HarrisDemocratic25.1%4,955TrumpRepublican73.1%14,438KennedyIndependent1.1%223
R+48.0- Lead
- 9,483
- Total
- 19,754
- vs nation
- R+46.5
- Turnout
- 58.6%
Akashiccounty
Shelby County, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.6% of 34,251 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.1%5,023TrumpRepublican72.9%14,568JorgensenLibertarian2.0%400
R+47.7- Lead
- 9,545
- Total
- 19,991
- vs nation
- R+52.2
- Turnout
- 60.6%
ClintonDemocratic23.5%4,247TrumpRepublican70.3%12,718JohnsonLibertarian5.4%970
R+46.9- Lead
- 8,471
- Total
- 18,080
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 55.2%
ObamaDemocratic32.0%5,359RomneyRepublican65.5%10,978JohnsonLibertarian2.5%414
R+33.5- Lead
- 5,619
- Total
- 16,760
- vs nation
- R+37.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic39.8%6,987McCainRepublican58.8%10,333OtherAll other candidates1.4%254
R+19.0- Lead
- 3,346
- Total
- 17,574
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic28.2%4,519BushRepublican71.1%11,397OtherAll other candidates0.7%111
R+42.9- Lead
- 6,878
- Total
- 16,027
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic35.1%5,374BushRepublican62.6%9,590OtherAll other candidates2.3%346
R+27.5- Lead
- 4,216
- Total
- 15,310
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic35.5%5,374DoleRepublican51.4%7,778PerotReform12.4%1,874
R+15.9- Lead
- 2,404
- Total
- 15,142
- vs nation
- R+24.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,2652024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,1902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montgomery County, IN · twin score 95.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.6%20,064 participants ÷ 34,251 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.5%–41.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 18,440 | 33,385 | 55.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,622 | 33,438 | 46.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 20,414 | 33,687 | 60.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,710 | 33,947 | 34.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,064 | 34,251 | 58.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
79 precincts · 19,741 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -JACKSONJACKSON | 234 | 866 | 20 | 1,120 | 20.9% | 77.3% | R+56.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -3 WEST3 WEST | 288 | 598 | 18 | 904 | 31.9% | 66.2% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -MORAL SOUTHMORAL SOUTH | 167 | 652 | 16 | 835 | 20.0% | 78.1% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -VAN BURENVAN BUREN | 159 | 602 | 14 | 775 | 20.5% | 77.7% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -MARIONMARION | 184 | 535 | 19 | 738 | 24.9% | 72.5% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -5 NORTH5 NORTH | 204 | 499 | 15 | 718 | 28.4% | 69.5% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -2 NORTH2 NORTH | 223 | 464 | 21 | 708 | 31.5% | 65.5% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -1 EAST1 EAST | 230 | 459 | 16 | 705 | 32.6% | 65.1% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -NOBLENOBLE | 150 | 499 | 10 | 659 | 22.8% | 75.7% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -4 NORTH4 NORTH | 177 | 451 | 14 | 642 | 27.6% | 70.2% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -HENDRICKSHENDRICKS | 128 | 489 | 10 | 627 | 20.4% | 78.0% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -SUGAR CREEKSUGAR CREEK | 116 | 467 | 16 | 599 | 19.4% | 78.0% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -MORAL NORTHMORAL NORTH | 140 | 440 | 17 | 597 | 23.5% | 73.7% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -HANOVER NORTHHANOVER NORTH | 91 | 483 | 11 | 585 | 15.6% | 82.6% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -ADDISON EASTADDISON EAST | 151 | 416 | 17 | 584 | 25.9% | 71.2% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -UNIONUNION | 126 | 425 | 11 | 562 | 22.4% | 75.6% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -BRANDYWINE NWBRANDYWINE NW | 127 | 422 | 9 | 558 | 22.8% | 75.6% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -4 NORTHEAST4 NORTHEAST | 181 | 361 | 10 | 552 | 32.8% | 65.4% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTONWASHINGTON | 109 | 432 | 11 | 552 | 19.7% | 78.3% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -3 EAST3 EAST | 180 | 359 | 12 | 551 | 32.7% | 65.2% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -5 SOUTH5 SOUTH | 189 | 352 | 9 | 550 | 34.4% | 64.0% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -MORAL NORTHWESTMORAL NORTHWEST | 134 | 397 | 12 | 543 | 24.7% | 73.1% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -SHELBY WESTSHELBY WEST | 112 | 413 | 9 | 534 | 21.0% | 77.3% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -4 EAST4 EAST | 149 | 314 | 15 | 478 | 31.2% | 65.7% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -LIBERTY EASTLIBERTY EAST | 115 | 352 | 10 | 477 | 24.1% | 73.8% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -MORAL SOUTHWESTMORAL SOUTHWEST | 85 | 370 | 5 | 460 | 18.5% | 80.4% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -HANOVER SOUTHHANOVER SOUTH | 86 | 337 | 3 | 426 | 20.2% | 79.1% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -2 SOUTH2 SOUTH | 112 | 299 | 5 | 416 | 26.9% | 71.9% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -BRANDYWINEBRANDYWINE | 67 | 323 | 5 | 395 | 17.0% | 81.8% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -SHELBY EASTSHELBY EAST | 78 | 270 | 7 | 355 | 22.0% | 76.1% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -LIBERTY WESTLIBERTY WEST | 81 | 258 | 7 | 346 | 23.4% | 74.6% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -ADDISON WESTADDISON WEST | 92 | 240 | 7 | 339 | 27.1% | 70.8% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -1 SOUTHWEST1 SOUTHWEST | 109 | 179 | 5 | 293 | 37.2% | 61.1% | R+23.9 |
