HarrisDemocratic20.6%4,851TrumpRepublican77.9%18,372KennedyIndependent1.0%246
R+57.3- Lead
- 13,521
- Total
- 23,584
- vs nation
- R+55.9
- Turnout
- 51.3%
Akashiccounty
Mercer County, WV
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.3% of 46,181 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic22.1%5,556TrumpRepublican76.5%19,237JorgensenLibertarian1.1%267
R+54.4- Lead
- 13,681
- Total
- 25,135
- vs nation
- R+58.9
- Turnout
- 53.7%
ClintonDemocratic20.3%4,704TrumpRepublican75.0%17,404JohnsonLibertarian2.4%552
R+54.7- Lead
- 12,700
- Total
- 23,197
- vs nation
- R+56.8
- Turnout
- 48.3%
ObamaDemocratic25.5%5,432RomneyRepublican72.5%15,450OtherAll other candidates2.0%431
R+47.0- Lead
- 10,018
- Total
- 21,313
- vs nation
- R+50.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic35.4%7,450McCainRepublican63.0%13,246OtherAll other candidates1.6%326
R+27.6- Lead
- 5,796
- Total
- 21,022
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.0%9,178BushRepublican58.3%13,057OtherAll other candidates0.6%144
R+17.3- Lead
- 3,879
- Total
- 22,379
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic44.2%8,347BushRepublican54.1%10,206NaderGreen1.2%227
R+9.8- Lead
- 1,859
- Total
- 18,875
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic46.6%8,721DoleRepublican41.5%7,768PerotReform11.4%2,141
D+5.1- Lead
- 953
- Total
- 18,700
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 58,5632024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,2102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Claiborne County, TN · twin score 94.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 51.3%23,700 participants ÷ 46,181 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 27.9%–34.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 23,466 | 48,546 | 48.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,350 | 47,851 | 38.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 25,251 | 46,987 | 53.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,247 | 47,038 | 30.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 23,700 | 46,181 | 51.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
44 precincts · 23,584 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -6565 | 195 | 867 | 13 | 1,075 | 18.1% | 80.7% | R+62.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -7171 | 144 | 891 | 13 | 1,048 | 13.7% | 85.0% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct -7575 | 237 | 732 | 18 | 987 | 24.0% | 74.2% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -8888 | 174 | 743 | 10 | 927 | 18.8% | 80.2% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -8282 | 271 | 625 | 16 | 912 | 29.7% | 68.5% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -3636 | 237 | 634 | 15 | 886 | 26.7% | 71.6% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -6262 | 128 | 722 | 10 | 860 | 14.9% | 84.0% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -5656 | 282 | 556 | 17 | 855 | 33.0% | 65.0% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -7373 | 126 | 613 | 8 | 747 | 16.9% | 82.1% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -44 | 111 | 611 | 8 | 730 | 15.2% | 83.7% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -7474 | 138 | 570 | 21 | 729 | 18.9% | 78.2% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -9595 | 138 | 577 | 11 | 726 | 19.0% | 79.5% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -9898 | 102 | 562 | 11 | 675 | 15.1% | 83.3% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -22 | 81 | 547 | 10 | 638 | 12.7% | 85.7% | R+73.0 |
| Precinct -4949 | 69 | 558 | 8 | 635 | 10.9% | 87.9% | R+77.0 |
| Precinct -4444 | 69 | 534 | 10 | 613 | 11.3% | 87.1% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -7272 | 93 | 497 | 4 | 594 | 15.7% | 83.7% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -33 | 82 | 490 | 6 | 578 | 14.2% | 84.8% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -3232 | 199 | 341 | 10 | 550 | 36.2% | 62.0% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -4747 | 66 | 432 | 7 | 505 | 13.1% | 85.5% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -6969 | 64 | 422 | 9 | 495 | 12.9% | 85.3% | R+72.3 |
| Precinct -2828 | 183 | 296 | 11 | 490 | 37.3% | 60.4% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -7878 | 143 | 327 | 9 | 479 | 29.9% | 68.3% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -5454 | 45 | 422 | 2 | 469 | 9.6% | 90.0% | R+80.4 |
| Precinct -5858 | 41 | 423 | 5 | 469 | 8.7% | 90.2% | R+81.4 |
| Precinct -8686 | 123 | 335 | 8 | 466 | 26.4% | 71.9% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -3131 | 169 | 284 | 6 | 459 | 36.8% | 61.9% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -5959 | 47 | 373 | 6 | 426 | 11.0% | 87.6% | R+76.5 |
| Precinct -5353 | 34 | 386 | 4 | 424 | 8.0% | 91.0% | R+83.0 |
