McDowell County vs Mingo County

Side-by-side: the political memory, the demographic profile, and the deepest deltas between these two places.

McDowell County

LatestR+60.4in 2024

Population17,9432024 ACS

County seatWelchWV

Most similarBoone CountyWV · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+60.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 17,9432024 5-year
Population density: 34 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 534 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $31,5592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 86.5%2024 5-year
Black: 8.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.1%2024 5-year
County seat: Welch
Peak Democratic margin: D+66.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+60.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Boone County, WV · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 37.6%5,435 participants ÷ 14,439 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +22.4 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off versus state: +1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 15.3%–22.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	6,371	16,201	39.3%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	4,716	15,112	31.2%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	6,527	14,234	45.9%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	3,481	14,817	23.5%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	5,435	14,439	37.6%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−35.1%
1896	−45.5%
1900	−51.0%
1904	−51.2%
1908	−52.4%
1912	−19.8%
1916	−31.4%
1920	−41.3%
1924	−34.8%
1928	−28.2%
1932	−13.0%
1936	+43.7%
1940	+27.5%
1944	+27.3%
1948	+37.7%
1952	+39.6%
1956	+20.5%
1960	+49.7%
1964	+66.1%
1968	+46.6%
1972	−13.5%
1976	+44.0%
1980	+42.7%
1984	+33.1%
1988	+48.8%
1992	+51.9%
1996	+54.1%
2000	+34.2%
2004	+23.8%
2008	+8.5%
2012	−29.9%
2016	−51.1%
2020	−58.4%
2024	−60.4%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	R	19.1%Harris1,036	79.4%Trump4,310	1.0%Kennedy54 +2	R+60.4	R+1.9	5,425
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican79.4%4,310 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic19.1%1,036 Robert F KennedyIndependent1.0%54 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%15 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%10
2020	R	20.4%Biden1,333	78.9%Trump5,148	0.4%Jorgensen29	R+58.4	R+7.4	6,527
2016	R	23.0%Clinton1,438	74.1%Trump4,629	1.4%Johnson90	R+51.1	R+21.2	6,246
2012	R	34.1%Obama2,109	64.0%Romney3,959	1.9%	R+29.9	R+38.4	6,188
2008	D	53.3%Obama3,430	44.8%McCain2,882	1.8%	D+8.5	R+15.3	6,430
2004	D	61.7%Kerry4,501	37.8%Bush2,762	0.5%	D+23.8	R+10.4	7,299
2000	D	66.3%Gore4,845	32.2%Bush2,348	0.9%Nader67	D+34.2	R+19.9	7,303
1996	D	73.0%Clinton5,989	18.9%Dole1,550	8.0%Perot655	D+54.1	D+2.2	8,208
1992	D	71.8%Clinton7,019	19.8%Bush1,941	8.2%Perot803	D+51.9	D+3.1	9,781
1988	D	74.2%Dukakis7,204	25.4%Bush2,463	0.5%	D+48.8	D+15.7	9,714
1984	D	66.3%Mondale8,546	33.3%Reagan4,284	0.4%	D+33.1	R+9.7	12,883
1980	D	70.4%Carter9,822	27.7%Reagan3,862	1.9%	D+42.7	R+1.2	13,943
1976	D	72.0%Carter10,557	28.0%Ford4,107	0.0%	D+44.0	D+57.5	14,664
1972	R	43.2%McGovern6,811	56.8%Nixon8,942	0.0%	R+13.5	R+60.1	15,753
1968	D	67.8%Humphrey12,842	21.2%Nixon4,020	11.0%	D+46.6	R+19.5	18,937
1964	D	83.0%Johnson18,046	17.0%Goldwater3,684	0.0%	D+66.1	D+16.4	21,730
1960	D	74.8%Kennedy19,501	25.2%Nixon6,555	0.0%	D+49.7	D+29.2	26,056
1956	D	60.2%Stevenson16,865	39.8%Eisenhower11,138	0.0%	D+20.5	R+19.2	28,003
1952	D	69.8%Stevenson24,657	30.2%Eisenhower10,663	0.0%	D+39.6	D+1.9	35,320
1948	D	68.5%Truman21,545	30.8%Dewey9,687	0.8%	D+37.7	D+10.4	31,472
1944	D	63.6%Roosevelt19,300	36.4%Dewey11,023	0.0%	D+27.3	R+0.2	30,323
1940	D	63.7%Roosevelt24,449	36.3%Willkie13,906	0.0%	D+27.5	R+16.2	38,355
1936	D	71.8%Roosevelt25,471	28.1%Landon9,975	0.1%	D+43.7	D+56.7	35,481
1932	R	43.4%Roosevelt12,365	56.4%Hoover16,069	0.3%	R+13.0	D+15.2	28,514
1928	R	35.9%Smith8,294	64.0%Hoover14,810	0.1%	R+28.2	D+6.6	23,135
1924	R	28.2%Davis5,561	63.0%Coolidge12,422	8.9%	R+34.8	D+6.5	19,732
1920	R	29.3%Cox5,068	70.6%Harding12,198	0.1%	R+41.3	R+9.8	17,282
1916	R	34.2%Wilson3,692	65.6%Hughes7,086	0.2%	R+31.4	R+11.7	10,798
1912	R	26.8%Wilson2,497	46.5%Taft4,341	26.7%	R+19.8	D+32.6	9,327
1908	R	23.5%Bryan1,916	75.9%Taft6,176	0.6%	R+52.4	R+1.2	8,137
1904	R	24.2%Parker1,676	75.3%Roosevelt5,225	0.5%	R+51.2	R+0.2	6,937
1900	R	24.4%Bryan1,218	75.4%McKinley3,761	0.2%	R+51.0	R+5.5	4,990
1896	R	27.2%Bryan986	72.6%McKinley2,635	0.2%	R+45.5	R+10.3	3,627
1892	R	32.4%Cleveland607	67.6%Harrison1,265	0.0%	R+35.1	—	1,872
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

