- Lead
- 9,039
- Total
- 21,424
- vs nation
- R+40.7
- Turnout
- 68.5%
Dubois County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.5% of 31,671 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,741
- Total
- 21,770
- vs nation
- R+44.6
- Turnout
- 71.9%
- Lead
- 7,976
- Total
- 20,095
- vs nation
- R+41.8
- Turnout
- 66.7%
- Lead
- 5,132
- Total
- 18,571
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 778
- Total
- 18,565
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,516
- Total
- 17,066
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,044
- Total
- 15,504
- vs nation
- R+33.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 341
- Total
- 15,250
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,6142024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,9792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shelby County, IA · twin score 85.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.5%21,700 participants ÷ 31,671 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.7%–62.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 20,589 | 30,872 | 66.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 25,689 | 30,977 | 82.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 22,295 | 31,015 | 71.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,987 | 31,755 | 44.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 21,700 | 31,671 | 68.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
78 precincts · 21,464 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 02WBAINBRIDGE 02W | 302 | 690 | 24 | 1,016 | 29.7% | 67.9% | R+38.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 03WBAINBRIDGE 03W | 274 | 653 | 20 | 947 | 28.9% | 69.0% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -FERDINAND 03FERDINAND 03 | 224 | 643 | 18 | 885 | 25.3% | 72.7% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -MADISON 02MADISON 02 | 210 | 613 | 23 | 846 | 24.8% | 72.5% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 06SBAINBRIDGE 06S | 258 | 514 | 22 | 794 | 32.5% | 64.7% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -HALL 01HALL 01 | 214 | 524 | 25 | 763 | 28.0% | 68.7% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 04SBAINBRIDGE 04S | 259 | 463 | 25 | 747 | 34.7% | 62.0% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 04NBAINBRIDGE 04N | 248 | 466 | 17 | 731 | 33.9% | 63.7% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -PATOKA 02PATOKA 02 | 223 | 488 | 20 | 731 | 30.5% | 66.8% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -JACKSON 02JACKSON 02 | 162 | 536 | 19 | 717 | 22.6% | 74.8% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -FERDINAND 01FERDINAND 01 | 299 | 340 | 14 | 653 | 45.8% | 52.1% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -PATOKA 06PATOKA 06 | 129 | 469 | 10 | 608 | 21.2% | 77.1% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 06NBAINBRIDGE 06N | 213 | 376 | 12 | 601 | 35.4% | 62.6% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON 01JEFFERSON 01 | 122 | 456 | 16 | 594 | 20.5% | 76.8% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 05NBAINBRIDGE 05N | 169 | 410 | 13 | 592 | 28.5% | 69.3% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -PATOKA 01PATOKA 01 | 178 | 391 | 19 | 588 | 30.3% | 66.5% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -PATOKA 03PATOKA 03 | 155 | 422 | 11 | 588 | 26.4% | 71.8% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -MARION 02MARION 02 | 118 | 437 | 13 | 568 | 20.8% | 76.9% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 03EBAINBRIDGE 03E | 187 | 359 | 18 | 564 | 33.2% | 63.7% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 02EBAINBRIDGE 02E | 236 | 311 | 12 | 559 | 42.2% | 55.6% | R+13.4 |
| Precinct -JACKSON 01JACKSON 01 | 134 | 409 | 16 | 559 | 24.0% | 73.2% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -COLUMBIA 01COLUMBIA 01 | 96 | 434 | 9 | 539 | 17.8% | 80.5% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 05SBAINBRIDGE 05S | 167 | 348 | 14 | 529 | 31.6% | 65.8% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -CASS 03CASS 03 | 116 | 389 | 12 | 517 | 22.4% | 75.2% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 07BAINBRIDGE 07 | 123 | 363 | 12 | 498 | 24.7% | 72.9% | R+48.2 |
| Precinct -MADISON 01MADISON 01 | 91 | 370 | 11 | 472 | 19.3% | 78.4% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -FERDINAND 02FERDINAND 02 | 153 | 290 | 21 | 464 | 33.0% | 62.5% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -HARBISON 01HARBISON 01 | 95 | 337 | 7 | 439 | 21.6% | 76.8% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -BOONE 01BOONE 01 | 99 | 326 | 9 | 434 | 22.8% | 75.1% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -MADISON - JASPER NMADISON - JASPER N | 112 | 306 | 13 | 431 | 26.0% | 71.0% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -HARBISON 02HARBISON 02 | 82 | 316 | 8 | 406 | 20.2% | 77.8% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -BAINBRIDGE 01BAINBRIDGE 01 | 92 | 292 | 8 | 392 | 23.5% | 74.5% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -CASS 02CASS 02 | 72 | 285 | 6 | 363 | 19.8% | 78.5% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -PATOKA 04PATOKA 04 | 92 | 218 | 13 | 323 | 28.5% | 67.5% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct -CASS 01CASS 01 | 67 | 185 | 14 | 266 | 25.2% | 69.5% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -PATOKA 05PATOKA 05 | 37 | 181 | 4 | 222 | 16.7% | 81.5% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -MARION 01MARION 01 | 48 | 158 | 3 | 209 | 23.0% | 75.6% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON 02JEFFERSON 02 | 44 | 103 | 4 | 151 | 29.1% | 68.2% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -BOONE - JASPERBOONE - JASPER | 26 | 66 | 1 | 93 | 28.0% | 71.0% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -MADISON - JASPER SMADISON - JASPER S | 18 | 46 | 1 | 65 | 27.7% | 70.8% | R+43.1 |
