- Lead
- 10,497
- Total
- 25,156
- vs nation
- R+40.3
- Turnout
- 49.9%
Grant County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 49.9% of 51,113 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 10,528
- Total
- 27,159
- vs nation
- R+43.2
- Turnout
- 53.5%
- Lead
- 9,980
- Total
- 25,592
- vs nation
- R+41.1
- Turnout
- 49.2%
- Lead
- 5,562
- Total
- 25,329
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,441
- Total
- 26,299
- vs nation
- R+20.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,260
- Total
- 27,460
- vs nation
- R+34.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,441
- Total
- 26,386
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,625
- Total
- 26,478
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 66,2952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,5222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Howard County, IN · twin score 90.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 49.9%25,515 participants ÷ 51,113 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 27.5%–38.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 26,358 | 53,624 | 49.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 25,218 | 52,751 | 47.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 27,694 | 51,791 | 53.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 16,070 | 51,767 | 31.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,515 | 51,113 | 49.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
136 precincts · 25,156 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MONROE 01MONROE 01 | 160 | 713 | 14 | 887 | 18.0% | 80.4% | R+62.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SIMSSIMS | 175 | 644 | 15 | 834 | 21.0% | 77.2% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -VAN BURENVAN BUREN | 136 | 629 | 13 | 778 | 17.5% | 80.8% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON 01JEFFERSON 01 | 178 | 558 | 19 | 755 | 23.6% | 73.9% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON 02JEFFERSON 02 | 156 | 560 | 16 | 732 | 21.3% | 76.5% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 01PLEASANT 01 | 151 | 554 | 14 | 719 | 21.0% | 77.1% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN 05FRANKLIN 05 | 193 | 459 | 12 | 664 | 29.1% | 69.1% | R+40.1 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 03WASHINGTON 03 | 159 | 457 | 8 | 624 | 25.5% | 73.2% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 03PLEASANT 03 | 195 | 386 | 9 | 590 | 33.1% | 65.4% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -FAIRMOUNT 01FAIRMOUNT 01 | 151 | 421 | 13 | 585 | 25.8% | 72.0% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -MILL 03MILL 03 | 132 | 438 | 6 | 576 | 22.9% | 76.0% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -FAIRMOUNT 02FAIRMOUNT 02 | 147 | 391 | 9 | 547 | 26.9% | 71.5% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 02PLEASANT 02 | 106 | 426 | 9 | 541 | 19.6% | 78.7% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -MILL 01MILL 01 | 135 | 389 | 11 | 535 | 25.2% | 72.7% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -MILL 06MILL 06 | 142 | 368 | 10 | 520 | 27.3% | 70.8% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -MILL 02MILL 02 | 159 | 343 | 16 | 518 | 30.7% | 66.2% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -CENTER 10CENTER 10 | 112 | 394 | 10 | 516 | 21.7% | 76.4% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -MILL 07MILL 07 | 115 | 368 | 11 | 494 | 23.3% | 74.5% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -CENTER 11CENTER 11 | 122 | 342 | 10 | 474 | 25.7% | 72.2% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -LIBERTYLIBERTY | 73 | 377 | 11 | 461 | 15.8% | 81.8% | R+65.9 |
| Precinct -RICHLANDRICHLAND | 80 | 365 | 3 | 448 | 17.9% | 81.5% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -MILL 05MILL 05 | 101 | 326 | 8 | 435 | 23.2% | 74.9% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -CENTER 18CENTER 18 | 152 | 264 | 5 | 421 | 36.1% | 62.7% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON 03JEFFERSON 03 | 120 | 262 | 26 | 408 | 29.4% | 64.2% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -CENTER 12CENTER 12 | 140 | 253 | 9 | 402 | 34.8% | 62.9% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 04PLEASANT 04 | 97 | 295 | 9 | 401 | 24.2% | 73.6% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 06PLEASANT 06 | 97 | 290 | 10 | 397 | 24.4% | 73.0% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN 04FRANKLIN 04 | 86 | 304 | 3 | 393 | 21.9% | 77.4% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -CENTER 15CENTER 15 | 96 | 283 | 11 | 390 | 24.6% | 72.6% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -CENTER 01CENTER 01 | 144 | 238 | 2 | 384 | 37.5% | 62.0% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -CENTER 17CENTER 17 | 130 | 239 | 5 | 374 | 34.8% | 63.9% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 05PLEASANT 05 | 129 | 223 | 7 | 359 | 35.9% | 62.1% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -MILL 04MILL 04 | 93 | 249 | 7 | 349 | 26.6% | 71.3% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -CENTER 19CENTER 19 | 154 | 187 | 3 | 344 | 44.8% | 54.4% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 07PLEASANT 07 | 103 | 230 | 8 | 341 | 30.2% | 67.4% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -MILL 09MILL 09 | 68 | 254 | 10 | 332 | 20.5% | 76.5% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 04WASHINGTON 04 | 68 | 261 | 2 | 331 | 20.5% | 78.9% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -CENTER 13CENTER 13 | 106 | 211 | 7 | 324 | 32.7% | 65.1% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -FAIRMOUNT 03FAIRMOUNT 03 | 60 | 254 | 6 | 320 | 18.8% | 79.4% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN 02FRANKLIN 02 | 103 | 203 | 2 | 308 | 33.4% | 65.9% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -MILL 10MILL 10 | 56 | 246 | 6 | 308 | 18.2% | 79.9% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -CENTER 08CENTER 08 | 195 | 107 | 4 | 306 | 63.7% | 35.0% | D+28.8 |
| Precinct -CENTER 03CENTER 03 | 183 | 113 | 8 | 304 | 60.2% | 37.2% | D+23.0 |
| Precinct -CENTER 07CENTER 07 | 141 | 145 | 8 | 294 | 48.0% | 49.3% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN 03FRANKLIN 03 | 96 | 192 | 3 | 291 | 33.0% | 66.0% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -CENTER 06CENTER 06 | 141 | 134 | 9 | 284 | 49.6% | 47.2% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -CENTER 09CENTER 09 | 153 | 124 | 7 | 284 | 53.9% | 43.7% | D+10.2 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 02WASHINGTON 02 | 80 | 195 | 7 | 282 | 28.4% | 69.1% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN 06FRANKLIN 06 | 141 | 138 | 2 | 281 | 50.2% | 49.1% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct -CENTER 05CENTER 05 | 92 | 180 | 7 | 279 | 33.0% | 64.5% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -CENTER 02CENTER 02 | 111 | 155 | 8 | 274 | 40.5% | 56.6% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 01WASHINGTON 01 | 34 | 234 | 5 | 273 | 12.5% | 85.7% | R+73.3 |
| Precinct -CENTER 04CENTER 04 | 112 | 146 | 10 | 268 | 41.8% | 54.5% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -FAIRMOUNT 04FAIRMOUNT 04 | 57 | 205 | 4 | 266 | 21.4% | 77.1% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -CENTER 14CENTER 14 | 82 | 140 | 10 | 232 | 35.3% | 60.3% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -GREENGREEN | 49 | 176 | 3 | 228 | 21.5% | 77.2% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -CENTER 16CENTER 16 | 127 | 79 | 3 | 209 | 60.8% | 37.8% | D+23.0 |
| Precinct -MILL 08MILL 08 | 45 | 148 | 7 | 200 | 22.5% | 74.0% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN 01FRANKLIN 01 | 62 | 116 | 0 | 178 | 34.8% | 65.2% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN 07FRANKLIN 07 | 38 | 80 | 0 | 118 | 32.2% | 67.8% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -CENTER 20CENTER 20 | 36 | 67 | 1 | 104 | 34.6% | 64.4% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -CENTER 24CENTER 24 | 12 | 38 | 1 | 51 | 23.5% | 74.5% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -MILL 11MILL 11 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 31 | 51.6% | 45.2% | D+6.5 |
| AIRPORT 01 (MILL TWP) (NV)18_1805300680 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| AIRPORT 02 (LIBERTY TWP) (NV)18_1805300690 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| AIRPORT 03 (FRANKLIN TWP) (NV)18_1805300700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0118_1805300010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0218_1805300020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0318_1805300030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0418_1805300040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0518_1805300050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0618_1805300060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0718_1805300070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0818_1805300080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0918_1805300090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1018_1805300100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1118_1805300110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1218_1805300120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1318_1805300130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1418_1805300140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1518_1805300150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1618_1805300160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1718_1805300170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1818_1805300180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 1918_1805300190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 2018_1805300200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 2118_1805300710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 2218_1805300210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 2318_1805300220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 2418_1805300230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRMOUNT 0118_1805300240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRMOUNT 0218_1805300250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRMOUNT 0318_1805300260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRMOUNT 0418_1805300270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN 