Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
South Bend-Elkhart
presidential margin
2008R+0.12012R+14.52016R+21.82020R+18.42024R+21.6
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+21.6
2024
median income$68,750U.S. $80,734 · IN $72,875
median age38.5U.S. 39.1
poverty rate12.9%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)25.8%U.S. 35.6%
non-english14.5%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German20.8%
English9.6%
Irish9.6%
Mexican7.8%
Puerto Rican0.8%
Honduran0.5%
African American†6.1%
African0.8%
Asian Indian0.3%
Chinese0.3%
Filipino0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.6%
Black Protestant3.2%
Other Christian0.8%
Latter-day Saints0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana

Akashic
South Bend-ElkhartTrumpR+21.6
—
2024 presidential margin by county for South Bend-Elkhart, INA map of the constituent counties of South Bend-Elkhart, IN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Berrien County, MI · R+7.9Fulton County, IN · R+51.2Starke County, IN · R+52.0Elkhart County, IN · R+32.4Pulaski County, IN · R+53.7Cass County, MI · R+33.9LaGrange County, IN · R+56.8Marshall County, IN · R+43.4St. Joseph County, IN · D+1.5Kosciusko County, IN · R+52.2
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican60.0%229,734
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.4%146,996
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People1.6%6,178
D+60
R+60
10 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (10 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for South Bend-Elkhart, IN — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Berrien County, MIRepublicanR+7.9
Cass County, MIRepublicanR+33.9
Elkhart County, INRepublicanR+32.4
Fulton County, INRepublicanR+51.2
Kosciusko County, INRepublicanR+52.2
LaGrange County, INRepublicanR+56.8
Marshall County, INRepublicanR+43.4
Pulaski County, INRepublicanR+53.7
St. Joseph County, INDemocraticD+1.5
Starke County, INRepublicanR+52.0
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
38.4%Harris146,996
60.0%Trump229,734
1.6%Kennedy6,178
−21.6%
382,908
R
39.9%Biden155,396
58.3%Trump227,213
1.9%Jorgensen7,213
−18.4%
389,822
R
36.1%Clinton128,644
57.9%Trump206,188
6.0%Johnson21,286
−21.8%
356,118
R
41.9%Obama148,141
56.3%Romney199,294
1.8%Johnson6,406
−14.5%
353,841
R
49.3%Obama184,306
49.4%McCain184,754
1.2%Barr4,640
−0.1%
373,700
R
39.2%Kerry135,423
60.0%Bush207,571
0.8%Badnarik2,804
−20.9%
345,798
R
40.1%Gore124,139
57.7%Bush178,378
2.2%Buchanan6,818
−17.5%
309,335
R
40.8%Clinton118,299
48.2%Dole139,688
11.1%Perot32,062
−7.4%
290,049
R
36.2%Clinton115,259
43.7%Bush139,102
20.1%Perot64,081
−7.5%
318,442
R
38.9%Dukakis113,627
60.7%Bush177,417
0.4%Fulani1,280
−21.8%
292,324
R
35.8%Mondale108,516
63.6%Reagan192,592
0.6%Dennis1,833
−27.8%
302,941
R
35.4%Carter109,698
57.4%Reagan177,862
7.2%Anderson22,365
−22.0%
309,925
R
42.4%Carter127,384
56.4%Ford169,488
1.2%Anderson3,481
−14.0%
300,353
R
32.2%McGovern95,114
66.8%Nixon197,471
1.0%Schmitz2,899
−34.6%
295,484
R
37.3%Humphrey108,776
50.9%Nixon148,498
11.7%Wallace34,219
−13.6%
291,493
D
56.4%Johnson162,559
43.1%Goldwater124,300
0.5%Hass1,521
+13.3%
288,380
R
43.8%Kennedy133,924
55.8%Nixon170,654
0.5%Byrd1,517
−12.0%
306,095
R
38.8%Stevenson110,393
60.7%Eisenhower172,745
0.5%Andrews1,403
−21.9%
284,541
R
39.9%Stevenson108,995
58.9%Eisenhower160,706
1.2%Hallinan3,282
−18.9%
272,983
R
45.6%Truman102,958
52.3%Dewey118,003
2.1%Thurmond4,686
−6.7%
225,647
R
43.9%Roosevelt99,602
55.1%Dewey125,205
1.0%Thomas2,224
−11.3%
227,031
R
46.3%Roosevelt104,102
53.1%Willkie119,350
0.6%Thomas1,432
−6.8%
224,884
D
