HarrisDemocratic33.1%23,082TrumpRepublican65.4%45,652KennedyIndependent0.8%551
R+32.4- Lead
- 22,570
- Total
- 69,765
- vs nation
- R+30.9
- Turnout
- 51.4%
Akashiccounty
Elkhart County, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.4% of 138,883 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic35.1%26,108TrumpRepublican63.1%46,972JorgensenLibertarian1.7%1,241
R+28.0- Lead
- 20,864
- Total
- 74,387
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- 55.4%
ClintonDemocratic31.3%20,667TrumpRepublican63.2%41,810JohnsonLibertarian4.1%2,716
R+32.0- Lead
- 21,143
- Total
- 66,109
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- 51.2%
ObamaDemocratic35.9%24,399RomneyRepublican62.3%42,378JohnsonLibertarian1.5%1,044
R+26.4- Lead
- 17,979
- Total
- 68,029
- vs nation
- R+30.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.9%31,398McCainRepublican55.1%39,396OtherAll other candidates0.9%664
R+11.2- Lead
- 7,998
- Total
- 71,458
- vs nation
- R+18.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic29.3%17,966BushRepublican70.0%42,967OtherAll other candidates0.7%447
R+40.7- Lead
- 25,001
- Total
- 61,380
- vs nation
- R+38.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic30.1%16,402BushRepublican67.5%36,756OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,324
R+37.4- Lead
- 20,354
- Total
- 54,482
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic32.6%16,598DoleRepublican56.6%28,770PerotReform10.1%5,133
R+23.9- Lead
- 12,172
- Total
- 50,850
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 207,1322024 5-year
- Population density
- 447 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 463 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,5612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.1 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clinton County, IN · twin score 85.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 51.4%71,415 participants ÷ 138,883 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 27.9%–37.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 68,591 | 133,939 | 51.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 64,687 | 136,562 | 47.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 76,961 | 138,919 | 55.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 44,851 | 140,759 | 31.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 71,415 | 138,883 | 51.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Elkhart County, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
51.7%
21,679 votes · D+4.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 50.3%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
74.8%
20,876 votes · R+50.1
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 72.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
31,398votes
43.9% of the vote · R+11.2
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 26,108 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
46,972votes
63.1% of the vote · R+28.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 45,652 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+7.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.8 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +5.3 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+38.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.7 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +37.9 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 135,800 |
| 2018 | 121,175 |
| 2020 | 124,785 |
| 2022 | 126,855 |
| 2024 | 126,874 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−949 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −11,391 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,829 in average income, against $83,689 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+16.9 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Elkhart County, IN itself (R+32.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Joseph County, IN1,090D+1.5
- Kosciusko County, IN297R+52.2
- LaGrange County, IN204R+56.8
- Cass County, MI201R+33.9
- Marshall County, IN116R+43.4
- St. Joseph County, MI108R+34.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Joseph County, IN1,161
- Kosciusko County, IN309
- Cass County, MI223
- Marion County, IN167
- LaGrange County, IN147
- St. Joseph County, MI124
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −675 |
| 2012 | −685 |
| 2013 | −204 |
| 2014 | −248 |
| 2015 | +87 |
| 2016 | −999 |
| 2017 | −806 |
| 2018 | −238 |
| 2019 | −870 |
| 2021 | −1,011 |
| 2022 | −1,352 |
| 2023 | −1,965 |
| 2024 | −1,476 |
| 2025 | −949 |
Elkhart County produces roughly 80% of the nation's recreational vehicles, and its manufacturing-heavy workforce has voted Republican by more than 30 points in each of the last three presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 50.1 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.4 points.
A population of 207,132, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,561 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clinton County and Marshall County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Clinton County
Indiana
85.8twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectorymedian age≠ population scale
Marshall County
Indiana
82.5twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectorycollege share≠ Scottish ancestry
Grant County
Indiana
80.6twin score
elasticity2004 marginScottish ancestry≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Elkhart County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Elkhart County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Elkhart County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Elkhart County, Indiana voted Republican by 32.4 points (R+32.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 69,765 votes cast, 23,082 went Democratic and 45,652 went Republican.
When did Elkhart County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Elkhart County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Elkhart County, Indiana?
Elkhart County, Indiana has a population of 207,132 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Elkhart County, Indiana?
Median household income in Elkhart County, Indiana is $68,561 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Elkhart County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Elkhart County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.