HarrisDemocratic33.1%23,082TrumpRepublican65.4%45,652KennedyIndependent0.8%551
R+32.4- Lead
- 22,570
- Total
- 69,765
- vs nation
- R+30.9
Akashicmetro area
Elkhart-Goshen, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic35.1%26,108TrumpRepublican63.1%46,972OtherAll other candidates1.8%1,307
R+28.0- Lead
- 20,864
- Total
- 74,387
- vs nation
- R+32.5
ClintonDemocratic31.3%20,667TrumpRepublican63.2%41,810OtherAll other candidates5.5%3,632
R+32.0- Lead
- 21,143
- Total
- 66,109
- vs nation
- R+34.1
ObamaDemocratic35.9%24,399RomneyRepublican62.3%42,378OtherAll other candidates1.8%1,252
R+26.4- Lead
- 17,979
- Total
- 68,029
- vs nation
- R+30.3
ObamaDemocratic43.9%31,398McCainRepublican55.1%39,396OtherAll other candidates0.9%664
R+11.2- Lead
- 7,998
- Total
- 71,458
- vs nation
- R+18.5
KerryDemocratic29.3%17,966BushRepublican70.0%42,967OtherAll other candidates0.7%447
R+40.7- Lead
- 25,001
- Total
- 61,380
- vs nation
- R+38.3
GoreDemocratic30.1%16,402BushRepublican67.5%36,756OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,324
R+37.4- Lead
- 20,354
- Total
- 54,482
- vs nation
- R+37.9
ClintonDemocratic32.6%16,598DoleRepublican56.6%28,770OtherAll other candidates10.8%5,482
R+23.9- Lead
- 12,172
- Total
- 50,850
- vs nation
- R+32.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 207,1322024 5-year
- Population density
- 447 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 463 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,5612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.1 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Frankfort, IN · twin score 85.5
presidential history
Party record book
Elkhart-Goshen, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
51.7%
21,679 votes · D+4.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 50.3%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
74.8%
20,876 votes · R+50.1
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 72.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
31,398votes
43.9% of the vote · R+11.2
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 26,108 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
46,972votes
63.1% of the vote · R+28.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 45,652 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+7.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.8 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +5.3 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+38.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.7 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +37.9 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 135,800 |
| 2018 | 121,175 |
| 2020 | 124,785 |
| 2022 | 126,855 |
| 2024 | 126,874 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−949 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −11,391 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −675 |
| 2012 | −685 |
| 2013 | −204 |
| 2014 | −248 |
| 2015 | +87 |
| 2016 | −999 |
| 2017 | −806 |
| 2018 | −238 |
| 2019 | −870 |
| 2021 | −1,011 |
| 2022 | −1,352 |
| 2023 | −1,965 |
| 2024 | −1,476 |
| 2025 | −949 |
Elkhart County produces roughly 80% of North American recreational vehicles, making its manufacturing employment figures a closely watched leading indicator of consumer confidence and working-class voter sentiment across northern Indiana.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 50.1 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.4 points.
A population of 207,132, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,561 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Frankfort, IN and Crawfordsville, IN.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Frankfort, IN
85.5twin score
elasticity2000–2012 trajectory≠ population scale
Crawfordsville, IN
79.5twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectorycollege share≠ population scale
Plymouth, IN
79.0twin score
elasticity2000–2012 trajectory≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/21140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana voted Republican by 32.4 points (R+32.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 69,765 votes cast, 23,082 went Democratic and 45,652 went Republican.
When did Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana?
Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana has a population of 207,132 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana?
Median household income in Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana is $68,561 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.