South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
56.8%
147,121 votes · D+14.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 55.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.5%
177,386 votes · R+34.1
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 64.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
169,697votes
49.9% of the vote · D+1.1
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 147,121 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
202,767votes
58.0% of the vote · R+18.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 200,697 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1900
−1.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.7 · U.S. R+7.5
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · −1.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+21.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+19.2 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +19.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, by party and cycle.
Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Democratic
Clinton4Obama2115,657 votes · 6 of 6 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Sanders5Clinton166,924 votes · 6 of 6 countiesprimary
Biden661,383 votes · 6 of 6 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Republicannot ingested
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Year
Total registered
2016
601,267
2018
557,899
2020
582,511
2022
405,020
2024
600,279
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,809 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −35,968 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−3,263
2012
−3,897
2013
−2,544
2014
−1,485
2015
−2,622
2016
−2,783
2017
−2,459
2018
−1,604
2019
−2,833
2021
−2,179
2022
−1,755
2023
−3,414
2024
−3,321
2025
−1,809
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 34.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.2 points.
A population of 811,706, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,373 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lafayette-West Lafayette-Frankfort, IN and Springfield-Jacksonville-Lincoln, IL.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/515/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Republican by 18.2 points (R+18.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 349,400 votes cast, 139,021 went Democratic and 202,767 went Republican.
When did South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana has a population of 811,706 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Median household income in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana is $68,373 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South Bend-Elkhart-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.
