Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
presidential margin
2008D+14.92012D+0.62016R+5.02020R+0.62024R+5.6
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+5.6
2024
median income$67,435U.S. $80,734 · IN $71,957
median age38.1U.S. 39.1
poverty rate13.8%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)31.6%U.S. 35.6%
non-english10.0%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German19.0%
Irish11.8%
English9.1%
African American†9.4%
African1.0%
Kenyan0.3%
Mexican7.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%
Venezuelan0.3%
Chinese0.5%
Asian Indian0.4%
Filipino0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline4.4%
Black Protestant3.0%
Other Christian0.8%
Latter-day Saints0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana

Akashic
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MITrumpR+5.6
—
2024 presidential margin by county for South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, INA map of the constituent counties of South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, IN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.St. Joseph County, IN · D+1.5Cass County, MI · R+33.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican52.0%72,090
Kamala HarrisDemocratic46.3%64,265
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People1.7%2,339
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, IN — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Cass County, MIRepublicanR+33.9
St. Joseph County, INDemocraticD+1.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
46.3%Harris64,265
52.0%Trump72,090
1.7%Kennedy2,339
−5.6%
138,694
R
48.8%Biden69,026
49.4%Trump69,863
1.8%Jorgensen2,565
−0.6%
141,454
R
44.3%Clinton59,517
49.3%Trump66,262
6.4%Johnson8,651
−5.0%
134,430
D
49.5%Obama66,051
48.9%Romney65,237
1.7%Johnson2,211
+0.6%
133,499
D
56.9%Obama80,793
42.0%McCain59,624
1.1%Barr1,548
+14.9%
141,965
R
47.3%Kerry62,174
51.9%Bush68,218
0.7%Badnarik924
−4.6%
131,316
R
48.2%Gore56,511
49.6%Bush58,126
2.3%Buchanan2,662
−1.4%
117,299
D
48.5%Clinton53,911
41.1%Dole45,654
10.4%Perot11,603
+7.4%
111,168
D
43.5%Clinton54,250
37.1%Bush46,325
19.4%Perot24,173
+6.4%
124,748
R
48.0%Dukakis55,500
51.6%Bush59,710
0.4%Fulani410
−3.6%
115,620
R
44.8%Mondale54,147
54.6%Reagan66,051
0.6%Dennis689
−9.8%
120,887
R
41.7%Carter51,276
50.3%Reagan61,813
7.9%Anderson9,760
−8.6%
122,849
R
48.2%Carter56,999
50.9%Ford60,251
0.9%Anderson1,013
−2.7%
118,263
R
38.0%McGovern46,611
61.3%Nixon75,206
0.7%Schmitz903
−23.3%
122,720
R
43.5%Humphrey53,030
44.4%Nixon54,110
12.0%Wallace14,630
−0.9%
121,770
D
61.6%Johnson74,633
37.8%Goldwater45,797
0.5%Hass658
+23.8%
121,088
D
52.8%Kennedy70,021
46.9%Nixon62,206
0.3%Byrd389
+5.9%
132,616
R
46.7%Stevenson58,994
52.8%Eisenhower66,726
0.4%Andrews540
−6.1%
126,260
R
47.9%Stevenson57,769
51.4%Eisenhower62,016
0.8%Hallinan919
−3.5%
120,704
D
53.1%Truman53,067
45.3%Dewey45,208
1.6%Thurmond1,603
+7.9%
99,878
D
51.8%Roosevelt50,566
47.6%Dewey46,441
0.6%Thomas633
+4.2%
97,640
D
53.5%Roosevelt49,960
46.1%Willkie43,032
0.5%Thomas434
+7.4%
93,426
D
59.8%Roosevelt48,245
37.6%Landon30,332
2.6%Lemke2,107
+22.2%
80,684
D
55.5%Roosevelt43,375
41.2%Hoover32,192
3.4%Thomas2,632
+14.3%
78,199
R
40.5%Smith29,192
59.0%Hoover42,564
0.5%Thomas393
−18.5%
72,149
R
35.7%Davis17,384
58.0%Coolidge28,227
6.3%La Follette3,055
−22.3%
48,666
R
36.5%Cox13,641
59.3%Harding22,173
4.1%Debs1,549
−22.8%
37,363
D
51.8%Wilson12,375
43.8%Hughes10,479
4.4%Benson1,046
+7.9%
23,900
O
35.6%Wilson7,467
22.0%Taft4,608
42.5%Roosevelt8,913
Roosevelt +6.9
20,988
R
41.4%Bryan11,028
53.7%Taft14,304
5.0%Debs1,327
−12.3%
26,659
R
33.9%Parker7,904
61.4%Roosevelt14,316
4.7%Debs1,102
−27.5%
23,322
R
45.4%Bryan9,773
52.7%McKinley11,344
1.8%Woolley397
−7.3%
21,514
R
47.0%Bryan9,259
51.6%McKinley10,172
1.4%Palmer275
−4.6%
19,706
D
49.0%Cleveland8,501
45.8%Harrison7,951
5.1%Weaver891
+3.2%
17,343
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −5.6% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−5.6%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+3.2%
1896−4.6%
1900−7.3%
1904−27.5%
1908−12.3%
1912+13.6%
1916+7.9%
1920−22.8%
1924−22.3%
1928−18.5%
1932+14.3%
1936+22.2%
1940+7.4%
1944+4.2%
1948+7.9%
1952−3.5%
1956−6.1%
1960+5.9%
1964+23.8%
1968−0.9%
1972−23.3%
1976−2.7%
1980−8.6%
1984−9.8%
1988−3.6%
1992+6.4%
1996+7.4%
2000−1.4%
2004−4.6%
2008+14.9%
2012+0.6%
2016−5.0%
2020−0.6%
2024−5.6%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MITotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 252,156 in 2024.63.3K126.5K189.8K253.1K252.2K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
YearTotal registered
2016253,058
2018232,307
2020239,220
202259,895
2024252,156
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Anchored by a major research university yet shaped by deindustrialized neighborhoods, the South Bend metro produces unusually competitive margins for northern Indiana, with the Michigan counties across the state line adding a distinct demographic wrinkle.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 27.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.6 points.

A population of 324,560, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,435 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lansing-East Lansing, MI and Niles, MI.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Lansing-East Lansing, MI
86.0twin score
2008–2020 trajectory% unaffiliatedelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
Niles, MI
82.8twin score
2008–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
Michigan City-La Porte, IN
81.0twin score
elasticity2000–2016 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/43780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI

counties2
Cass CountySt. Joseph County

Frequently asked questions

How did South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Republican by 5.6 points (R+5.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 138,694 votes cast, 64,265 went Democratic and 72,090 went Republican.
When did South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana has a population of 324,560 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Median household income in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana is $67,435 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.