Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
presidential margin
2008D+17.92012D+10.82016R+7.22020R+7.02024R+11.0
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+11.0
2024
median income$62,412U.S. $80,734 · MI $72,875
median age41.9U.S. 39.1 · MI 40.3
poverty rate15.6%U.S. 12.5% · MI 13.2%
bachelor’s+ (25+)23.5%U.S. 35.6% · MI 32.6%
non-english3.7%U.S. 22.3% · MI 10.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German22.6%
English11.8%
Irish11.1%
African American†10.0%
African0.3%
Mexican3.7%
Cuban0.3%
Puerto Rican0.3%
Asian Indian0.2%
Chinese0.2%
Filipino0.1%
religion
other traditions
Mainline4.4%
Black Protestant3.9%
Muslim1.0%
Other Christian0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan

Akashic
Flint-Saginaw-Bay CityTrumpR+11.0
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, MIA map of the constituent counties of Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, MI, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Arenac County, MI · R+40.6Bay County, MI · R+14.7Shiawassee County, MI · R+23.1Saginaw County, MI · R+3.3Huron County, MI · R+40.6Genesee County, MI · D+4.2Ogemaw County, MI · R+42.0Gladwin County, MI · R+40.7Midland County, MI · R+15.2Tuscola County, MI · R+43.0Isabella County, MI · R+7.5Iosco County, MI · R+30.6Gratiot County, MI · R+31.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican54.8%346,720
Kamala HarrisDemocratic43.8%277,075
Jill SteinGreen1.4%9,011
D+60
R+60
13 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (13 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, MI — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Arenac County, MIRepublicanR+40.6
Bay County, MIRepublicanR+14.7
Genesee County, MIDemocraticD+4.2
Gladwin County, MIRepublicanR+40.7
Gratiot County, MIRepublicanR+31.3
Huron County, MIRepublicanR+40.6
Iosco County, MIRepublicanR+30.6
Isabella County, MIRepublicanR+7.5
Midland County, MIRepublicanR+15.2
Ogemaw County, MIRepublicanR+42.0
Saginaw County, MIRepublicanR+3.3
Shiawassee County, MIRepublicanR+23.1
Tuscola County, MIRepublicanR+43.0
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
43.8%Harris277,075
54.8%Trump346,720
1.4%Stein9,011
−11.0%
632,806
R
45.7%Biden283,582
52.7%Trump327,226
1.5%Jorgensen9,602
−7.0%
620,410
R
43.5%Clinton239,601
50.7%Trump279,306
5.8%Johnson31,692
−7.2%
550,599
D
54.7%Obama304,936
43.9%Romney244,471
1.4%Stein7,963
+10.8%
557,370
D
58.1%Obama347,989
40.2%McCain240,632
1.7%Nader10,260
+17.9%
598,881
D
53.1%Kerry311,668
46.0%Bush270,503
0.9%Nader5,259
+7.0%
587,430
D
54.3%Gore285,557
43.4%Bush228,350
2.4%Nader12,424
+10.9%
526,331
D
54.2%Clinton264,818
34.3%Dole167,393
11.5%Perot56,068
+20.0%
488,279
D
45.8%Clinton248,187
30.7%Bush166,306
23.5%Perot127,563
+15.1%
542,056
D
51.9%Dukakis249,998
47.5%Bush228,989
0.6%Paul2,996
+4.4%
481,983
R
41.9%Mondale204,190
57.6%Reagan281,047
0.5%Bergland2,611
−15.8%
487,848
R
43.2%Carter218,800
48.4%Reagan245,074
8.4%Anderson42,755
−5.2%
506,629
R
46.9%Carter216,563
51.8%Ford239,339
1.3%McCarthy6,213
−4.9%
462,115
R
40.7%McGovern174,155
57.3%Nixon245,528
2.0%Schmitz8,497
−16.7%
428,180
R
41.5%Humphrey169,113
47.3%Nixon192,577
11.2%Wallace45,450
−5.8%
407,140
D
64.1%Johnson245,127
35.7%Goldwater136,639
0.2%Hass598
+28.4%
382,364
R
43.9%Kennedy170,510
55.9%Nixon217,055
0.3%Byrd983
−12.0%
388,548
R
37.3%Stevenson134,188
62.5%Eisenhower224,574
0.2%Andrews812
−25.1%
359,574
R
37.0%Stevenson117,820
62.3%Eisenhower198,203
0.7%Hallinan2,143
−25.3%
318,166
R
42.6%Truman99,135
55.0%Dewey127,838
