HarrisDemocratic38.2%146,996TrumpRepublican59.7%229,734KennedyIndependent1.0%3,777
R+21.5- Lead
- 82,738
- Total
- 384,825
- vs nation
- R+20.0
Akashicmedia market
South Bend-Elkhart
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
10 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic39.9%155,396TrumpRepublican58.3%227,213OtherAll other candidates1.9%7,213
R+18.4- Lead
- 71,817
- Total
- 389,822
- vs nation
- R+22.9
ClintonDemocratic36.1%128,644TrumpRepublican57.9%206,188OtherAll other candidates6.0%21,286
R+21.8- Lead
- 77,544
- Total
- 356,118
- vs nation
- R+23.9
ObamaDemocratic41.9%148,141RomneyRepublican56.3%199,294OtherAll other candidates1.8%6,406
R+14.5- Lead
- 51,153
- Total
- 353,841
- vs nation
- R+18.3
ObamaDemocratic49.3%184,306McCainRepublican49.4%184,754OtherAll other candidates1.2%4,640
R+0.1- Lead
- 448
- Total
- 373,700
- vs nation
- R+7.4
KerryDemocratic39.2%135,423BushRepublican60.0%207,571OtherAll other candidates0.8%2,804
R+20.9- Lead
- 72,148
- Total
- 345,798
- vs nation
- R+18.4
GoreDemocratic40.1%124,139BushRepublican57.7%178,378OtherAll other candidates2.2%6,818
R+17.5- Lead
- 54,239
- Total
- 309,335
- vs nation
- R+18.1
ClintonDemocratic40.8%118,299DoleRepublican48.2%139,688OtherAll other candidates11.1%32,062
R+7.4- Lead
- 21,389
- Total
- 290,049
- vs nation
- R+15.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 908,6292024 5-year
- Population density
- 204 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,445 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,7502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Champaign & Springfield-Decatur, IL · twin score 81.1
presidential history
Party record book
South Bend-Elkhart · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
56.4%
162,559 votes · D+13.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 54.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.8%
197,471 votes · R+34.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 63.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
184,306votes
49.3% of the vote · R+0.1
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 162,559 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
229,734votes
59.7% of the vote · R+21.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 227,213 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1900
0.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+7.6 · U.S. R+7.5
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · −0.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+23.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +22.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 658,893 |
| 2018 | 611,364 |
| 2020 | 637,635 |
| 2022 | 641,016 |
| 2024 | 657,983 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,819 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −40,883 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3,793 |
| 2012 | −4,494 |
| 2013 | −2,905 |
| 2014 | −1,748 |
| 2015 | −3,296 |
| 2016 | −3,046 |
| 2017 | −3,067 |
| 2018 | −1,903 |
| 2019 | −3,235 |
| 2021 | −2,593 |
| 2022 | −1,677 |
| 2023 | −3,611 |
| 2024 | −3,696 |
| 2025 | −1,819 |
The South Bend-Elkhart market pairs a mid-sized university city that has trended competitive in recent cycles with Elkhart County's RV-industry workforce, one of Indiana's most reliably wide-margin Republican geographies.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 34.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.5 points.
A population of 908,629, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,750 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Champaign & Springfield-Decatur and Fort Wayne.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Champaign & Springfield-Decatur
Illinois
81.1twin score
elasticity2012 margin% Catholic≠ Scottish ancestry
Fort Wayne
Indiana
80.4twin score
elasticitycollege share% Catholic≠ Scottish ancestry
Indianapolis
Indiana
74.4twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated2000–2004 trajectory≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/588/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within South Bend-Elkhart
Frequently asked questions
How did South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana voted Republican by 21.5 points (R+21.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 384,825 votes cast, 146,996 went Democratic and 229,734 went Republican.
When did South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana?
South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana has a population of 908,629 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana?
Median household income in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana is $68,750 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.