| Precinct -2727 | 144 | 257 | 10 | 411 | 35.0% | 62.5% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -8989 | 72 | 319 | 6 | 397 | 18.1% | 80.4% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -6464 | 46 | 295 | 6 | 347 | 13.3% | 85.0% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -7979 | 51 | 261 | 7 | 319 | 16.0% | 81.8% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -8080 | 117 | 194 | 6 | 317 | 36.9% | 61.2% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -8383 | 58 | 252 | 3 | 313 | 18.5% | 80.5% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -11 | 36 | 252 | 3 | 291 | 12.4% | 86.6% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -1414 | 208 | 54 | 7 | 269 | 77.3% | 20.1% | D+57.2 |
| Precinct -1515 | 84 | 166 | 6 | 256 | 32.8% | 64.8% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -5252 | 33 | 217 | 6 | 256 | 12.9% | 84.8% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -2020 | 106 | 115 | 4 | 225 | 47.1% | 51.1% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct -6767 | 45 | 166 | 5 | 216 | 20.8% | 76.9% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -9696 | 24 | 183 | 2 | 209 | 11.5% | 87.6% | R+76.1 |
| Precinct -6666 | 18 | 155 | 2 | 175 | 10.3% | 88.6% | R+78.3 |
| Precinct -6060 | 18 | 116 | 2 | 136 | 13.2% | 85.3% | R+72.1 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +5.0% |
| 1896 | −5.9% |
| 1900 | −12.1% |
| 1904 | −21.7% |
| 1908 | −16.8% |
| 1912 | +24.5% |
| 1916 | +0.5% |
| 1920 | −3.8% |
| 1924 | +4.2% |
| 1928 | −11.3% |
| 1932 | +17.8% |
| 1936 | +26.1% |
| 1940 | +22.9% |
| 1944 | +19.4% |
| 1948 | +20.3% |
| 1952 | +7.8% |
| 1956 | −5.1% |
| 1960 | +19.2% |
| 1964 | +34.5% |
| 1968 | +10.6% |
| 1972 | −39.0% |
| 1976 | +15.5% |
| 1980 | −1.9% |
| 1984 | −20.5% |
| 1988 | −0.3% |
| 1992 | +8.0% |
| 1996 | +5.1% |
| 2000 | −9.8% |
| 2004 | −17.3% |
| 2008 | −27.6% |
| 2012 | −47.0% |
| 2016 | −54.7% |
| 2020 | −54.4% |
| 2024 | −57.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+19.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+57.3
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 38 points more Democratic.
38,438 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+362 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,823 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,630 in average income, against $57,575 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+61.2 on average — 3.9 points more Republican-leaning than Mercer County, WV itself (R+57.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tazewell County, VA122R+68.7
- McDowell County, WV64R+60.4
- Raleigh County, WV57R+54.3
- Giles County, VA34R+54.3
- Summers County, WV24R+51.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tazewell County, VA123
- McDowell County, WV63
- Raleigh County, WV59
- Monroe County, WV35
- Kanawha County, WV34
- Summers County, WV34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +282 |
| 2012 | +19 |
| 2013 | −323 |
| 2014 | +18 |
| 2015 | −497 |
| 2016 | −355 |
| 2017 | −562 |
| 2018 | −392 |
| 2019 | −202 |
| 2021 | +116 |
| 2022 | +47 |
| 2023 | −194 |
| 2024 | −142 |
| 2025 | +362 |
Mercer County, anchored by Bluefield in the state's southern coalfields, has moved from competitive terrain to a reliably wide Republican margin, reflecting the broader realignment of Appalachian working-class voters over the past generation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.3 points.
A population of 58,563, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,210 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Claiborne County and Harlan County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Claiborne County
Tennessee
94.0twin score
elasticity2012–2020 trajectory
Harlan County
Kentucky
92.8twin score
elasticity2012–2016 trajectory% Evangelical
Hardin County
Tennessee
91.4twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mercer County, West Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/54055/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Mercer County, West Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mercer County, West Virginia voted Republican by 57.3 points (R+57.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,584 votes cast, 4,851 went Democratic and 18,372 went Republican.
When did Mercer County, West Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mercer County, West Virginia voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Mercer County, West Virginia?
Mercer County, West Virginia has a population of 58,563 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mercer County, West Virginia?
Median household income in Mercer County, West Virginia is $53,210 — below the national median of $80,734. The West Virginia state median is $59,608.
What is the political history of Mercer County, West Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mercer County, West Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.