HarrisDemocratic27.4%5,356TrumpRepublican70.7%13,837KennedyIndependent1.1%211
R+43.4- Lead
- 8,481
- Total
- 19,559
- vs nation
- R+41.9
- Turnout
- 59.0%
Akashiccounty
Marshall County, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.0% of 33,417 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic28.7%5,712TrumpRepublican69.5%13,844JorgensenLibertarian1.8%362
R+40.8- Lead
- 8,132
- Total
- 19,927
- vs nation
- R+45.3
- Turnout
- 61.1%
ClintonDemocratic26.3%4,798TrumpRepublican67.4%12,286JohnsonLibertarian5.1%924
R+41.1- Lead
- 7,488
- Total
- 18,239
- vs nation
- R+43.1
- Turnout
- 56.0%
ObamaDemocratic34.5%6,137RomneyRepublican63.3%11,260JohnsonLibertarian2.0%355
R+28.8- Lead
- 5,123
- Total
- 17,801
- vs nation
- R+32.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic42.5%7,889McCainRepublican56.1%10,406OtherAll other candidates1.4%255
R+13.6- Lead
- 2,517
- Total
- 18,550
- vs nation
- R+20.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic31.4%5,593BushRepublican67.8%12,074OtherAll other candidates0.8%147
R+36.4- Lead
- 6,481
- Total
- 17,814
- vs nation
- R+33.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.3%5,541BushRepublican63.6%10,266OtherAll other candidates2.1%343
R+29.3- Lead
- 4,725
- Total
- 16,150
- vs nation
- R+29.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic35.5%5,486DoleRepublican52.8%8,158PerotReform11.0%1,698
R+17.3- Lead
- 2,672
- Total
- 15,440
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 46,2842024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,8082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Noble County, IN · twin score 95.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.0%19,712 participants ÷ 33,417 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 36.5%–48.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 18,702 | 33,402 | 56.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,899 | 33,485 | 56.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 20,237 | 33,104 | 61.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,867 | 33,313 | 38.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,712 | 33,417 | 59.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
57 precincts · 19,610 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CENTER 3CENTER 3 | 737 | 1,122 | 33 | 1,892 | 39.0% | 59.3% | R+20.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -UNION 2UNION 2 | 321 | 638 | 18 | 977 | 32.9% | 65.3% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -CENTER 2CENTER 2 | 303 | 531 | 13 | 847 | 35.8% | 62.7% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -CENTER 5CENTER 5 | 201 | 606 | 20 | 827 | 24.3% | 73.3% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -GERMAN 1GERMAN 1 | 155 | 636 | 20 | 811 | 19.1% | 78.4% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -CENTER 7CENTER 7 | 239 | 539 | 24 | 802 | 29.8% | 67.2% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -POLK 2POLK 2 | 161 | 596 | 17 | 774 | 20.8% | 77.0% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -CENTER 6CENTER 6 | 202 | 498 | 12 | 712 | 28.4% | 69.9% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -GERMAN 5GERMAN 5 | 189 | 508 | 14 | 711 | 26.6% | 71.4% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -WEST 2WEST 2 | 165 | 516 | 13 | 694 | 23.8% | 74.4% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -NORTH 1NORTH 1 | 163 | 513 | 11 | 687 | 23.7% | 74.7% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -BOURBON 1BOURBON 1 | 119 | 539 | 18 | 676 | 17.6% | 79.7% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -WEST 3WEST 3 | 209 | 448 | 6 | 663 | 31.5% | 67.6% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -BOURBON 2BOURBON 2 | 136 | 502 | 13 | 651 | 20.9% | 77.1% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -GERMAN 2GERMAN 2 | 125 | 509 | 13 | 647 | 19.3% | 78.7% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -WEST 1WEST 1 | 188 | 418 | 20 | 626 | 30.0% | 66.8% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -POLK 1POLK 1 | 154 | 445 | 13 | 612 | 25.2% | 72.7% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -WALNUT 1WALNUT 1 | 148 | 442 | 15 | 605 | 24.5% | 73.1% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -TIPPECANOETIPPECANOE | 81 | 505 | 9 | 595 | 13.6% | 84.9% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct -CENTER 8CENTER 8 | 172 | 408 | 12 | 592 | 29.1% | 68.9% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -UNION 1UNION 1 | 245 | 314 | 25 | 584 | 42.0% | 53.8% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -NORTH 3NORTH 3 | 122 | 427 | 12 | 561 | 21.7% | 76.1% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -NORTH 2NORTH 2 | 115 | 434 | 6 | 555 | 20.7% | 78.2% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -GERMAN 4GERMAN 4 | 184 | 344 | 14 | 542 | 33.9% | 63.5% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -GREENGREEN | 103 | 380 | 19 | 502 | 20.5% | 75.7% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -WALNUT 2WALNUT 2 | 101 | 390 | 7 | 498 | 20.3% | 78.3% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -CENTER 1CENTER 1 | 171 | 306 | 13 | 490 | 34.9% | 62.4% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct -GERMAN 3GERMAN 3 | 147 | 323 | 7 | 477 | 30.8% | 67.7% | R+36.9 |
