HarrisDemocratic21.2%2,084TrumpRepublican77.5%7,625KennedyIndependent0.9%87
R+56.3- Lead
- 5,541
- Total
- 9,838
- vs nation
- R+54.9
- Turnout
- 54.9%
Akashiccounty
Fayette County, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.9% of 18,119 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic22.1%2,237TrumpRepublican76.5%7,755JorgensenLibertarian1.4%144
R+54.4- Lead
- 5,518
- Total
- 10,136
- vs nation
- R+58.9
- Turnout
- 57.6%
ClintonDemocratic23.5%2,252TrumpRepublican71.3%6,839JohnsonLibertarian4.6%439
R+47.8- Lead
- 4,587
- Total
- 9,598
- vs nation
- R+49.9
- Turnout
- 55.2%
ObamaDemocratic40.2%3,555RomneyRepublican57.1%5,045JohnsonLibertarian2.5%219
R+16.9- Lead
- 1,490
- Total
- 8,837
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.4%4,389McCainRepublican52.0%4,917OtherAll other candidates1.6%156
R+5.6- Lead
- 528
- Total
- 9,462
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.3%3,626BushRepublican60.8%5,761OtherAll other candidates0.9%81
R+22.5- Lead
- 2,135
- Total
- 9,468
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.5%3,415BushRepublican58.5%5,060OtherAll other candidates2.0%172
R+19.0- Lead
- 1,645
- Total
- 8,647
- vs nation
- R+19.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.9%3,822DoleRepublican44.9%4,091PerotReform12.5%1,137
R+2.9- Lead
- 269
- Total
- 9,120
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,3342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,3212024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Greene County, IL · twin score 91.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 54.9%9,951 participants ÷ 18,119 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.2%–45.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,077 | 18,255 | 55.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,730 | 18,036 | 59.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,295 | 17,873 | 57.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,320 | 18,132 | 34.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,951 | 18,119 | 54.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
56 precincts · 9,838 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 11CONNERSVILLE 11 | 180 | 641 | 18 | 839 | 21.5% | 76.4% | R+54.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -JACKSON 01JACKSON 01 | 121 | 639 | 11 | 771 | 15.7% | 82.9% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 02CONNERSVILLE 02 | 174 | 449 | 4 | 627 | 27.8% | 71.6% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 12CONNERSVILLE 12 | 79 | 415 | 11 | 505 | 15.6% | 82.2% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 13CONNERSVILLE 13 | 88 | 358 | 4 | 450 | 19.6% | 79.6% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 03CONNERSVILLE 03 | 107 | 320 | 4 | 431 | 24.8% | 74.2% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -COLUMBIA 01COLUMBIA 01 | 51 | 356 | 0 | 407 | 12.5% | 87.5% | R+74.9 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 09CONNERSVILLE 09 | 82 | 305 | 6 | 393 | 20.9% | 77.6% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 08HARRISON 08 | 77 | 313 | 3 | 393 | 19.6% | 79.6% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 04HARRISON 04 | 107 | 279 | 2 | 388 | 27.6% | 71.9% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -JENNINGS 01JENNINGS 01 | 62 | 324 | 2 | 388 | 16.0% | 83.5% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 02HARRISON 02 | 67 | 251 | 7 | 325 | 20.6% | 77.2% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -ORANGE 01ORANGE 01 | 58 | 247 | 7 | 312 | 18.6% | 79.2% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 05HARRISON 05 | 84 | 210 | 7 | 301 | 27.9% | 69.8% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 06CONNERSVILLE 06 | 82 | 209 | 3 | 294 | 27.9% | 71.1% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 10CONNERSVILLE 10 | 68 | 221 | 5 | 294 | 23.1% | 75.2% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 07HARRISON 07 | 42 | 235 | 3 | 280 | 15.0% | 83.9% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 01CONNERSVILLE 01 | 48 | 198 | 3 | 249 | 19.3% | 79.5% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 03HARRISON 03 | 53 | 190 | 4 | 247 | 21.5% | 76.9% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 08CONNERSVILLE 08 | 75 | 164 | 6 | 245 | 30.6% | 66.9% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 06HARRISON 06 | 56 | 181 | 3 | 240 | 23.3% | 75.4% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -WATERLOO 01WATERLOO 01 | 45 | 184 | 2 | 231 | 19.5% | 79.7% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 07CONNERSVILLE 07 | 64 | 154 | 4 | 222 | 28.8% | 69.4% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 01HARRISON 01 | 49 | 169 | 1 | 219 | 22.4% | 77.2% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -POSEY 01POSEY 01 | 41 | 174 | 4 | 219 | 18.7% | 79.5% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 04CONNERSVILLE 04 | 63 | 152 | 2 | 217 | 29.0% | 70.0% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -CONNERSVILLE 05CONNERSVILLE 05 | 36 | 147 | 2 | 185 | 19.5% | 79.5% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRVIEW 01FAIRVIEW 01 | 25 | 140 | 1 | 166 | 15.1% | 84.3% | R+69.3 |
