HarrisDemocratic46.3%64,265TrumpRepublican52.0%72,090OtherAll other candidates1.7%2,339
R+5.6- Lead
- 7,825
- Total
- 138,694
- vs nation
- R+4.2
Akashicmetro area
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic48.8%69,026TrumpRepublican49.4%69,863OtherAll other candidates1.8%2,565
R+0.6- Lead
- 837
- Total
- 141,454
- vs nation
- R+5.0
ClintonDemocratic44.3%59,517TrumpRepublican49.3%66,262OtherAll other candidates6.4%8,651
R+5.0- Lead
- 6,745
- Total
- 134,430
- vs nation
- R+7.1
ObamaDemocratic49.5%66,051RomneyRepublican48.9%65,237OtherAll other candidates1.7%2,211
D+0.6- Lead
- 814
- Total
- 133,499
- vs nation
- R+3.2
ObamaDemocratic56.9%80,793McCainRepublican42.0%59,624OtherAll other candidates1.1%1,548
D+14.9- Lead
- 21,169
- Total
- 141,965
- vs nation
- D+7.6
KerryDemocratic47.3%62,174BushRepublican51.9%68,218OtherAll other candidates0.7%924
R+4.6- Lead
- 6,044
- Total
- 131,316
- vs nation
- R+2.1
GoreDemocratic48.2%56,511BushRepublican49.6%58,126OtherAll other candidates2.3%2,662
R+1.4- Lead
- 1,615
- Total
- 117,299
- vs nation
- R+1.9
ClintonDemocratic48.5%53,911DoleRepublican41.1%45,654OtherAll other candidates10.4%11,603
D+7.4- Lead
- 8,257
- Total
- 111,168
- vs nation
- R+1.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 324,5602024 5-year
- Population density
- 342 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 948 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,4352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+27.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI · twin score 86.0
presidential history
Party record book
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
61.6%
74,633 votes · D+23.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.8%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
61.4%
14,316 votes · R+27.5
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 61.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
80,793votes
56.9% of the vote · D+14.9
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 74,633 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75,206votes
61.3% of the vote · R+23.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 72,090 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+9.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+6.1 · U.S. R+15.4
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +8.4 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+7.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.5 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +7.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 253,058 |
| 2018 | 232,307 |
| 2020 | 239,220 |
| 2022 | 59,895 |
| 2024 | 252,156 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−828 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −12,479 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,506 |
| 2012 | −2,020 |
| 2013 | −1,068 |
| 2014 | −569 |
| 2015 | −863 |
| 2016 | −155 |
| 2017 | −828 |
| 2018 | −481 |
| 2019 | −810 |
| 2021 | −659 |
| 2022 | −597 |
| 2023 | −345 |
| 2024 | −1,750 |
| 2025 | −828 |
Anchored by a major research university yet shaped by deindustrialized neighborhoods, the South Bend metro produces unusually competitive margins for northern Indiana, with the Michigan counties across the state line adding a distinct demographic wrinkle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 27.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.6 points.
A population of 324,560, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,435 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lansing-East Lansing, MI and Niles, MI.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
86.0twin score
2008–2020 trajectory% unaffiliatedelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
Niles, MI
82.8twin score
2008–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
Michigan City-La Porte, IN
81.0twin score
elasticity2000–2016 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/43780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Republican by 5.6 points (R+5.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 138,694 votes cast, 64,265 went Democratic and 72,090 went Republican.
When did South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana has a population of 324,560 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Median household income in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana is $67,435 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.