| BOURBON 118_1809900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOURBON 218_1809900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 118_1809900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 218_1809900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 318_1809900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 418_1809900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 518_1809900070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 618_1809900080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 718_1809900090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN 118_1809900100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN 218_1809900110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN 318_1809900120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN 418_1809900130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN 518_1809900140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREEN18_1809900150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH 118_1809900160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH 218_1809900170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POLK 118_1809900180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POLK 218_1809900190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -CENTER 4CENTER 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TIPPECANOE18_1809900200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 118_1809900210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 218_1809900220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALNUT 118_1809900230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALNUT 218_1809900240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST 118_1809900260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST 218_1809900270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST 318_1809900280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST CITY OF PLYMOUTH18_1809900250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +9.4% |
| 1896 | +9.8% |
| 1900 | +7.7% |
| 1904 | −2.0% |
| 1908 | +5.2% |
| 1912 | +28.1% |
| 1916 | +5.7% |
| 1920 | −10.1% |
| 1924 | −10.7% |
| 1928 | −21.1% |
| 1932 | +18.3% |
| 1936 | +4.1% |
| 1940 | −13.6% |
| 1944 | −21.6% |
| 1948 | −16.0% |
| 1952 | −28.1% |
| 1956 | −31.9% |
| 1960 | −25.4% |
| 1964 | +3.1% |
| 1968 | −23.8% |
| 1972 | −46.4% |
| 1976 | −20.0% |
| 1980 | −31.1% |
| 1984 | −38.2% |
| 1988 | −31.2% |
| 1992 | −18.9% |
| 1996 | −17.3% |
| 2000 | −29.3% |
| 2004 | −36.4% |
| 2008 | −13.6% |
| 2012 | −28.8% |
| 2016 | −41.1% |
| 2020 | −40.8% |
| 2024 | −43.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 36 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 37.1%5,486 | 62.9%9,309 | 14,795 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 30,313 |
| 2018 | 28,086 |
| 2020 | 29,386 |
| 2022 | 29,744 |
| 2024 | 30,004 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+24 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,887 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,556 in average income, against $77,409 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+27.4 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Marshall County, IN itself (R+43.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Joseph County, IN245D+1.5
- Elkhart County, IN114R+32.4
- Starke County, IN114R+52.0
- Kosciusko County, IN112R+52.2
- Fulton County, IN68R+51.2
- Porter County, IN25R+10.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Joseph County, IN252
- Elkhart County, IN116
- Starke County, IN95
- Kosciusko County, IN89
- Fulton County, IN73
- Marion County, IN34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −204 |
| 2012 | −244 |
| 2013 | −146 |
| 2014 | −78 |
| 2015 | −348 |
| 2016 | −311 |
| 2017 | −314 |
| 2018 | −329 |
| 2019 | −199 |
| 2021 | +76 |
| 2022 | +171 |
| 2023 | −121 |
| 2024 | +136 |
| 2025 | +24 |
Marshall County, anchored by the city of Plymouth, delivered a 43-point Republican margin in 2024 — a result consistent with the heavily rural, small-manufacturing character that has defined its voting patterns for over a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.4 points.
A population of 46,284, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,808 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Noble County and Shelby County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Noble County
Indiana
95.0twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectory% Black≠ French ancestry
Shelby County
Indiana
93.2twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectory% Black≠ Polish ancestry
Montgomery County
Indiana
92.8twin score
elasticity% Black2000–2004 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Marshall County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Marshall County
Indiana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Marshall County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Marshall County, Indiana voted Republican by 43.4 points (R+43.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,559 votes cast, 5,356 went Democratic and 13,837 went Republican.
When did Marshall County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Marshall County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Marshall County, Indiana?
Marshall County, Indiana has a population of 46,284 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Marshall County, Indiana?
Median household income in Marshall County, Indiana is $71,808 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Marshall County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Marshall County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.