combined metro areaSouth Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+19.7
2008D+1.1
2012R+13.3
2016R+19.2
2020R+15.3
2024R+18.2
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 59.4% of 588,305 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
139,021
202,767
7,612
349,400
588,305
59.4%
2020
146,648
200,697
6,601
353,946
584,433
60.6%
2016
120,788
182,932
19,520
323,240
573,937
56.3%
2012
136,914
179,642
5,675
322,231
567,833
56.7%
2008
169,697
166,044
4,032
339,773
562,483
60.4%
2004
124,556
186,471
2,514
313,541
557,133†
56.3%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
6 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSouth Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MIUnited States
German20.5%12.5%
Irish9.8%9.4%
English9.7%9.5%
American5.9%5.3%
Polish4.6%2.2%
Italian2.9%4.8%
French1.6%1.6%
Dutch1.3%—
Mexican8.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.8%1.8%
Honduran0.5%0.3%
Venezuelan0.3%—
Salvadoran0.2%0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%0.5%
African American†6.8%9.9%
African0.9%0.5%
Asian Indian0.4%1.4%
Chinese0.3%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.9%
Korean0.2%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI
United States
Median age
38.5
39.1
Age 18–24
9.6%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI
United States
Median household income
$68,373
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.2%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
13.5%
22.3%
Spanish
8.2%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
2.6%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI
United States
Catholic
11.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
17.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
59.7%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−0.5%
1896
−7.5%
1900
−8.7%
1904
−23.3%
1908
−10.7%
1912
+17.6%
1916
+0.2%
1920
−29.6%
1924
−29.4%
1928
−28.8%
1932
+11.4%
1936
+12.6%
1940
−5.6%
1944
−10.0%
1948
−5.7%
1952
−17.5%
1956
−21.0%
1960
−10.7%
1964
+14.2%
1968
−12.7%
1972
−34.1%
1976
−14.5%
1980
−21.5%
1984
−27.2%
1988
−21.7%
1992
−7.2%
1996
−7.3%
2000
−17.1%
2004
−19.7%
2008
+1.1%
2012
−13.3%
2016
−19.2%
2020
−15.3%
2024
−18.2%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
39.8%Harris139,021
58.0%Trump202,767
1.0%Kennedy3,496 +17
R+18.2
R+3.0
R+16.8
349,400
All 20 candidates in 2024 · 18 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican58.0%202,767
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic39.8%139,021
Robert F KennedyIndependent1.0%3,496
Chase OliverLibertarian0.8%2,636
Peter SonskiIndependent0.2%690
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%285
Cornel WestIndependent0.1%175
Randall TerryIndependent0.0%141
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%130
Joseph KishoreIndependent0.0%43
Tom HoeflingIndependent0.0%5
Paij BoringIndependent0.0%3
Andre Ramon Mcneil SrIndependent0.0%1
Carol AsherIndependent0.0%1
Cherunda Lynn FoxIndependent0.0%1
Doug JenkinsIndependent0.0%1
Nala Baozun Scott Johnson Jr.Nonpartisan0.0%1
Shondra IrvingIndependent0.0%1
Susan Maude BuchserIndependent0.0%1
William Cody NalbachIndependent0.0%1
R
41.4%Biden146,648
56.7%Trump200,697
1.9%
R+15.3
D+4.0
R+19.7
353,946
R
37.4%Clinton120,788
56.6%Trump182,932
6.0%
R+19.2
R+6.0
R+21.3
323,240
R
42.5%Obama136,914
55.7%Romney179,642
1.8%
R+13.3
R+14.3
R+17.1
322,231
D
49.9%Obama169,697
48.9%McCain166,044
1.2%
D+1.1
D+20.8
R+6.2
339,773
R
39.7%Kerry124,556
