HarrisDemocratic12.5%1,061TrumpRepublican86.3%7,325KennedyIndependent0.9%77
R+73.8- Lead
- 6,264
- Total
- 8,490
- vs nation
- R+72.3
- Turnout
- 49.9%
Akashiccounty
Mingo County, WV
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 49.9% of 17,403 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic13.9%1,397TrumpRepublican85.2%8,544JorgensenLibertarian0.6%58
R+71.3- Lead
- 7,147
- Total
- 10,026
- vs nation
- R+75.7
- Turnout
- 54.2%
ClintonDemocratic14.4%1,370TrumpRepublican83.2%7,911JohnsonLibertarian1.5%145
R+68.8- Lead
- 6,541
- Total
- 9,512
- vs nation
- R+70.9
- Turnout
- 49.1%
ObamaDemocratic27.4%2,428RomneyRepublican69.9%6,191OtherAll other candidates2.7%236
R+42.5- Lead
- 3,763
- Total
- 8,855
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.0%3,582McCainRepublican55.0%4,587OtherAll other candidates2.0%169
R+12.1- Lead
- 1,005
- Total
- 8,338
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic56.2%5,983BushRepublican43.3%4,612OtherAll other candidates0.6%60
D+12.9- Lead
- 1,371
- Total
- 10,655
- vs nation
- D+15.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic60.2%6,049BushRepublican38.5%3,866NaderGreen0.7%74
D+21.7- Lead
- 2,183
- Total
- 10,043
- vs nation
- D+21.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic69.7%7,584DoleRepublican20.5%2,229PerotReform9.4%1,020
D+49.2- Lead
- 5,355
- Total
- 10,875
- vs nation
- D+40.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+73.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,5422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $38,1192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- County seat
- Williamson
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+59.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Logan County, WV · twin score 95.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 49.9%8,684 participants ÷ 17,403 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 28.6%–33.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,705 | 19,756 | 49.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,122 | 19,227 | 37.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,022 | 18,488 | 54.2% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,999 | 18,222 | 32.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,684 | 17,403 | 49.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 8,490 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -2222 | 79 | 574 | 8 | 661 | 12.0% | 86.8% | R+74.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -5959 | 44 | 583 | 12 | 639 | 6.9% | 91.2% | R+84.4 |
| Precinct -4747 | 56 | 529 | 5 | 590 | 9.5% | 89.7% | R+80.2 |
| Precinct -4444 | 43 | 414 | 7 | 464 | 9.3% | 89.2% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -7676 | 42 | 365 | 6 | 413 | 10.2% | 88.4% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -2828 | 46 | 344 | 8 | 398 | 11.6% | 86.4% | R+74.9 |
| Precinct -4646 | 36 | 358 | 4 | 398 | 9.0% | 89.9% | R+80.9 |
| Precinct -99 | 76 | 269 | 4 | 349 | 21.8% | 77.1% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -7575 | 22 | 317 | 1 | 340 | 6.5% | 93.2% | R+86.8 |
| Precinct -7474 | 38 | 287 | 1 | 326 | 11.7% | 88.0% | R+76.4 |
| Precinct -3030 | 29 | 270 | 3 | 302 | 9.6% | 89.4% | R+79.8 |
| Precinct -5757 | 31 | 264 | 6 | 301 | 10.3% | 87.7% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -2727 | 45 | 247 | 6 | 298 | 15.1% | 82.9% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -4949 | 44 | 229 | 1 | 274 | 16.1% | 83.6% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -4848 | 21 | 246 | 3 | 270 | 7.8% | 91.1% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -5151 | 37 | 225 | 4 | 266 | 13.9% | 84.6% | R+70.7 |
| Precinct -4343 | 25 | 233 | 5 | 263 | 9.5% | 88.6% | R+79.1 |
| Precinct -7373 | 23 | 228 | 0 | 251 | 9.2% | 90.8% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -77 | 79 | 162 | 5 | 246 | 32.1% | 65.9% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -5555 | 24 | 178 | 1 | 203 | 11.8% | 87.7% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -2626 | 21 | 179 | 0 | 200 | 10.5% | 89.5% | R+79.0 |
| Precinct -11 | 28 | 148 | 3 | 179 | 15.6% | 82.7% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -33 | 87 | 88 | 3 | 178 | 48.9% | 49.4% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct -4141 | 25 | 146 | 4 | 175 | 14.3% | 83.4% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -7272 | 22 | 137 | 2 | 161 | 13.7% | 85.1% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -4545 | 5 | 139 | 0 | 144 | 3.5% | 96.5% | R+93.1 |
| Precinct -5656 | 21 | 93 | 1 | 115 | 18.3% | 80.9% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -5050 | 12 | 73 | 1 | 86 | 14.0% | 84.9% | R+70.9 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1896–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1896 | +31.1% |
| 1900 | +23.9% |
| 1904 | +1.4% |
| 1908 | −15.0% |
| 1912 | +6.0% |
| 1916 | +5.3% |
| 1920 | +10.8% |
| 1924 | +5.9% |
| 1928 | −0.8% |
| 1932 | +5.2% |
| 1936 | +32.3% |
| 1940 | +33.6% |
| 1944 | +33.9% |
| 1948 | +35.7% |
| 1952 | +30.5% |
| 1956 | +11.7% |
| 1960 | +39.3% |
| 1964 | +59.1% |
| 1968 | +34.0% |
| 1972 | −14.5% |
| 1976 | +48.4% |
| 1980 | +42.3% |
| 1984 | +32.7% |
| 1988 | +43.8% |
| 1992 | +43.8% |
| 1996 | +49.2% |
| 2000 | +21.7% |
| 2004 | +12.9% |
| 2008 | −12.1% |
| 2012 | −42.5% |
| 2016 | −68.8% |
| 2020 | −71.3% |
| 2024 | −73.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+4.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+73.8
Mingo County, WV registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 78-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
17,125 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−86 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −4,146 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,977 in average income, against $52,953 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+63.9 on average — 9.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Mingo County, WV itself (R+73.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pike County, KY60R+65.4
- Logan County, WV45R+66.7
- Wayne County, WV20R+53.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Logan County, WV73
- Pike County, KY65
- Wyoming County, WV22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −221 |
| 2012 | −431 |
| 2013 | −163 |
| 2014 | −215 |
| 2015 | −412 |
| 2016 | −544 |
| 2017 | −490 |
| 2018 | −239 |
| 2019 | −359 |
| 2021 | −241 |
| 2022 | −351 |
| 2023 | −238 |
| 2024 | −156 |
| 2025 | −86 |
Mingo County, once a stronghold of union-driven Democratic loyalty rooted in its coal-mining heritage, has shifted so decisively that the 2024 presidential margin of R+73.8 ranks among the widest in West Virginia.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 73.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 73.8 points.
A population of 22,542, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $38,119 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Logan County and Floyd County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Logan County
West Virginia
95.0twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Floyd County
Kentucky
92.0twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectorymedian income≠ American ancestry
Overton County
Tennessee
90.5twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectory12-yr trend≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Mingo County, West Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/54059/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Mingo County, West Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mingo County, West Virginia voted Republican by 73.8 points (R+73.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,490 votes cast, 1,061 went Democratic and 7,325 went Republican.
When did Mingo County, West Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mingo County, West Virginia voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Mingo County, West Virginia?
Mingo County, West Virginia has a population of 22,542 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mingo County, West Virginia?
Median household income in Mingo County, West Virginia is $38,119 — below the national median of $80,734. The West Virginia state median is $59,608.
What is the political history of Mingo County, West Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mingo County, West Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.