- Lead
- 5,911
- Total
- 10,411
- vs nation
- R+55.3
- Turnout
- 38.7%
LaGrange County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 38.7% of 27,349 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,755
- Total
- 10,633
- vs nation
- R+58.6
- Turnout
- 41.2%
- Lead
- 4,945
- Total
- 9,666
- vs nation
- R+53.2
- Turnout
- 39.2%
- Lead
- 3,333
- Total
- 9,316
- vs nation
- R+39.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,039
- Total
- 9,491
- vs nation
- R+28.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,907
- Total
- 9,003
- vs nation
- R+40.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,704
- Total
- 8,333
- vs nation
- R+33.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,329
- Total
- 7,740
- vs nation
- R+25.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,8052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,4872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Adams County, IN · twin score 90.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 38.7%10,577 participants ÷ 27,349 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.4 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -8.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 22.2%–27.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,797 | 24,985 | 39.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 8,674 | 25,625 | 33.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,818 | 26,232 | 41.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,713 | 27,058 | 24.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,577 | 27,349 | 38.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 10,411 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MILFORD EASTMILFORD EAST | 197 | 728 | 10 | 935 | 21.1% | 77.9% | R+56.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LIMA TOWNSHIPLIMA TOWNSHIP | 217 | 690 | 22 | 929 | 23.4% | 74.3% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -NEWBURY TOWNSHIPNEWBURY TOWNSHIP | 114 | 797 | 15 | 926 | 12.3% | 86.1% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -VAN BUREN TOWNSHIPVAN BUREN TOWNSHIP | 137 | 707 | 14 | 858 | 16.0% | 82.4% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -JOHNSON SOUTHJOHNSON SOUTH | 170 | 637 | 9 | 816 | 20.8% | 78.1% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -JOHNSON NORTHJOHNSON NORTH | 178 | 577 | 19 | 774 | 23.0% | 74.5% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -GREENFIELD TOWNSHIPGREENFIELD TOWNSHIP | 135 | 503 | 3 | 641 | 21.1% | 78.5% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -CLEARSPRING TOWNSHIPCLEARSPRING TOWNSHIP | 124 | 483 | 12 | 619 | 20.0% | 78.0% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -BLOOMFIELD IBLOOMFIELD I | 149 | 414 | 11 | 574 | 26.0% | 72.1% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -CLAY TOWNSHIPCLAY TOWNSHIP | 112 | 447 | 12 | 571 | 19.6% | 78.3% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -MILFORD WESTMILFORD WEST | 122 | 431 | 7 | 560 | 21.8% | 77.0% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -SPRINGFIELD TOWNSHIPSPRINGFIELD TOWNSHIP | 89 | 436 | 11 | 536 | 16.6% | 81.3% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -BLOOMFIELD IVBLOOMFIELD IV | 110 | 376 | 8 | 494 | 22.3% | 76.1% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -BLOOMFIELD IIBLOOMFIELD II | 134 | 282 | 5 | 421 | 31.8% | 67.0% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -BLOOMFIELD IIIBLOOMFIELD III | 118 | 289 | 9 | 416 | 28.4% | 69.5% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -EDEN TOWNSHIPEDEN TOWNSHIP | 56 | 276 | 9 | 341 | 16.4% | 80.9% | R+64.5 |
| BLOOMFIELD I18_1808700010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLOOMFIELD II18_1808700020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLOOMFIELD III18_1808700030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLOOMFIELD IV18_1808700040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLAY TOWNSHIP18_1808700050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLEARSPRING TOWNSHIP18_1808700060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EDEN TOWNSHIP18_1808700070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENFIELD TOWNSHIP18_1808700080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSON NORTH18_1808700090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSON SOUTH18_1808700100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIMA TOWNSHIP18_1808700110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILFORD EAST18_1808700120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILFORD WEST18_1808700130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWBURY TOWNSHIP18_1808700140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRINGFIELD TOWNSHIP18_1808700150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VAN BUREN TOWNSHIP18_1808700160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −16.0% |
| 1896 | −18.8% |
| 1900 | −22.9% |
| 1904 | −35.7% |
| 1908 | −24.1% |
| 1912 | +13.5% |
| 1916 | −12.3% |
| 1920 | −38.2% |
| 1924 | −31.1% |
| 1928 | −29.5% |
| 1932 | +13.7% |
| 1936 | −5.0% |
| 1940 | −27.3% |
| 1944 | −38.5% |
| 1948 | −30.4% |
| 1952 | −39.9% |
| 1956 | −41.6% |
| 1960 | −38.4% |
| 1964 | +0.6% |
| 1968 | −30.3% |
| 1972 | −42.7% |
| 1976 | −15.4% |
| 1980 | −31.8% |
| 1984 | −43.2% |
| 1988 | −37.7% |
| 1992 | −20.0% |
| 1996 | −17.2% |
| 2000 | −32.4% |
| 2004 | −43.4% |
| 2008 | −21.5% |
| 2012 | −35.8% |
| 2016 | −51.2% |
| 2020 | −54.1% |
| 2024 | −56.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 20.9%2,013 | 79.1%7,602 | 9,615 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,488 |
| 2018 | 15,353 |
| 2020 | 16,074 |
| 2022 | 16,659 |
| 2024 | 16,749 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−257 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,245 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $70,360 in average income, against $80,921 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.5 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than LaGrange County, IN itself (R+56.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Elkhart County, IN147R+32.4
- Noble County, IN111R+51.4
- St. Joseph County, MI77R+34.0
- Allen County, IN55R+12.5
- Steuben County, IN41R+42.1
- DeKalb County, IN22R+47.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Elkhart County, IN204
- Noble County, IN149
- St. Joseph County, MI91
- Steuben County, IN55
- Allen County, IN50
- DeKalb County, IN26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −204 |
| 2012 | −305 |
| 2013 | −76 |
| 2014 | −133 |
| 2015 | −278 |
| 2016 | −8 |
| 2017 | −339 |
| 2018 | −334 |
| 2019 | −230 |
| 2021 | −366 |
| 2022 | −88 |
| 2023 | −346 |
| 2024 | −281 |
| 2025 | −257 |
LaGrange County holds one of the highest concentrations of Amish population in the United States, a demographic that largely abstains from electoral participation — making raw voter-turnout figures a poor guide to the county's true civic landscape.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.8 points.
A population of 40,805, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,487 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Adams County and Daviess County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
LaGrange County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.