Mingo County

LatestR+73.8in 2024

Population22,5422024 ACS

County seatWilliamsonWV

Most similarLogan CountyWV · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+73.8MIT Election Lab
Population: 22,5422024 5-year
Population density: 53 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 423 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $38,1192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 95.0%2024 5-year
Black: 2.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 0.8%2024 5-year
County seat: Williamson
Peak Democratic margin: D+59.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+73.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Logan County, WV · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 49.9%8,684 participants ÷ 17,403 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +21.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 28.6%–33.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	9,705	19,756	49.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	7,122	19,227	37.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	10,022	18,488	54.2%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	5,999	18,222	32.9%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	8,684	17,403	49.9%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1896	+31.1%
1900	+23.9%
1904	+1.4%
1908	−15.0%
1912	+6.0%
1916	+5.3%
1920	+10.8%
1924	+5.9%
1928	−0.8%
1932	+5.2%
1936	+32.3%
1940	+33.6%
1944	+33.9%
1948	+35.7%
1952	+30.5%
1956	+11.7%
1960	+39.3%
1964	+59.1%
1968	+34.0%
1972	−14.5%
1976	+48.4%
1980	+42.3%
1984	+32.7%
1988	+43.8%
1992	+43.8%
1996	+49.2%
2000	+21.7%
2004	+12.9%
2008	−12.1%
2012	−42.5%
2016	−68.8%
2020	−71.3%
2024	−73.8%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	R	12.5%Harris1,061	86.3%Trump7,325	0.9%Kennedy77 +2	R+73.8	R+2.5	8,490
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican86.3%7,325 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic12.5%1,061 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.9%77 Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%18 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%9
2020	R	13.9%Biden1,397	85.2%Trump8,544	0.6%Jorgensen58	R+71.3	R+2.5	10,026
2016	R	14.4%Clinton1,370	83.2%Trump7,911	1.5%Johnson145	R+68.8	R+26.3	9,512
2012	R	27.4%Obama2,428	69.9%Romney6,191	2.7%	R+42.5	R+30.4	8,855
2008	R	43.0%Obama3,582	55.0%McCain4,587	2.0%	R+12.1	R+24.9	8,338
