HarrisDemocratic19.2%2,483TrumpRepublican79.4%10,247KennedyIndependent0.8%109
R+60.2- Lead
- 7,764
- Total
- 12,904
- vs nation
- R+58.7
- Turnout
- 60.4%
Akashiccounty
Mineral County, WV
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.4% of 21,378 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.7%2,660TrumpRepublican78.0%10,040JorgensenLibertarian1.1%148
R+57.3- Lead
- 7,380
- Total
- 12,876
- vs nation
- R+61.8
- Turnout
- 60.0%
ClintonDemocratic17.6%2,050TrumpRepublican77.7%9,070JohnsonLibertarian2.4%282
R+60.1- Lead
- 7,020
- Total
- 11,671
- vs nation
- R+62.2
- Turnout
- 54.2%
ObamaDemocratic26.3%2,885RomneyRepublican71.3%7,833OtherAll other candidates2.5%270
R+45.0- Lead
- 4,948
- Total
- 10,988
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic32.5%3,750McCainRepublican66.0%7,616OtherAll other candidates1.6%181
R+33.5- Lead
- 3,866
- Total
- 11,547
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic30.7%3,518BushRepublican68.5%7,854OtherAll other candidates0.8%89
R+37.8- Lead
- 4,336
- Total
- 11,461
- vs nation
- R+35.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.2%3,341BushRepublican63.2%6,180NaderGreen1.9%186
R+29.0- Lead
- 2,839
- Total
- 9,782
- vs nation
- R+29.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.4%3,487DoleRepublican48.3%4,380PerotReform12.9%1,170
R+9.8- Lead
- 893
- Total
- 9,076
- vs nation
- R+18.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+60.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 26,8542024 5-year
- Population density
- 82 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 328 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,3752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fulton County, PA · twin score 90.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.4%12,904 participants ÷ 21,378 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.0%–43.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,831 | 21,839 | 54.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,033 | 21,624 | 41.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,967 | 21,622 | 60.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,095 | 21,532 | 37.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 12,904 | 21,378 | 60.4% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Mineral County, WV · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.5%
6,344 votes · D+25.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 54.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
79.4%
10,247 votes · R+60.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 78.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
6,344votes
62.5% of the vote · D+25.1
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 5,898 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,247votes
79.4% of the vote · R+60.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,040 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+15.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+9.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +8.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+62.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.1 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +61.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+38.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+60.2
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Republican than the rolls.
19,418 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+148 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −292 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,843 in average income, against $65,528 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.5 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Mineral County, WV itself (R+60.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Allegany County, MD158R+40.2
- Hampshire County, WV49R+62.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Allegany County, MD164
- Hampshire County, WV38
- Monongalia County, WV25
- Garrett County, MD20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −105 |
| 2012 | −149 |
| 2013 | −171 |
| 2014 | −138 |
| 2015 | −125 |
| 2016 | +14 |
| 2017 | −80 |
| 2018 | −193 |
| 2019 | +15 |
| 2021 | +145 |
| 2022 | +209 |
| 2023 | +69 |
| 2024 | +69 |
| 2025 | +148 |
Mineral County, anchored by the small city of Keyser near the Maryland border, has shifted sharply toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, posting a 60-point margin in 2024 that reflects the broader realignment of Appalachian working-class voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.2 points.
A population of 26,854, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,375 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fulton County and Franklin County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Fulton County
Pennsylvania
90.6twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Franklin County
Indiana
87.9twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Huntingdon County
Pennsylvania
87.8twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mineral County, West Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/54057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Mineral County, West Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mineral County, West Virginia voted Republican by 60.2 points (R+60.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,904 votes cast, 2,483 went Democratic and 10,247 went Republican.
When did Mineral County, West Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mineral County, West Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Mineral County, West Virginia?
Mineral County, West Virginia has a population of 26,854 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mineral County, West Virginia?
Median household income in Mineral County, West Virginia is $69,375 — below the national median of $80,734. The West Virginia state median is $59,608.
What is the political history of Mineral County, West Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mineral County, West Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.