| BAINBRIDGE 0118_1803700010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 02E18_1803700020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 02W18_1803700030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 03E18_1803700040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 03W18_1803700050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 04N18_1803700060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 04S18_1803700070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 05N18_1803700080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 05S18_1803700090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 06N18_1803700100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 06S18_1803700110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAINBRIDGE 0718_1803700120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOONE 0118_1803700130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASS 0118_1803700140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASS 0218_1803700150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASS 0318_1803700160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLUMBIA 0118_1803700170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FERDINAND 0118_1803700180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FERDINAND 0218_1803700190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FERDINAND 0318_1803700200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HALL 0118_1803700210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARBISON 0118_1803700220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARBISON 0218_1803700230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON 0118_1803700240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON 0218_1803700250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON 0118_1803700260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON 0218_1803700270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MADISON - JASPER18_1803700300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MADISON 0118_1803700280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MADISON 0218_1803700290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 0118_1803700310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 0218_1803700320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATOKA 0118_1803700330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATOKA 0218_1803700340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATOKA 0318_1803700350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATOKA 0418_1803700360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATOKA 0518_1803700370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATOKA 0618_1803700380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +42.7% |
| 1896 | +42.2% |
| 1900 | +39.8% |
| 1904 | +37.2% |
| 1908 | +40.2% |
| 1912 | +53.2% |
| 1916 | +34.0% |
| 1920 | +6.2% |
| 1924 | +33.2% |
| 1928 | +29.2% |
| 1932 | +51.9% |
| 1936 | +37.8% |
| 1940 | +11.8% |
| 1944 | +4.1% |
| 1948 | +20.8% |
| 1952 | −7.2% |
| 1956 | −14.5% |
| 1960 | +23.2% |
| 1964 | +45.3% |
| 1968 | +6.3% |
| 1972 | −2.1% |
| 1976 | +7.2% |
| 1980 | −0.5% |
| 1984 | −26.5% |
| 1988 | −25.2% |
| 1992 | −5.7% |
| 1996 | −2.2% |
| 2000 | −32.5% |
| 2004 | −38.2% |
| 2008 | −4.2% |
| 2012 | −27.6% |
| 2016 | −39.7% |
| 2020 | −40.2% |
| 2024 | −42.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.8%5,231 | 74.2%15,014 | 20,245 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 30,866 |
| 2018 | 29,839 |
| 2020 | 30,567 |
| 2022 | 30,557 |
| 2024 | 30,676 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−88 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,468 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,676 in average income, against $89,828 for residents who stayed — 40% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+38.2 on average — 4.0 points more Democratic-leaning than Dubois County, IN itself (R+42.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Vanderburgh County, IN59R+12.6
- Pike County, IN56R+54.9
- Spencer County, IN55R+43.2
- Daviess County, IN41R+64.3
- Orange County, IN38R+52.1
- Martin County, IN30R+60.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vanderburgh County, IN84
- Spencer County, IN79
- Pike County, IN61
- Marion County, IN40
- Orange County, IN39
- Perry County, IN28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +112 |
| 2012 | −215 |
| 2013 | +1 |
| 2014 | −160 |
| 2015 | −171 |
| 2016 | −126 |
| 2017 | −134 |
| 2018 | −120 |
| 2019 | −188 |
| 2021 | −130 |
| 2022 | −75 |
| 2023 | +5 |
| 2024 | −179 |
| 2025 | −88 |
Dubois County's R+42.2 margin in 2024 reflects a heavily rural, manufacturing-rooted community in southwestern Indiana where Republican presidential candidates have dominated for decades with some of the state's widest winning spreads.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 42.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.2 points.
A population of 43,614, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,979 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shelby County and Dodge County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Dubois County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.