2004	D	56.2%Kerry5,983	43.3%Bush4,612	0.6%	D+12.9	R+8.9	10,655
2000	D	60.2%Gore6,049	38.5%Bush3,866	0.7%Nader74	D+21.7	R+27.5	10,043
1996	D	69.7%Clinton7,584	20.5%Dole2,229	9.4%Perot1,020	D+49.2	D+5.5	10,875
1992	D	67.5%Clinton7,342	23.8%Bush2,584	8.4%Perot915	D+43.8	±0.0	10,873
1988	D	71.8%Dukakis7,429	28.0%Bush2,896	0.2%	D+43.8	D+11.1	10,350
1984	D	66.3%Mondale8,434	33.6%Reagan4,275	0.1%	D+32.7	R+9.6	12,726
1980	D	70.2%Carter9,328	28.0%Reagan3,716	1.8%	D+42.3	R+6.1	13,280
1976	D	74.2%Carter8,655	25.8%Ford3,010	0.0%	D+48.4	D+62.9	11,665
1972	R	42.7%McGovern5,585	57.3%Nixon7,484	0.0%	R+14.5	R+48.5	13,069
1968	D	62.9%Humphrey8,677	28.9%Nixon3,988	8.2%	D+34.0	R+25.1	13,798
1964	D	79.5%Johnson12,266	20.5%Goldwater3,154	0.0%	D+59.1	D+19.8	15,420
1960	D	69.7%Kennedy11,259	30.3%Nixon4,903	0.0%	D+39.3	D+27.6	16,162
1956	D	55.9%Stevenson10,014	44.1%Eisenhower7,916	0.0%	D+11.7	R+18.8	17,930
1952	D	65.2%Stevenson12,856	34.8%Eisenhower6,852	0.0%	D+30.5	R+5.3	19,708
1948	D	67.8%Truman10,362	32.0%Dewey4,896	0.2%	D+35.7	D+1.8	15,292
1944	D	67.0%Roosevelt9,550	33.0%Dewey4,711	0.0%	D+33.9	D+0.3	14,261
1940	D	66.8%Roosevelt11,619	33.2%Willkie5,776	0.0%	D+33.6	D+1.3	17,395
1936	D	66.1%Roosevelt11,278	33.8%Landon5,771	0.1%	D+32.3	D+27.1	17,064
1932	D	52.5%Roosevelt8,657	47.3%Hoover7,801	0.3%	D+5.2	D+5.9	16,501
1928	R	49.5%Smith6,801	50.3%Hoover6,904	0.2%	R+0.8	R+6.7	13,732
1924	D	48.0%Davis5,313	42.1%Coolidge4,656	9.9%	D+5.9	R+4.9	11,070
1920	D	55.4%Cox4,934	44.6%Harding3,972	0.0%	D+10.8	D+5.5	8,906
1916	D	52.5%Wilson2,472	47.2%Hughes2,223	0.2%	D+5.3	R+0.7	4,705
1912	D	42.0%Wilson1,832	36.0%Taft1,569	21.9%	D+6.0	D+21.0	4,357
1908	R	42.3%Bryan1,520	57.2%Taft2,058	0.5%	R+15.0	R+16.3	3,596
1904	D	50.5%Parker1,652	49.1%Roosevelt1,607	0.5%	D+1.4	R+22.5	3,274
1900	D	61.9%Bryan1,363	38.1%McKinley838	0.0%	D+23.9	R+7.2	2,201
1896	D	65.4%Bryan1,204	34.3%McKinley632	0.3%	D+31.1	—	1,841
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

Biggest differences

Top 9 deltas, ranked by absolute magnitude.
Metric	McDowell County	Mingo County
Median household income	$31,559	$38,119
Population	17,943	22,542
Latest presidential margin	R+60.4	R+73.8
White (non-Hispanic)	86.5%	95.0%
Black	8.8%	2.0%
Poverty rate (overall)	34.2%	32.4%
Hispanic / Latino	2.1%	0.8%
Median age	43.7	44.5
Asian	0.1%	0.0%

McDowell County vs Mingo County

Side-by-side: the political memory, the demographic profile, and the deepest deltas between these two places.

