Lorain, Ohio
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +46.5% |
| 2008 | +49.5% |
| 2012 | +49.9% |
| 2016 | +31.9% |
| 2020 | +21.4% |
| 2024 | +12.8% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 55.9%Harris13,286 | 43.1%Trump10,240 | 1.0% | D+12.8 | R+8.6 | D+14.3 | 23,759 | |
| D | 60.0%Biden14,957 | 38.5%Trump9,616 | 1.5% | D+21.4 | R+10.5 | D+17.0 | 24,949 | |
| D | 63.8%Clinton15,228 | 32.0%Trump7,622 | 4.2% | D+31.9 | R+18.0 | D+29.8 | 23,850 | |
| D | 73.7%Obama19,446 | 23.9%Romney6,294 | 2.4% | D+49.9 | D+0.3 | D+46.0 | 26,370 | |
| D | 73.8%Obama20,133 | 24.3%McCain6,620 | 1.9% | D+49.5 | D+3.0 | D+42.3 | 27,275 | |
| D | 73.1%Kerry18,614 | 26.6%Bush6,768 | 0.3% | D+46.5 | — | D+49.0 | 25,456 |
Lorain's heavily Hispanic and working-class Black electorate consistently produces Democratic margins above 30 points in federal races, anchored by decades of steelworker-union organizing that outlasted the mill closures of the 1980s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.9 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.8 points.
A population of 65,395, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,685 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Elyria and Poinciana.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Lorain, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3944856/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.