2.4%Thurmond5,655
−12.3%
232,628
R
43.4%Roosevelt112,609
55.9%Dewey145,128
0.7%Thomas1,879
−12.5%
259,616
R
44.5%Roosevelt115,191
55.1%Willkie142,800
0.4%Thomas1,156
−10.7%
259,147
D
55.2%Roosevelt120,324
37.8%Landon82,549
7.0%Lemke15,271
+17.3%
218,144
D
53.6%Roosevelt113,901
43.9%Hoover93,285
2.6%Thomas5,450
+9.7%
212,636
R
26.5%Smith46,418
73.0%Hoover127,976
0.5%Thomas796
−46.6%
175,190
R
15.1%Davis22,572
76.9%Coolidge114,951
8.0%La Follette11,925
−61.8%
149,448
R
23.1%Cox30,836
74.2%Harding98,934
2.7%Debs3,557
−51.1%
133,327
R
43.2%Wilson40,890
53.5%Hughes50,681
3.3%Benson3,124
−10.3%
94,695
O
25.6%Wilson21,703
28.3%Taft24,013
46.1%Roosevelt39,124
Roosevelt +17.8
84,840
R
33.2%Bryan26,982
61.1%Taft49,619
5.6%Debs4,548
−27.9%
81,149
R
26.6%Parker21,392
67.8%Roosevelt54,536
5.6%Debs4,526
−41.2%
80,454
R
39.5%Bryan33,610
56.8%McKinley48,316
3.7%Woolley3,120
−17.3%
85,046
R
47.9%Bryan41,627
49.9%McKinley43,313
2.2%Palmer1,920
−1.9%
86,860
R
43.0%Cleveland31,096
46.2%Harrison33,426
10.9%Weaver7,862
−3.2%
72,384
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −11.0% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−11.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−3.2%
1896−1.9%
1900−17.3%
1904−41.2%
1908−27.9%
1912−2.7%
1916−10.3%
1920−51.1%
1924−61.8%
1928−46.6%
1932+9.7%
1936+17.3%
1940−10.7%
1944−12.5%
1948−12.3%
1952−25.3%
1956−25.1%
1960−12.0%
1964+28.4%
1968−5.8%
1972−16.7%
1976−4.9%
1980−5.2%
1984−15.8%
1988+4.4%
1992+15.1%
1996+20.0%
2000+10.9%
2004+7.0%
2008+17.9%
2012+10.8%
2016−7.2%
2020−7.0%
2024−11.0%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Flint-Saginaw-Bay CityTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 963,423 in 2024.240.9K481.7K722.6K963.4K963.4K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
YearTotal registered
2016886,802
2018878,690
2020936,159
2022945,958
2024963,423
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

This mid-Michigan media market anchors Genesee, Saginaw, and Bay counties, where decades of auto-industry contraction have reshaped an electorate that swung between parties by single digits in recent statewide cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.0 points.

A population of 1,123,771, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,412 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Toledo and Davenport-Rock Island-Moline.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Toledo
Ohio
89.1twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois
84.0twin score
12-yr trend2000–2008 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Erie
Pennsylvania
79.2twin score
12-yr trend2004–2012 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/513/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Flint-Saginaw-Bay City

counties13
Arenac CountyBay CountyGenesee CountyGladwin CountyGratiot CountyHuron CountyIosco CountyIsabella CountyMidland CountyOgemaw CountySaginaw CountyShiawassee CountyTuscola County

Frequently asked questions

How did Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan voted Republican by 11.0 points (R+11.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 632,806 votes cast, 277,075 went Democratic and 346,720 went Republican.
When did Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan has a population of 1,123,771 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Median household income in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan is $62,412 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.