- Lead
- 4,137
- Total
- 7,656
- vs nation
- R+52.6
- Turnout
- 60.0%
Rush County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.0% of 12,889 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,281
- Total
- 7,932
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Turnout
- 62.2%
- Lead
- 3,767
- Total
- 7,266
- vs nation
- R+53.9
- Turnout
- 57.3%
- Lead
- 2,412
- Total
- 7,026
- vs nation
- R+38.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,042
- Total
- 7,629
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,363
- Total
- 7,421
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,379
- Total
- 7,284
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,249
- Total
- 7,428
- vs nation
- R+25.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,7392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,4732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+6.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Tipton County, IN · twin score 97.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.0%7,727 participants ÷ 12,889 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 35.8%–48.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,400 | 12,912 | 57.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,469 | 12,855 | 58.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,004 | 12,864 | 62.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,931 | 12,953 | 38.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,727 | 12,889 | 60.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
38 precincts · 7,656 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -RUSHVILLE CITY 03RUSHVILLE CITY 03 | 248 | 648 | 30 | 926 | 26.8% | 70.0% | R+43.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -RUSHVILLE CITY 01RUSHVILLE CITY 01 | 256 | 495 | 20 | 771 | 33.2% | 64.2% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -RUSHVILLE CITY 02RUSHVILLE CITY 02 | 185 | 495 | 13 | 693 | 26.7% | 71.4% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -RIPLEY 10RIPLEY 10 | 111 | 513 | 9 | 633 | 17.5% | 81.0% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -POSEY 11POSEY 11 | 123 | 393 | 11 | 527 | 23.3% | 74.6% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -ANDERSON 14ANDERSON 14 | 94 | 370 | 9 | 473 | 19.9% | 78.2% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -RUSHVILLE TOWNSHIP 08RUSHVILLE TOWNSHIP 08 | 85 | 362 | 5 | 452 | 18.8% | 80.1% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -CENTER 16CENTER 16 | 67 | 347 | 13 | 427 | 15.7% | 81.3% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -UNION 18UNION 18 | 70 | 324 | 3 | 397 | 17.6% | 81.6% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -WALKER 12WALKER 12 | 86 | 302 | 7 | 395 | 21.8% | 76.5% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -ORANGE 13ORANGE 13 | 83 | 272 | 8 | 363 | 22.9% | 74.9% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -RIPLEY 09RIPLEY 09 | 70 | 273 | 8 | 351 | 19.9% | 77.8% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 19NOBLE 19 | 48 | 283 | 11 | 342 | 14.0% | 82.7% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -RUSHVILLE TOWNSHIP 07RUSHVILLE TOWNSHIP 07 | 56 | 248 | 7 | 311 | 18.0% | 79.7% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 17WASHINGTON 17 | 41 | 196 | 5 | 242 | 16.9% | 81.0% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -JACKSON 15JACKSON 15 | 34 | 153 | 7 | 194 | 17.5% | 78.9% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -RICHLAND 20RICHLAND 20 | 18 | 138 | 3 | 159 | 11.3% | 86.8% | R+75.5 |
| ANDERSON 1418_1813900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1618_1813900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON 1518_1813900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 1918_1813900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORANGE 1318_1813900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POSEY 1118_1813900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RICHLAND 2018_1813900070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIPLEY 0918_1813900080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIPLEY 1018_1813900090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSHVILLE CITY 0118_1813900100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSHVILLE CITY 01 (NV)18_1813900110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSHVILLE CITY 0218_1813900120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSHVILLE CITY 0318_1813900130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSHVILLE CITY 0418_1813900140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSHVILLE CITY 0518_1813900150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSHVILLE CITY 0618_1813900160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSHVILLE TOWNSHIP 0718_1813900170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSHVILLE TOWNSHIP 0818_1813900180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 1818_1813900190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALKER 1218_1813900200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 1718_1813900210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.1% |
| 1896 | −5.2% |
| 1900 | −7.3% |
| 1904 | −12.6% |
| 1908 | −9.5% |
| 1912 | +6.8% |
| 1916 | −6.6% |
| 1920 | −14.8% |
| 1924 | −26.7% |
| 1928 | −37.5% |
| 1932 | −0.4% |
| 1936 | +4.7% |
| 1940 | −20.4% |
| 1944 | −20.0% |
| 1948 | −16.6% |
| 1952 | −34.5% |
| 1956 | −29.8% |
| 1960 | −27.6% |
| 1964 | −0.6% |
| 1968 | −28.1% |
| 1972 | −54.2% |
| 1976 | −21.3% |
| 1980 | −32.5% |
| 1984 | −40.2% |
| 1988 | −35.1% |
| 1992 | −21.3% |
| 1996 | −16.8% |
| 2000 | −32.7% |
| 2004 | −45.3% |
| 2008 | −13.7% |
| 2012 | −34.3% |
| 2016 | −51.8% |
| 2020 | −54.0% |
| 2024 | −54.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23.2%1,600 | 76.8%5,302 | 6,902 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,871 |
| 2018 | 10,762 |
| 2020 | 11,148 |
| 2022 | 11,396 |
| 2024 | 11,826 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+19 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −647 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,476 in average income, against $69,543 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+35.8 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Rush County, IN itself (R+54.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Shelby County, IN82R+48.0
- Marion County, IN52D+27.6
- Decatur County, IN46R+58.5
- Fayette County, IN46R+56.3
- Hancock County, IN40R+33.7
- Henry County, IN36R+47.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fayette County, IN62
- Shelby County, IN58
- Henry County, IN56
- Decatur County, IN42
- Hancock County, IN35
- Marion County, IN33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −65 |
| 2012 | −181 |
| 2013 | −78 |
| 2014 | −155 |
| 2015 | −129 |
| 2016 | −79 |
| 2017 | +16 |
| 2018 | −12 |
| 2019 | −59 |
| 2021 | −43 |
| 2022 | +16 |
| 2023 | +160 |
| 2024 | −57 |
| 2025 | +19 |
Rush County's 2024 presidential margin of R+54 reflects a broader shift in small-town east-central Indiana toward lopsided single-party majorities, leaving Democrats with little competitive foothold in local or federal contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 6.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 54.2 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 54.0 points.
A population of 16,739, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,473 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tipton County and Carroll County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Rush County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18139/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.