Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Erie
presidential margin
2008D+11.02012D+5.22016R+12.82020R+11.22024R+13.1
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+13.1
2024
median income$62,463U.S. $80,734 · PA $77,971
median age41.7U.S. 39.1 · PA 41.2
poverty rate14.4%U.S. 12.5% · PA 11.7%
bachelor’s+ (25+)27.3%U.S. 35.6% · PA 35.2%
non-english6.3%U.S. 22.3% · PA 12.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German23.2%
Irish13.6%
English9.7%
African American†4.2%
African0.7%
Puerto Rican2.1%
Mexican0.7%
Asian Indian0.4%
Filipino0.2%
Vietnamese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline10.5%
Black Protestant1.0%
Other Christian0.9%
Muslim0.3%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Erie, Pennsylvania

Akashic
ErieTrumpR+13.1
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Erie, PAA map of the constituent counties of Erie, PA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Crawford County, PA · R+39.2Warren County, PA · R+39.2Erie County, PA · R+1.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican56.1%112,896
Kamala HarrisDemocratic43.0%86,526
Jill SteinGreen0.9%1,768
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Erie, PA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Crawford County, PARepublicanR+39.2
Erie County, PARepublicanR+1.0
Warren County, PARepublicanR+39.2
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
43.0%Harris86,526
56.1%Trump112,896
0.9%Stein1,768
−13.1%
201,190
R
43.7%Biden87,276
54.9%Trump109,665
1.4%Jorgensen2,796
−11.2%
199,737
R
40.9%Clinton74,228
53.7%Trump97,533
5.4%Johnson9,787
−12.8%
181,548
D
51.7%Obama88,914
46.5%Romney79,936
1.8%Johnson3,138
+5.2%
171,988
D
54.8%Obama101,092
43.8%McCain80,786
1.3%Nader2,464
+11.0%
184,342
D
50.1%Kerry91,978
49.2%Bush90,336
0.6%Badnarik1,179
+0.9%
183,493
D
49.1%Gore80,186
47.3%Bush77,175
3.6%Nader5,854
+1.8%
163,215
D
49.4%Clinton77,742
39.2%Dole61,599
11.4%Perot17,963
+10.3%
157,304
D
44.6%Clinton76,166
35.1%Bush59,980
20.3%Perot34,712
+9.5%
170,858
R
49.2%Dukakis73,724
49.7%Bush74,546
1.1%McCarthy1,653
−0.5%
149,923
R
44.8%Mondale71,507
54.4%Reagan86,879
0.8%Johnson1,296
−9.6%
159,682
R
42.2%Carter63,284
49.7%Reagan74,635
8.1%Anderson12,126
−7.6%
150,045
D
50.3%Carter77,509
47.6%Ford73,450
2.1%McCarthy3,260
+2.6%
154,219
R
37.7%McGovern56,270
60.2%Nixon89,953
2.2%Schmitz3,226
−22.5%
149,449
D
48.1%Humphrey69,317
46.5%Nixon67,014
5.4%Wallace7,710
+1.6%
144,041
D
67.6%Johnson101,754
31.9%Goldwater48,022
0.5%Hass758
+35.7%
150,534
R
46.8%Kennedy72,298
53.0%Nixon81,890
0.3%Byrd456
−6.2%
154,644
R
35.7%Stevenson47,611
64.0%Eisenhower85,462
0.4%Andrews470
−28.3%
133,543
R
38.8%Stevenson50,935
60.6%Eisenhower79,470
0.6%Hallinan725
−21.8%
131,130
R
41.7%Truman41,436
56.7%Dewey56,345
1.6%Thurmond1,613
−15.0%
99,394
R
43.5%Roosevelt46,568
55.8%Dewey59,728
0.7%Thomas726
−12.3%
107,022
R
42.7%Roosevelt47,757
56.8%Willkie63,515
0.5%Thomas597
−14.1%
111,869
D
48.4%Roosevelt54,325
44.1%Landon49,510
7.5%Lemke8,476
+4.3%
112,311
R
45.5%Roosevelt34,228
49.3%Hoover37,161
5.2%Thomas3,917
−3.9%
75,306
R
32.3%Smith28,831
67.0%Hoover59,691
0.7%Thomas620
−34.6%
89,142
R
14.1%Davis8,632
63.7%Coolidge38,900
22.2%La Follette13,543
−49.6%
61,075
R
21.6%Cox12,666
63.6%Harding37,288
14.8%Debs8,688
−42.0%
58,642
D
45.0%Wilson18,083
44.4%Hughes17,833
10.6%Benson4,275
+0.6%
40,191
O
29.7%Wilson11,227
23.9%Taft9,019
46.5%Roosevelt17,567
Roosevelt +16.8
37,813
R
33.4%Bryan13,895
55.8%Taft23,179
10.8%Debs4,482
−22.3%
41,556
R
25.9%Parker9,986
62.6%Roosevelt24,138
11.5%Debs4,422
−36.7%
38,546
R
37.9%Bryan16,781
56.8%McKinley25,130
5.3%Woolley2,359
−18.9%
44,270
R
44.4%Bryan20,641
52.8%McKinley24,516
2.8%Palmer1,301
−8.3%
46,458
R
40.8%Cleveland16,490
49.2%Harrison19,908
10.0%Weaver4,041
−8.5%
40,439
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −13.1% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−13.1%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−8.5%
1896−8.3%
1900−18.9%
1904−36.7%
1908−22.3%
1912+5.8%
1916+0.6%
1920−42.0%
1924−49.6%
1928−34.6%
1932−3.9%
1936+4.3%
1940−14.1%
1944−12.3%
1948−15.0%
1952−21.8%
1956−28.3%
1960−6.2%
1964+35.7%
1968+1.6%
1972−22.5%
1976+2.6%
1980−7.6%
1984−9.6%
1988−0.5%
1992+9.5%
1996+10.3%
2000+1.8%
2004+0.9%
2008+11.0%
2012+5.2%
2016−12.8%
2020−11.2%
2024−13.1%
DemocraticRepublican

Erie's media market spans northwestern Pennsylvania into Ohio and New York, and its blue-collar electorate has swung between parties by single digits in consecutive cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide Pennsylvania results.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.1 points.

A population of 389,688, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,463 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wilkes-Barre-Scranton-Hazleton and Flint-Saginaw-Bay City.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Wilkes-Barre-Scranton-Hazleton
Pennsylvania
79.3twin score
12-yr trendPolish ancestry% Evangelical≠ population scale
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
Michigan
79.2twin score
12-yr trend2004–2012 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Binghamton
New York
79.1twin score
2000 margin% White% Evangelical≠ Scottish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Erie, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/516/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Erie

counties3
Crawford CountyErie CountyWarren County

Frequently asked questions

How did Erie, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Erie, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 13.1 points (R+13.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 201,190 votes cast, 86,526 went Democratic and 112,896 went Republican.
When did Erie, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Erie, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Erie, Pennsylvania?
Erie, Pennsylvania has a population of 389,688 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Erie, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Erie, Pennsylvania is $62,463 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Erie, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Erie, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.