- Lead
- 79,415
- Total
- 300,154
- vs nation
- R+25.0
Indiana 2nd Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 70,293
- Total
- 311,456
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Lead
- 72,962
- Total
- 290,524
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Lead
- 48,072
- Total
- 285,421
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Lead
- 7,930
- Total
- 303,218
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Lead
- 69,570
- Total
- 277,797
- vs nation
- R+22.6
- Lead
- 51,939
- Total
- 251,012
- vs nation
- R+21.2
- Lead
- 22,273
- Total
- 242,211
- vs nation
- R+17.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 753,9312024 5-year
- Population density
- 173 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,350 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,1072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 8, IN · twin score 92.3
presidential history
Party record book
Indiana 2nd Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
55.7%
138,981 votes · D+12.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 53.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
67.1%
170,419 votes · R+34.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 63.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
145,515votes
48.0% of the vote · R+2.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 138,981 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
187,989votes
60.4% of the vote · R+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 187,189 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+5.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+20.5 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +2.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+27.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+25.1 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +27.0 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Anchored by South Bend and stretching across the state's northern tier, Indiana's 2nd district backed the Republican presidential nominee by roughly 25 points in 2024, reflecting a rural and small-city electorate that has shifted decisively rightward over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 34.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.5 points.
A population of 753,931, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,107 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 8 and Congressional District 5.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Indiana 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1802/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.