59.5%Bush186,471
0.8%
R+19.7
R+2.7
R+17.3
313,541
R
40.4%Gore112,391
57.4%Bush159,877
2.2%
R+17.1
R+9.7
R+17.6
278,456
R
41.0%Clinton106,775
48.3%Dole125,920
10.7%
R+7.3
R+0.1
R+15.9
260,698
R
36.5%Clinton104,969
43.7%Bush125,724
19.8%
R+7.2
D+14.5
R+12.8
287,797
R
38.9%Dukakis102,493
60.6%Bush159,553
0.4%
R+21.7
D+5.5
R+14.0
263,204
R
36.1%Mondale98,423
63.3%Reagan172,492
0.6%
R+27.2
R+5.6
R+9.0
272,499
R
35.5%Carter99,108
57.1%Reagan159,194
7.4%
R+21.5
R+7.0
R+11.8
278,962
R
42.2%Carter113,495
56.7%Ford152,589
1.1%
R+14.5
D+19.6
R+16.6
269,022
R
32.4%McGovern86,449
66.5%Nixon177,386
1.0%
R+34.1
R+21.4
R+11.0
266,574
R
37.7%Humphrey99,245
50.4%Nixon132,653
11.9%
R+12.7
R+26.9
R+12.0
263,113
D
56.8%Johnson147,121
42.6%Goldwater110,437
0.5%
D+14.2
D+24.9
R+8.4
258,967
R
44.4%Kennedy122,171
55.1%Nixon151,686
0.5%
R+10.7
D+10.2
R+10.9
275,150
R
39.3%Stevenson100,113
60.2%Eisenhower153,492
0.5%
R+21.0
R+3.4
R+5.5
254,788
R
40.7%Stevenson99,074
58.2%Eisenhower141,736
1.2%
R+17.5
R+11.8
R+6.8
243,670
R
46.2%Truman92,049
51.9%Dewey103,410
2.0%
R+5.7
D+4.3
R+10.2
199,430
R
44.5%Roosevelt89,562
54.5%Dewey109,734
1.0%
R+10.0
R+4.4
R+17.5
201,226
R
46.9%Roosevelt92,161
52.5%Willkie103,142
0.6%
R+5.6
R+18.2
R+15.5
196,530
D
55.1%Roosevelt97,081
42.4%Landon74,849
2.5%
D+12.6
D+1.2
R+11.7
176,330
D
54.3%Roosevelt91,394
42.9%Hoover72,147
2.8%
D+11.4
D+40.2
R+6.3
168,227
R
35.3%Smith53,561
64.1%Hoover97,215
0.6%
R+28.8
D+0.6
R+11.3
151,669
R
30.6%Davis35,219
60.0%Coolidge69,108
9.5%
R+29.4
D+0.1
R+4.2
115,217
R
32.7%Cox33,733
62.2%Harding64,252
5.1%
R+29.6
R+29.7
R+3.4
103,235
D
47.3%Wilson30,820
47.2%Hughes30,720
5.5%
D+0.2
R+17.5
R+3.0
65,093
O
37.6%Wilson21,668
20.0%Taft11,522
42.4%
Roosevelt +4.8
D+28.4
R+1.9
57,614
R
42.0%Bryan27,972
52.7%Taft35,133
5.3%
R+10.7
D+12.6
R+1.2
66,664
R
35.4%Parker21,537
58.7%Roosevelt35,724
5.9%
R+23.3
R+14.6
R+3.7
60,826
R
44.2%Bryan26,397
52.9%McKinley31,578
2.8%
R+8.7
R+1.2
R+1.1
59,655
R
45.3%Bryan25,997
52.8%McKinley30,274
1.9%
R+7.5
R+6.9
R+1.4
57,382
R
47.2%Cleveland22,924
47.7%Harrison23,184
5.1%
R+0.5
—
R+2.2
48,598
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Year
Total registered
2016
601,267
2018
557,899
2020
582,511
2022
405,020
2024
600,279
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,809 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −35,968 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−3,263
2012
−3,897
2013
−2,544
2014
−1,485
2015
−2,622
2016
−2,783
2017
−2,459
2018
−1,604
2019
−2,833
2021
−2,179
2022
−1,755
2023
−3,414
2024
−3,321
2025
−1,809
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 34.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.2 points.
A population of 811,706, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,373 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lafayette-West Lafayette-Frankfort, IN and Springfield-Jacksonville-Lincoln, IL.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/515/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Republican by 18.2 points (R+18.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 349,400 votes cast, 139,021 went Democratic and 202,767 went Republican.
When did South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana has a population of 811,706 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Median household income in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana is $68,373 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.