| COLUMBIA 0118_1804100010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 0118_1804100020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 0218_1804100030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 0318_1804100040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 0418_1804100050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 0518_1804100060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 0618_1804100070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 0718_1804100080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 0818_1804100090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 0918_1804100100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 1018_1804100110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 1118_1804100120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 1218_1804100130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNERSVILLE 1318_1804100140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRVIEW 0118_1804100150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 0118_1804100160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 0218_1804100170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 0318_1804100180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 0418_1804100190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 0518_1804100200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 0618_1804100210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 0718_1804100220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 0818_1804100230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON 0118_1804100240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JENNINGS 0118_1804100250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORANGE 0118_1804100260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POSEY 0118_1804100270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATERLOO18_1804100280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −9.3% |
| 1896 | −14.2% |
| 1900 | −18.1% |
| 1904 | −22.3% |
| 1908 | −16.2% |
| 1912 | +10.6% |
| 1916 | −6.2% |
| 1920 | −11.1% |
| 1924 | −27.6% |
| 1928 | −25.8% |
| 1932 | +2.8% |
| 1936 | +6.3% |
| 1940 | −0.2% |
| 1944 | −2.8% |
| 1948 | +4.2% |
| 1952 | −14.8% |
| 1956 | −12.8% |
| 1960 | −12.3% |
| 1964 | +18.2% |
| 1968 | −6.5% |
| 1972 | −34.7% |
| 1976 | −1.6% |
| 1980 | −15.8% |
| 1984 | −26.6% |
| 1988 | −18.1% |
| 1992 | −3.8% |
| 1996 | −2.9% |
| 2000 | −19.0% |
| 2004 | −22.5% |
| 2008 | −5.6% |
| 2012 | −16.9% |
| 2016 | −47.8% |
| 2020 | −54.4% |
| 2024 | −56.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 36 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 22.0%2,011 | 78.0%7,117 | 9,128 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,510 |
| 2018 | 15,502 |
| 2020 | 16,149 |
| 2022 | 16,580 |
| 2024 | 17,160 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+20 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −23 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,719 in average income, against $54,673 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+42.3 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Fayette County, IN itself (R+56.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wayne County, IN75R+32.4
- Rush County, IN62R+54.0
- Franklin County, IN35R+64.4
- Union County, IN29R+55.9
- Marion County, IN21D+27.6
- Decatur County, IN20R+58.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wayne County, IN109
- Rush County, IN46
- Franklin County, IN32
- Union County, IN30
- Marion County, IN27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −84 |
| 2012 | −131 |
| 2013 | −45 |
| 2014 | −337 |
| 2015 | +9 |
| 2016 | −69 |
| 2017 | −7 |
| 2018 | −42 |
| 2019 | +27 |
| 2021 | +158 |
| 2022 | +154 |
| 2023 | +81 |
| 2024 | +243 |
| 2025 | +20 |
Fayette County, anchored by Connersville, has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, posting a 56-point margin in 2024 that places it among the state's most one-sided counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.3 points.
A population of 23,334, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,321 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greene County and Iron County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Greene County
Illinois
91.6twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2020–2024 trajectory
Iron County
Missouri
89.5twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2020–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Henry County
Missouri
89.4twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fayette County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Fayette County
Indiana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Fayette County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fayette County, Indiana voted Republican by 56.3 points (R+56.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,838 votes cast, 2,084 went Democratic and 7,625 went Republican.
When did Fayette County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fayette County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Fayette County, Indiana?
Fayette County, Indiana has a population of 23,334 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fayette County, Indiana?
Median household income in Fayette County, Indiana is $59,321 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Fayette County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fayette County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.