McDowell County

LatestR+60.4in 2024

Population17,9432024 ACS

County seatWelchWV

Most similarBoone CountyWV · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+60.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 17,9432024 5-year
Population density: 34 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 534 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $31,5592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 86.5%2024 5-year
Black: 8.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.1%2024 5-year
County seat: Welch
Peak Democratic margin: D+66.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+60.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Boone County, WV · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 37.6%5,435 participants ÷ 14,439 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +22.4 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off versus state: +1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 15.3%–22.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	6,371	16,201	39.3%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	4,716	15,112	31.2%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	6,527	14,234	45.9%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	3,481	14,817	23.5%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	5,435	14,439	37.6%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−35.1%
1896	−45.5%
1900	−51.0%
1904	−51.2%
1908	−52.4%
1912	−19.8%
1916	−31.4%
1920	−41.3%
1924	−34.8%
1928	−28.2%
1932	−13.0%
1936	+43.7%
1940	+27.5%
1944	+27.3%
1948	+37.7%
1952	+39.6%
1956	+20.5%
1960	+49.7%
1964	+66.1%
1968	+46.6%
1972	−13.5%
1976	+44.0%
1980	+42.7%
1984	+33.1%
1988	+48.8%
1992	+51.9%
1996	+54.1%
2000	+34.2%
2004	+23.8%
2008	+8.5%
2012	−29.9%
2016	−51.1%
2020	−58.4%
2024	−60.4%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	R	19.1%Harris1,036	79.4%Trump4,310	1.0%Kennedy54 +2	R+60.4	R+1.9	5,425
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican79.4%4,310 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic19.1%1,036 Robert F KennedyIndependent1.0%54 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%15 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%10
2020	R	20.4%Biden1,333	78.9%Trump5,148	0.4%Jorgensen29	R+58.4	R+7.4	6,527
2016	R	23.0%Clinton1,438	74.1%Trump4,629	1.4%Johnson90	R+51.1	R+21.2	6,246
2012	R	34.1%Obama2,109	64.0%Romney3,959	1.9%	R+29.9	R+38.4	6,188
2008	D	53.3%Obama3,430	44.8%McCain2,882	1.8%	D+8.5	R+15.3	6,430
2004	D	61.7%Kerry4,501	37.8%Bush2,762	0.5%	D+23.8	R+10.4	7,299
2000	D	66.3%Gore4,845	32.2%Bush2,348	0.9%Nader67	D+34.2	R+19.9	7,303
1996	D	73.0%Clinton5,989	18.9%Dole1,550	8.0%Perot655	D+54.1	D+2.2	8,208
1992	D	71.8%Clinton7,019	19.8%Bush1,941	8.2%Perot803	D+51.9	D+3.1	9,781
1988	D	74.2%Dukakis7,204	25.4%Bush2,463	0.5%	D+48.8	D+15.7	9,714
1984	D	66.3%Mondale8,546	33.3%Reagan4,284	0.4%	D+33.1	R+9.7	12,883
1980	D	70.4%Carter9,822	27.7%Reagan3,862	1.9%	D+42.7	R+1.2	13,943
1976	D	72.0%Carter10,557	28.0%Ford4,107	0.0%	D+44.0	D+57.5	14,664
1972	R	43.2%McGovern6,811	56.8%Nixon8,942	0.0%	R+13.5	R+60.1	15,753
1968	D	67.8%Humphrey12,842	21.2%Nixon4,020	11.0%	D+46.6	R+19.5	18,937
1964	D	83.0%Johnson18,046	17.0%Goldwater3,684	0.0%	D+66.1	D+16.4	21,730
1960	D	74.8%Kennedy19,501	25.2%Nixon6,555	0.0%	D+49.7	D+29.2	26,056
1956	D	60.2%Stevenson16,865	39.8%Eisenhower11,138	0.0%	D+20.5	R+19.2	28,003
1952	D	69.8%Stevenson24,657	30.2%Eisenhower10,663	0.0%	D+39.6	D+1.9	35,320
1948	D	68.5%Truman21,545	30.8%Dewey9,687	0.8%	D+37.7	D+10.4	31,472
1944	D	63.6%Roosevelt19,300	36.4%Dewey11,023	0.0%	D+27.3	R+0.2	30,323
1940	D	63.7%Roosevelt24,449	36.3%Willkie13,906	0.0%	D+27.5	R+16.2	38,355
1936	D	71.8%Roosevelt25,471	28.1%Landon9,975	0.1%	D+43.7	D+56.7	35,481
1932	R	43.4%Roosevelt12,365	56.4%Hoover16,069	0.3%	R+13.0	D+15.2	28,514
1928	R	35.9%Smith8,294	64.0%Hoover14,810	0.1%	R+28.2	D+6.6	23,135
1924	R	28.2%Davis5,561	63.0%Coolidge12,422	8.9%	R+34.8	D+6.5	19,732
1920	R	29.3%Cox5,068	70.6%Harding12,198	0.1%	R+41.3	R+9.8	17,282
1916	R	34.2%Wilson3,692	65.6%Hughes7,086	0.2%	R+31.4	R+11.7	10,798
1912	R	26.8%Wilson2,497	46.5%Taft4,341	26.7%	R+19.8	D+32.6	9,327
1908	R	23.5%Bryan1,916	75.9%Taft6,176	0.6%	R+52.4	R+1.2	8,137
1904	R	24.2%Parker1,676	75.3%Roosevelt5,225	0.5%	R+51.2	R+0.2	6,937
1900	R	24.4%Bryan1,218	75.4%McKinley3,761	0.2%	R+51.0	R+5.5	4,990
1896	R	27.2%Bryan986	72.6%McKinley2,635	0.2%	R+45.5	R+10.3	3,627
1892	R	32.4%Cleveland607	67.6%Harrison1,265	0.0%	R+35.1	—	1,872
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

