- Lead
- 3,028
- Total
- 4,992
- vs nation
- R+59.2
- Turnout
- 66.3%
Martin County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.3% of 7,652 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,018
- Total
- 5,144
- vs nation
- R+63.1
- Turnout
- 65.7%
- Lead
- 2,816
- Total
- 4,846
- vs nation
- R+60.2
- Turnout
- 63.3%
- Lead
- 1,911
- Total
- 4,743
- vs nation
- R+44.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,416
- Total
- 4,903
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,892
- Total
- 4,996
- vs nation
- R+35.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,490
- Total
- 4,609
- vs nation
- R+32.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 433
- Total
- 4,720
- vs nation
- R+17.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+60.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,8302024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,5942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, IN · twin score 86.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.3%5,072 participants ÷ 7,652 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.9%–59.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,989 | 7,877 | 63.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,429 | 7,896 | 68.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,195 | 7,905 | 65.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,628 | 7,662 | 47.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,072 | 7,652 | 66.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 4,992 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PERRY 06PERRY 06 | 112 | 335 | 3 | 450 | 24.9% | 74.4% | R+49.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PERRY 01PERRY 01 | 81 | 327 | 5 | 413 | 19.6% | 79.2% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -RUTHERFORDRUTHERFORD | 63 | 321 | 8 | 392 | 16.1% | 81.9% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -NORTH CENTERNORTH CENTER | 54 | 311 | 8 | 373 | 14.5% | 83.4% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -PERRY 07PERRY 07 | 60 | 282 | 7 | 349 | 17.2% | 80.8% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -PERRY 05PERRY 05 | 70 | 258 | 13 | 341 | 20.5% | 75.7% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -PERRY 04PERRY 04 | 74 | 220 | 5 | 299 | 24.7% | 73.6% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -PERRY 02PERRY 02 | 78 | 205 | 8 | 291 | 26.8% | 70.4% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -MITCHELTREEMITCHELTREE | 61 | 216 | 9 | 286 | 21.3% | 75.5% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -LOST RIVERLOST RIVER | 35 | 223 | 6 | 264 | 13.3% | 84.5% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -NORTH HALBERTNORTH HALBERT | 29 | 218 | 4 | 251 | 11.6% | 86.9% | R+75.3 |
| Precinct -WEST MEMPHISWEST MEMPHIS | 56 | 188 | 3 | 247 | 22.7% | 76.1% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -PERRY 03PERRY 03 | 39 | 189 | 3 | 231 | 16.9% | 81.8% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -SOUTH HALBERTSOUTH HALBERT | 22 | 198 | 5 | 225 | 9.8% | 88.0% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -SOUTHEAST HALBERTSOUTHEAST HALBERT | 32 | 184 | 4 | 220 | 14.5% | 83.6% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -SOUTH CENTERSOUTH CENTER | 26 | 153 | 5 | 184 | 14.1% | 83.2% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -CRANECRANE | 27 | 66 | 1 | 94 | 28.7% | 70.2% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -EAST MEMPHISEAST MEMPHIS | 14 | 67 | 1 | 82 | 17.1% | 81.7% | R+64.6 |
| CRANE18_1810100010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST MEMPHIS18_1810100020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOST RIVER18_1810100040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MITCHELTREE18_1810100050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH CENTER18_1810100060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH HALBERT18_1810100070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY 118_1810100080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY 218_1810100090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY 318_1810100100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY 418_1810100110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY 518_1810100120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY 618_1810100130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY 718_1810100140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUTHERFORD18_1810100150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH CENTER18_1810100160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH HALBERT18_1810100170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTHEAST HALBERT18_1810100030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST MEMPHIS18_1810100180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +3.7% |
| 1896 | +10.7% |
| 1900 | −1.5% |
| 1904 | −6.8% |
| 1908 | +1.9% |
| 1912 | +15.4% |
| 1916 | +0.5% |
| 1920 | −5.8% |
| 1924 | +3.8% |
| 1928 | −4.3% |
| 1932 | +18.5% |
| 1936 | +6.1% |
| 1940 | −4.8% |
| 1944 | +1.0% |
| 1948 | +11.0% |
| 1952 | −4.0% |
| 1956 | −11.4% |
| 1960 | −3.2% |
| 1964 | +22.1% |
| 1968 | −3.6% |
| 1972 | −26.3% |
| 1976 | +2.2% |
| 1980 | −10.4% |
| 1984 | −26.7% |
| 1988 | −17.9% |
| 1992 | −9.3% |
| 1996 | −9.2% |
| 2000 | −32.3% |
| 2004 | −37.9% |
| 2008 | −28.9% |
| 2012 | −40.3% |
| 2016 | −58.1% |
| 2020 | −58.7% |
| 2024 | −60.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.2%977 | 78.8%3,625 | 4,602 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,875 |
| 2018 | 7,402 |
| 2020 | 7,614 |
| 2022 | 7,706 |
| 2024 | 7,775 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−44 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −253 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,815 in average income, against $68,751 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+56.6 on average — 4.0 points more Democratic-leaning than Martin County, IN itself (R+60.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Daviess County, IN67R+64.3
- Lawrence County, IN32R+51.0
- Dubois County, IN23R+42.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Daviess County, IN46
- Dubois County, IN30
- Lawrence County, IN23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −35 |
| 2012 | −67 |
| 2013 | −101 |
| 2014 | −46 |
| 2015 | −37 |
| 2016 | −48 |
| 2017 | −15 |
| 2018 | +19 |
| 2019 | +30 |
| 2021 | −10 |
| 2022 | +22 |
| 2023 | +65 |
| 2024 | +14 |
| 2025 | −44 |
Martin County's heavily rural, forested terrain and small population have long anchored it among Indiana's most one-sided presidential jurisdictions, with the 2024 margin exceeding 60 points in the Republican column.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.7 points.
A population of 9,830, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,594 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Mineral County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Martin County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.