54.4%Roosevelt110,641
43.3%Landon88,141
2.3%Lemke4,746
+11.1%
203,528
D
54.6%Roosevelt106,155
42.7%Hoover83,070
2.7%Thomas5,195
+11.9%
194,420
R
35.8%Smith62,218
63.6%Hoover110,510
0.6%Thomas1,104
−27.8%
173,832
R
31.7%Davis43,537
59.4%Coolidge81,572
8.8%La Follette12,114
−27.7%
137,223
R
33.7%Cox42,717
61.6%Harding78,145
4.7%Debs5,939
−27.9%
126,801
R
46.8%Wilson37,284
47.8%Hughes38,027
5.4%Benson4,293
−0.9%
79,604
O
38.4%Wilson27,381
21.4%Taft15,223
40.2%Roosevelt28,692
Roosevelt +1.8
71,296
R
42.6%Bryan34,873
52.5%Taft42,998
5.0%Debs4,068
−9.9%
81,939
R
36.4%Parker27,601
57.8%Roosevelt43,831
5.7%Debs4,342
−21.4%
75,774
R
44.8%Bryan33,410
52.4%McKinley39,061
2.8%Woolley2,112
−7.6%
74,583
R
46.0%Bryan33,249
52.2%McKinley37,699
1.7%Palmer1,261
−6.2%
72,209
R
47.2%Cleveland28,964
47.4%Harrison29,106
5.4%Weaver3,305
−0.2%
61,375
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −21.6% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−21.6%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−0.2%
1896−6.2%
1900−7.6%
1904−21.4%
1908−9.9%
1912+17.1%
1916−0.9%
1920−27.9%
1924−27.7%
1928−27.8%
1932+11.9%
1936+11.1%
1940−6.8%
1944−11.3%
1948−6.7%
1952−18.9%
1956−21.9%
1960−12.0%
1964+13.3%
1968−13.6%
1972−34.6%
1976−14.0%
1980−22.0%
1984−27.8%
1988−21.8%
1992−7.5%
1996−7.4%
2000−17.5%
2004−20.9%
2008−0.1%
2012−14.5%
2016−21.8%
2020−18.4%
2024−21.6%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in South Bend-ElkhartTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 657,983 in 2024.164.7K329.4K494.2K658.9K658K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in South Bend-Elkhart
YearTotal registered
2016658,893
2018611,364
2020637,635
2022641,016
2024657,983
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

The South Bend-Elkhart market pairs a mid-sized university city that has trended competitive in recent cycles with Elkhart County's RV-industry workforce, one of Indiana's most reliably wide-margin Republican geographies.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 34.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.6 points.

A population of 908,629, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,750 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Champaign & Springfield-Decatur and Fort Wayne.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Champaign & Springfield-Decatur
Illinois
81.1twin score
elasticity2012 margin% Catholic≠ Scottish ancestry
Fort Wayne
Indiana
80.4twin score
elasticitycollege share% Catholic≠ Scottish ancestry
Indianapolis
Indiana
74.4twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated2000–2004 trajectory≠ college share

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/588/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within South Bend-Elkhart

counties10
Berrien CountyCass CountyElkhart CountyFulton CountyKosciusko CountyLaGrange CountyMarshall CountyPulaski CountySt. Joseph CountyStarke County

Frequently asked questions

How did South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana voted Republican by 21.6 points (R+21.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 382,908 votes cast, 146,996 went Democratic and 229,734 went Republican.
When did South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana?
South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana has a population of 908,629 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana?
Median household income in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana is $68,750 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South Bend-Elkhart, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.