HarrisDemocratic22.9%7,995TrumpRepublican75.1%26,213KennedyIndependent1.0%364
R+52.2- Lead
- 18,218
- Total
- 34,896
- vs nation
- R+50.7
Akashicmetro area
Warsaw, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic23.4%8,364TrumpRepublican74.0%26,499OtherAll other candidates2.6%924
R+50.7- Lead
- 18,135
- Total
- 35,787
- vs nation
- R+55.1
ClintonDemocratic19.5%6,311TrumpRepublican73.8%23,927OtherAll other candidates6.8%2,193
R+54.3- Lead
- 17,616
- Total
- 32,431
- vs nation
- R+56.4
ObamaDemocratic22.8%6,862RomneyRepublican74.8%22,558OtherAll other candidates2.4%720
R+52.1- Lead
- 15,696
- Total
- 30,140
- vs nation
- R+55.9
ObamaDemocratic30.6%9,236McCainRepublican68.0%20,488OtherAll other candidates1.4%410
R+37.3- Lead
- 11,252
- Total
- 30,134
- vs nation
- R+44.6
KerryDemocratic21.1%5,977BushRepublican78.1%22,136OtherAll other candidates0.9%247
R+57.0- Lead
- 16,159
- Total
- 28,360
- vs nation
- R+54.5
GoreDemocratic22.9%5,785BushRepublican75.3%19,040OtherAll other candidates1.8%459
R+52.4- Lead
- 13,255
- Total
- 25,284
- vs nation
- R+52.9
ClintonDemocratic25.8%6,166DoleRepublican63.0%15,084OtherAll other candidates11.3%2,695
R+37.2- Lead
- 8,918
- Total
- 23,945
- vs nation
- R+45.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 80,4422024 5-year
- Population density
- 151 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 531 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,3172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Huntington, IN · twin score 90.5
presidential history
Party record book
Warsaw, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
50.5%
7,475 votes · D+2.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 45.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
78.9%
16,216 votes · R+58.3
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 78.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
9,236votes
30.6% of the vote · R+37.3
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 8,759 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
26,499votes
74.0% of the vote · R+50.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 26,213 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+4.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+20.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +0.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+56.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.3 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +55.9 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 54,328 |
| 2018 | 51,056 |
| 2020 | 53,837 |
| 2022 | 54,340 |
| 2024 | 54,297 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−48 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,501 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −364 |
| 2012 | −93 |
| 2013 | −35 |
| 2014 | +115 |
| 2015 | −260 |
| 2016 | −199 |
| 2017 | −100 |
| 2018 | −19 |
| 2019 | −346 |
| 2021 | −41 |
| 2022 | +257 |
| 2023 | −398 |
| 2024 | +30 |
| 2025 | −48 |
Warsaw's manufacturing base—particularly orthopedic device production, which employs a significant share of the workforce—shapes a blue-collar electorate in a county that has leaned Republican by wide margins in recent statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.2 points.
A population of 80,442, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,317 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Huntington, IN and Chambersburg, PA.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Huntington, IN
90.5twin score
elasticity2000–2020 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Chambersburg, PA
88.1twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ elasticity
Findlay, OH
87.5twin score
2000–2004 trajectoryelasticity% White≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warsaw, IN, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Warsaw, IN, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warsaw, IN, Indiana voted Republican by 52.2 points (R+52.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 34,896 votes cast, 7,995 went Democratic and 26,213 went Republican.
When did Warsaw, IN, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warsaw, IN, Indiana voted Democratic was 1932.
How many people live in Warsaw, IN, Indiana?
Warsaw, IN, Indiana has a population of 80,442 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warsaw, IN, Indiana?
Median household income in Warsaw, IN, Indiana is $75,317 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Warsaw, IN, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Warsaw, IN, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.