0118_1805300280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN 0218_1805300290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN 0318_1805300300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN 0418_1805300310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN 0518_1805300320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN 0618_1805300330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN 0718_1805300340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN 0818_1805300350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREEN18_1805300360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON 0118_1805300370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON 0218_1805300380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON 0318_1805300390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON 04 (NV)18_1805300720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY18_1805300400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 0118_1805300410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 0218_1805300420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 0318_1805300430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 0418_1805300440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 0518_1805300450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 0618_1805300460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 0718_1805300470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 0818_1805300480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 0918_1805300490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 1018_1805300500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL 1118_1805300510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE 0118_1805300520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE 0218_1805300530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE 03 (NV)18_1805300730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0118_1805300540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0218_1805300550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0318_1805300560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0418_1805300570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0518_1805300580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0618_1805300590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0718_1805300600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RICHLAND18_1805300610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIMS18_1805300620 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VAN BUREN18_1805300630 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 0118_1805300640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 0218_1805300650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 0318_1805300660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 0418_1805300670 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −14.1% |
| 1896 | −20.2% |
| 1900 | −23.0% |
| 1904 | −29.8% |
| 1908 | −9.4% |
| 1912 | +3.5% |
| 1916 | −1.7% |
| 1920 | −19.9% |
| 1924 | −20.2% |
| 1928 | −33.2% |
| 1932 | +7.7% |
| 1936 | +7.2% |
| 1940 | −6.7% |
| 1944 | −13.3% |
| 1948 | −3.5% |
| 1952 | −21.6% |
| 1956 | −29.7% |
| 1960 | −16.4% |
| 1964 | +8.9% |
| 1968 | −17.0% |
| 1972 | −45.1% |
| 1976 | −11.1% |
| 1980 | −28.1% |
| 1984 | −34.2% |
| 1988 | −26.0% |
| 1992 | −16.0% |
| 1996 | −13.7% |
| 2000 | −24.4% |
| 2004 | −37.4% |
| 2008 | −13.1% |
| 2012 | −22.0% |
| 2016 | −39.0% |
| 2020 | −38.8% |
| 2024 | −41.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 49,478 |
| 2018 | 43,894 |
| 2020 | 44,781 |
| 2022 | 44,071 |
| 2024 | 43,644 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+443 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,875 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,308 in average income, against $57,490 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.1 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Grant County, IN itself (R+41.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Madison County, IN109R+26.9
- Marion County, IN96D+27.6
- Howard County, IN90R+35.3
- Wabash County, IN78R+50.8
- Delaware County, IN67R+15.8
- Allen County, IN66R+12.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Madison County, IN84
- Delaware County, IN83
- Marion County, IN83
- Howard County, IN77
- Allen County, IN75
- Hamilton County, IN62
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −256 |
| 2012 | −582 |
| 2013 | −250 |
| 2014 | −469 |
| 2015 | −802 |
| 2016 | −749 |
| 2017 | −252 |
| 2018 | −250 |
| 2019 | −235 |
| 2021 | −36 |
| 2022 | +89 |
| 2023 | +373 |
| 2024 | +101 |
| 2025 | +443 |
Grant County, anchored by Marion, has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over successive cycles, posting a 41-point margin in 2024 despite a modest population base of roughly 73,000 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 45.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.7 points.
A population of 66,295, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,522 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Howard County and Cass County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grant County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.