · Kevin Schuchmann · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+28
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
20,694
2024 ACS
Most similar
Worth County
IA · similarity 0.99
14 precincts · 10,750 votes cast
Trump · R+28
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−28.1%
3,7666,79010,750
2020R
−20.9%
4,1696,42010,774
2016R
−14.8%
3,9705,51010,377
2012D
+13.9%
5,9114,45010,535
2008D
+18.5%
6,0504,13910,338
2004D
+7.7%
5,6084,79710,475
2000D
+10.1%
5,0454,0929,410
1996D
+21.8%
4,9973,0438,951
1992D
+8.8%
4,1663,3139,654
1988D
+15.4%
4,7783,4958,321
1984R
−9.1%
4,1294,9659,152
1980R
−15.2%
3,6055,0419,422
1976R
−5.8%
4,2584,7949,223
1972R
−18.4%
3,6095,2779,048
1968R
−10.0%
3,6704,5418,674
1964D
+27.6%
5,6213,1878,823
1960R
−9.8%
4,2515,1799,433
1956R
−22.1%
3,5135,5129,035
1952R
−36.0%
3,0196,4319,484
1948R
−2.1%
4,1274,3108,523
1944R
−9.5%
3,8414,6538,508
1940R
−9.5%
4,6495,63010,309
1936D
+2.9%
5,0254,7349,894
1932D
+6.3%
5,0044,4019,500
1928R
−30.9%
3,0995,8859,004
1924R
−42.5%
1,7805,4598,651
1920R
−59.2%
1,6006,3347,997
1916R
−24.6%
1,8083,0004,855
1912D
+12.6%
1,8661,2714,719
1908R
−14.5%
1,8892,5524,577
1904R
−27.3%
1,5452,7984,592
1900R
−17.4%
2,0532,9585,194
1896R
−12.2%
2,2332,8655,181
1892R
−6.9%
2,1662,4984,817
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
1.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.5%
Mainline Protestant
10.9%
Methodist
10.2%
Other Christian
9.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Baptist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Buchanan County's population of roughly 21,000 is anchored by Independence, the county seat, and sustained by agriculture and small manufacturing. Its R+28 margin in 2024 reflects a decades-long rural realignment that has outpaced neighboring counties.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-eight points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-nine points in 1920. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Buchanan County's demographics — a population of 20,694, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $78,236 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Worth County and Jackson County.