Mingo County

LatestR+73.8in 2024

Population22,5422024 ACS

County seatWilliamsonWV

Most similarLogan CountyWV · twin score 100.0

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+73.8MIT Election Lab
Population: 22,5422024 5-year
Population density: 53 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 423 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $38,1192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 95.0%2024 5-year
Black: 2.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 0.8%2024 5-year
County seat: Williamson
Peak Democratic margin: D+59.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+73.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Logan County, WV · twin score 100.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 49.9%8,684 participants ÷ 17,403 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +21.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 28.6%–33.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	9,705	19,756	49.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	7,122	19,227	37.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	10,022	18,488	54.2%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	5,999	18,222	32.9%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	8,684	17,403	49.9%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

presidential history

Margin, 1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876)

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1896	+31.1%
1900	+23.9%
1904	+1.4%
1908	−15.0%
1912	+6.0%
1916	+5.3%
1920	+10.8%
1924	+5.9%
1928	−0.8%
1932	+5.2%
1936	+32.3%
1940	+33.6%
1944	+33.9%
1948	+35.7%
1952	+30.5%
1956	+11.7%
1960	+39.3%
1964	+59.1%
1968	+34.0%
1972	−14.5%
1976	+48.4%
1980	+42.3%
1984	+32.7%
1988	+43.8%
1992	+43.8%
1996	+49.2%
2000	+21.7%
2004	+12.9%
2008	−12.1%
2012	−42.5%
2016	−68.8%
2020	−71.3%
2024	−73.8%