| Precinct -3 NORTH3 NORTH | 66 | 183 | 3 | 252 | 26.2% | 72.6% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -1 NORTH1 NORTH | 77 | 141 | 4 | 222 | 34.7% | 63.5% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -3 SOUTH3 SOUTH | 25 | 57 | 1 | 83 | 30.1% | 68.7% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -VAN BUREN_MORRISTOWNVAN BUREN_MORRISTOWN | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| 1 NORTH18_1814500010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1 SOUTH18_1814500020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1 WEST18_1814500030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 2 EAST18_1814500040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 2 SOUTH18_1814500050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 2 SOUTHEAST18_1814500060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 2 WEST18_1814500070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 3 EAST18_1814500080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 3 NORTHEAST18_1814500090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 3 SOUTH18_1814500100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 3 SOUTHEAST18_1814500110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 3 WEST18_1814500120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 4 EAST18_1814500130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 4 NORTH18_1814500140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 4 NORTHEAST18_1814500150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 5 EAST18_1814500160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 5 NORTHWEST18_1814500170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 5 SOUTH18_1814500180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ADDISON EAST18_1814500190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ADDISON WEST18_1814500200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRANDYWINE18_1814500210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRANDYWINE NW18_1814500220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRANDYWINE_SHELBYVILLE18_1814500211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HANOVER NORTH18_1814500230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HANOVER SOUTH18_1814500240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HENDRICKS18_1814500250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON18_1814500260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY EAST18_1814500270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY WEST18_1814500280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION18_1814500290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MORAL NORTH18_1814500300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MORAL NORTHWEST18_1814500310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MORAL SOUTH18_1814500320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MORAL SOUTHWEST18_1814500330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE18_1814500340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHELBY EAST18_1814500350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHELBY WEST18_1814500360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK18_1814500370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION18_1814500380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VAN BUREN18_1814500390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VAN BUREN_MORRISTOWN18_1814500391 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON18_1814500400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +12.6% |
| 1896 | +8.4% |
| 1900 | +7.5% |
| 1904 | −1.4% |
| 1908 | +6.4% |
| 1912 | +30.1% |
| 1916 | +9.4% |
| 1920 | +3.8% |
| 1924 | −5.3% |
| 1928 | −12.9% |
| 1932 | +22.1% |
| 1936 | +17.2% |
| 1940 | +5.2% |
| 1944 | −0.1% |
| 1948 | +6.9% |
| 1952 | −15.4% |
| 1956 | −16.5% |
| 1960 | −13.9% |
| 1964 | +10.7% |
| 1968 | −19.5% |
| 1972 | −45.4% |
| 1976 | −11.3% |
| 1980 | −27.0% |
| 1984 | −34.5% |
| 1988 | −30.7% |
| 1992 | −21.7% |
| 1996 | −15.9% |
| 2000 | −27.5% |
| 2004 | −42.9% |
| 2008 | −19.0% |
| 2012 | −33.5% |
| 2016 | −46.9% |
| 2020 | −47.7% |
| 2024 | −48.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 36 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.7%4,563 | 74.3%13,204 | 17,767 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 29,805 |
| 2018 | 27,988 |
| 2020 | 29,982 |
| 2022 | 17,187 |
| 2024 | 32,285 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+216 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +379 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,720 in average income, against $75,307 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.2 on average — 34 points more Democratic-leaning than Shelby County, IN itself (R+48.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Marion County, IN304D+27.6
- Johnson County, IN179R+34.3
- Hancock County, IN120R+33.7
- Decatur County, IN68R+58.5
- Bartholomew County, IN62R+27.3
- Rush County, IN58R+54.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Marion County, IN240
- Johnson County, IN132
- Hancock County, IN127
- Decatur County, IN86
- Rush County, IN82
- Bartholomew County, IN59
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −120 |
| 2012 | −122 |
| 2013 | +47 |
| 2014 | −78 |
| 2015 | −105 |
| 2016 | −198 |
| 2017 | +116 |
| 2018 | +124 |
| 2019 | +126 |
| 2021 | +43 |
| 2022 | +118 |
| 2023 | −11 |
| 2024 | +223 |
| 2025 | +216 |
Shelby County, southeast of Indianapolis, recorded an R+48 margin in 2024, reflecting the heavily Republican lean typical of rural south-central Indiana counties where small-town and agricultural communities dominate the electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 2024. The 2024 margin was 48.0 points.
A population of 45,265, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,190 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montgomery County and Wabash County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Montgomery County
Indiana
95.1twin score
elasticity2004–2020 trajectory
Wabash County
Indiana
94.0twin score
elasticity2004–2020 trajectory
Rush County
Indiana
93.7twin score
elasticity2004–2020 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Shelby County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18145/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Shelby County
Indiana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Shelby County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Shelby County, Indiana voted Republican by 48.0 points (R+48.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,754 votes cast, 4,955 went Democratic and 14,438 went Republican.
When did Shelby County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Shelby County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Shelby County, Indiana?
Shelby County, Indiana has a population of 45,265 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Shelby County, Indiana?
Median household income in Shelby County, Indiana is $72,190 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Shelby County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Shelby County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.