akashic
1876–2024
Lorain County, Ohio
Lorain County·Ohio

Lorain County votes the way the country votes.

A blue-collar Lake Erie county that has shifted steadily rightward since 2008

18762024·38 elections
Lorain County, Ohio · Derek Jensen (Tysto) · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+6
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
317,129
2024 ACS
Most similar
Saginaw County
MI · similarity 0.98
204 precincts · 159,807 votes cast
Trump · R+6
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−5.7%
74,20783,297159,807
2020R
−2.4%
75,66779,520157,437
2016D
+0.1%
66,94966,818143,296
2012D
+15.3%
81,46459,405144,318
2008D
+17.8%
85,27659,068146,859
2004D
+12.6%
78,97061,203140,742
2000D
+10.6%
59,80947,957112,180
1996D
+19.5%
55,74434,937106,445
1992D
+11.9%
50,96236,803118,605
1988D
+4.9%
55,60050,410106,926
1984R
−3.9%
52,97057,379113,021
1980R
−9.8%
40,91951,034103,084
1976D
+13.6%
52,38739,45994,711
1972R
−15.9%
36,63451,10291,016
1968D
+9.8%
42,64234,25285,727
1964D
+35.3%
55,75526,68382,438
1960D
+5.0%
43,48739,36182,848
1956R
−20.2%
26,77440,34067,114
1952R
−12.7%
26,19433,82560,019
1948R
−0.5%
21,39721,61643,638
1944D
+2.8%
25,25423,86649,120
1940D
+4.9%
25,83123,42249,253
1936D
+19.9%
24,39315,90642,656
1932R
−5.2%
18,75320,89740,971
1928R
−28.2%
13,60724,38638,205
1924R
−47.2%
3,96517,06227,774
1920R
−34.5%
8,64018,12527,529
1916D
+5.3%
7,6586,86815,042
1912D
+17.4%
4,5912,22613,621
1908R
−21.3%
5,4608,69915,235
1904R
−49.1%
2,7009,00112,830
1900R
−25.6%
4,9898,49713,721
1896R
−27.9%
4,3677,80112,327
1892R
−18.3%
3,6745,4349,600
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
6.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.5%
Other Christian
12.6%
Mainline Protestant
3.9%
Baptist
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Methodist
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lorain County's mix of steel-town Lorain city, suburban Elyria, and rural townships has produced a consistent swing toward Republican presidential candidates over the past four cycles, flipping from double-digit Democratic margins to R+5.7 in 2024.

The Democratic margin in Lorain County has rarely exceeded thirty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by six points.

Lorain County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 78% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $73,347 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Saginaw County and Knox County.