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	Total
2024	R	12.5%Harris1,061	86.3%Trump7,325	0.9%Kennedy77 +2	R+73.8	R+2.5	8,490
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican86.3%7,325 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic12.5%1,061 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.9%77 Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%18 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%9
2020	R	13.9%Biden1,397	85.2%Trump8,544	0.6%Jorgensen58	R+71.3	R+2.5	10,026
2016	R	14.4%Clinton1,370	83.2%Trump7,911	1.5%Johnson145	R+68.8	R+26.3	9,512
2012	R	27.4%Obama2,428	69.9%Romney6,191	2.7%	R+42.5	R+30.4	8,855
2008	R	43.0%Obama3,582	55.0%McCain4,587	2.0%	R+12.1	R+24.9	8,338
2004	D	56.2%Kerry5,983	43.3%Bush4,612	0.6%	D+12.9	R+8.9	10,655
2000	D	60.2%Gore6,049	38.5%Bush3,866	0.7%Nader74	D+21.7	R+27.5	10,043
1996	D	69.7%Clinton7,584	20.5%Dole2,229	9.4%Perot1,020	D+49.2	D+5.5	10,875
1992	D	67.5%Clinton7,342	23.8%Bush2,584	8.4%Perot915	D+43.8	±0.0	10,873
1988	D	71.8%Dukakis7,429	28.0%Bush2,896	0.2%	D+43.8	D+11.1	10,350
1984	D	66.3%Mondale8,434	33.6%Reagan4,275	0.1%	D+32.7	R+9.6	12,726
1980	D	70.2%Carter9,328	28.0%Reagan3,716	1.8%	D+42.3	R+6.1	13,280
1976	D	74.2%Carter8,655	25.8%Ford3,010	0.0%	D+48.4	D+62.9	11,665
1972	R	42.7%McGovern5,585	57.3%Nixon7,484	0.0%	R+14.5	R+48.5	13,069
1968	D	62.9%Humphrey8,677	28.9%Nixon3,988	8.2%	D+34.0	R+25.1	13,798
1964	D	79.5%Johnson12,266	20.5%Goldwater3,154	0.0%	D+59.1	D+19.8	15,420
1960	D	69.7%Kennedy11,259	30.3%Nixon4,903	0.0%	D+39.3	D+27.6	16,162
1956	D	55.9%Stevenson10,014	44.1%Eisenhower7,916	0.0%	D+11.7	R+18.8	17,930
1952	D	65.2%Stevenson12,856	34.8%Eisenhower6,852	0.0%	D+30.5	R+5.3	19,708
1948	D	67.8%Truman10,362	32.0%Dewey4,896	0.2%	D+35.7	D+1.8	15,292
1944	D	67.0%Roosevelt9,550	33.0%Dewey4,711	0.0%	D+33.9	D+0.3	14,261
1940	D	66.8%Roosevelt11,619	33.2%Willkie5,776	0.0%	D+33.6	D+1.3	17,395
1936	D	66.1%Roosevelt11,278	33.8%Landon5,771	0.1%	D+32.3	D+27.1	17,064
1932	D	52.5%Roosevelt8,657	47.3%Hoover7,801	0.3%	D+5.2	D+5.9	16,501
1928	R	49.5%Smith6,801	50.3%Hoover6,904	0.2%	R+0.8	R+6.7	13,732
1924	D	48.0%Davis5,313	42.1%Coolidge4,656	9.9%	D+5.9	R+4.9	11,070
1920	D	55.4%Cox4,934	44.6%Harding3,972	0.0%	D+10.8	D+5.5	8,906
1916	D	52.5%Wilson2,472	47.2%Hughes2,223	0.2%	D+5.3	R+0.7	4,705
1912	D	42.0%Wilson1,832	36.0%Taft1,569	21.9%	D+6.0	D+21.0	4,357
1908	R	42.3%Bryan1,520	57.2%Taft2,058	0.5%	R+15.0	R+16.3	3,596
1904	D	50.5%Parker1,652	49.1%Roosevelt1,607	0.5%	D+1.4	R+22.5	3,274
1900	D	61.9%Bryan1,363	38.1%McKinley838	0.0%	D+23.9	R+7.2	2,201
1896	D	65.4%Bryan1,204	34.3%McKinley632	0.3%	D+31.1	—	1,841
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—

Biggest differences

Top 9 deltas, ranked by absolute magnitude.
Metric	McDowell County	Mingo County
Median household income	$31,559	$38,119
Population	17,943	22,542
Latest presidential margin	R+60.4	R+73.8
White (non-Hispanic)	86.5%	95.0%
Black	8.8%	2.0%
Poverty rate (overall)	34.2%	32.4%
Hispanic / Latino	2.1%	0.8%
Median age	43.7	44.5
Asian	0.1%	0.0%