- Lead
- 5,216
- Total
- 9,277
- vs nation
- R+54.8
- Turnout
- 66.7%
Paulding County, OH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.7% of 14,119 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,873
- Total
- 9,467
- vs nation
- R+55.9
- Turnout
- 67.3%
- Lead
- 4,407
- Total
- 9,220
- vs nation
- R+49.9
- Turnout
- 64.5%
- Lead
- 1,816
- Total
- 9,256
- vs nation
- R+23.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,152
- Total
- 9,785
- vs nation
- R+19.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,596
- Total
- 9,879
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,826
- Total
- 8,946
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 311
- Total
- 8,596
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,7912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,7312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jennings County, IN · twin score 86.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.7%9,415 participants ÷ 14,119 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.9%–48.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,220 | 14,304 | 64.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,070 | 14,245 | 49.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,576 | 14,228 | 67.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,629 | 14,236 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,415 | 14,119 | 66.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
34 precincts · 9,276 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BROWN TWPBROWN TWP | 149 | 743 | 6 | 898 | 16.6% | 82.7% | R+66.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ANTWERP VILLAGEANTWERP VILLAGE | 233 | 534 | 11 | 778 | 29.9% | 68.6% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -HARRISON TWPHARRISON TWP | 158 | 575 | 2 | 735 | 21.5% | 78.2% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -CARRYALL TWPCARRYALL TWP | 174 | 547 | 4 | 725 | 24.0% | 75.4% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -AUGLAIZE TWPAUGLAIZE TWP | 186 | 511 | 6 | 703 | 26.5% | 72.7% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -CRANE TWP & CECILCRANE TWP & CECIL | 134 | 530 | 6 | 670 | 20.0% | 79.1% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -PAULDING TWP & LATTY VILLAGEPAULDING TWP & LATTY VILLAGE | 105 | 524 | 5 | 634 | 16.6% | 82.6% | R+66.1 |
| Precinct -PAULDING VILLAGE 1PAULDING VILLAGE 1 | 145 | 426 | 9 | 580 | 25.0% | 73.4% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -BENTON TWPBENTON TWP | 92 | 471 | 2 | 565 | 16.3% | 83.4% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -JACKSON TWP & BROUGHTONJACKSON TWP & BROUGHTON | 96 | 445 | 9 | 550 | 17.5% | 80.9% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -PAULDING VILLAGE 2PAULDING VILLAGE 2 | 141 | 329 | 11 | 481 | 29.3% | 68.4% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -LATTY TWP & GROVER HILLLATTY TWP & GROVER HILL | 66 | 385 | 3 | 454 | 14.5% | 84.8% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -EMERALD TWPEMERALD TWP | 96 | 314 | 1 | 411 | 23.4% | 76.4% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -PAULDING VILLAGE 3PAULDING VILLAGE 3 | 106 | 295 | 7 | 408 | 26.0% | 72.3% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON TWPWASHINGTON TWP | 46 | 312 | 1 | 359 | 12.8% | 86.9% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct -BLUE CREEK TWPBLUE CREEK TWP | 60 | 262 | 3 | 325 | 18.5% | 80.6% | R+62.2 |
| Voting District ANTWERP VILLAGE39_39125125AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District AUGLAIZE TWP39_39125125AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District BENTON TWP39_39125125AAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District BLUE CREEK TWP39_39125125AAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District BROWN EAST & OAKWOOD39_39125125AAF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District BROWN WEST & MELROSE39_39125125AAG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District CARRYALL TWP39_39125125AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District CRANE TWP & CECIL39_39125125AAO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District EMERALD TWP39_39125125AAP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District HARRISON TWP39_39125125AAQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District JACKSON TWP & BROUGHTON39_39125125AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District LATTY TWP & GROVER HILL39_39125125AAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District PAULDING TWP & LATTY VILLAGE39_39125125AAY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District PAULDING VILLAGE 139_39125125ABD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District PAULDING VILLAGE 239_39125125ABE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District PAULDING VILLAGE 339_39125125AAV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District PAYNE VILLAGE39_39125125AAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District WASHINGTON TWP39_39125125ABG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +1.6% |
| 1896 | +1.0% |
| 1900 | −4.5% |
| 1904 | −16.1% |
| 1908 | −4.8% |
| 1912 | +14.3% |
| 1916 | −6.6% |
| 1920 | −24.6% |
| 1924 | −22.3% |
| 1928 | −24.5% |
| 1932 | +12.9% |
| 1936 | +4.0% |
| 1940 | −22.1% |
| 1944 | −31.4% |
| 1948 | −17.5% |
| 1952 | −33.9% |
| 1956 | −38.5% |
| 1960 | −27.4% |
| 1964 | +15.7% |
| 1968 | −17.8% |
| 1972 | −32.3% |
| 1976 | −5.2% |
| 1980 | −25.8% |
| 1984 | −32.4% |
| 1988 | −26.4% |
| 1992 | −3.8% |
| 1996 | −3.6% |
| 2000 | −20.4% |
| 2004 | −26.3% |
| 2008 | −11.8% |
| 2012 | −19.6% |
| 2016 | −47.8% |
| 2020 | −51.5% |
| 2024 | −56.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,699 |
| 2018 | 12,964 |
| 2020 | 12,811 |
| 2022 | 12,701 |
| 2024 | 12,665 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−73 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,301 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,659 in average income, against $70,451 for residents who stayed — 35% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.7 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Paulding County, OH itself (R+56.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Defiance County, OH98R+39.9
- Allen County, IN61R+12.5
- Van Wert County, OH43R+58.5
- Williams County, OH21R+48.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Defiance County, OH110
- Allen County, IN54
- Van Wert County, OH51
- Putnam County, OH24
- Williams County, OH20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −238 |
| 2012 | −150 |
| 2013 | −113 |
| 2014 | −264 |
| 2015 | −45 |
| 2016 | −130 |
| 2017 | −27 |
| 2018 | −108 |
| 2019 | −89 |
| 2021 | +91 |
| 2022 | −113 |
| 2023 | −54 |
| 2024 | +12 |
| 2025 | −73 |
Paulding County, tucked in Ohio's northwestern corner near the Indiana line, has trended toward supermajority Republican margins as its small farming communities have realigned over the past decade, with the 2024 presidential result reflecting a 56-point gap.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.2 points.
A population of 18,791, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,731 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jennings County and Wyandot County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Paulding County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39125/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.