- Lead
- 2,309
- Total
- 30,835
- vs nation
- R+6.0
- Turnout
- 60.0%
Isabella County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.0% of 51,782 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 743
- Total
- 29,421
- vs nation
- R+7.0
- Turnout
- 52.0%
- Lead
- 934
- Total
- 25,540
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Turnout
- 45.4%
- Lead
- 2,238
- Total
- 24,260
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,459
- Total
- 28,350
- vs nation
- D+12.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 580
- Total
- 24,390
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 175
- Total
- 21,069
- vs nation
- D+0.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,175
- Total
- 19,342
- vs nation
- D+2.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,5652024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,2372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Vigo County, IN · twin score 86.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.0%31,067 participants ÷ 51,782 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +5.6 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.4%–54.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 25,797 | 56,813 | 45.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 22,852 | 57,029 | 40.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 29,623 | 57,022 | 52.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 24,401 | 52,652 | 46.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 31,067 | 51,782 | 60.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 30,835 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 2City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 2 | 1,928 | 1,184 | 56 | 3,168 | 60.9% | 37.4% | D+23.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Union Township, Precinct 1Union Township, Precinct 1 | 1,499 | 1,483 | 45 | 3,027 | 49.5% | 49.0% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct -City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 1City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 1 | 1,672 | 950 | 54 | 2,676 | 62.5% | 35.5% | D+27.0 |
| Precinct -Union Township, Precinct 2Union Township, Precinct 2 | 1,190 | 948 | 41 | 2,179 | 54.6% | 43.5% | D+11.1 |
| Precinct -City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 3City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 3 | 1,369 | 654 | 36 | 2,059 | 66.5% | 31.8% | D+34.7 |
| Precinct -Coe Township, Precinct 1Coe Township, Precinct 1 | 679 | 1,012 | 26 | 1,717 | 39.5% | 58.9% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -Chippewa Township, Precinct 1Chippewa Township, Precinct 1 | 625 | 777 | 32 | 1,434 | 43.6% | 54.2% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct -Nottawa Township, Precinct 1Nottawa Township, Precinct 1 | 457 | 899 | 23 | 1,379 | 33.1% | 65.2% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -Deerfield Township, Precinct 1Deerfield Township, Precinct 1 | 631 | 694 | 15 | 1,340 | 47.1% | 51.8% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct -Lincoln Township, Precinct 1Lincoln Township, Precinct 1 | 377 | 847 | 18 | 1,242 | 30.4% | 68.2% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -Isabella Township, Precinct 1Isabella Township, Precinct 1 | 510 | 649 | 20 | 1,179 | 43.3% | 55.0% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -Broomfield Township, Precinct 1Broomfield Township, Precinct 1 | 388 | 671 | 15 | 1,074 | 36.1% | 62.5% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -Sherman Township, Precinct 1Sherman Township, Precinct 1 | 310 | 639 | 8 | 957 | 32.4% | 66.8% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -Chippewa Township, Precinct 2Chippewa Township, Precinct 2 | 331 | 492 | 17 | 840 | 39.4% | 58.6% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -Sherman Township, Precinct 2Sherman Township, Precinct 2 | 314 | 508 | 10 | 832 | 37.7% | 61.1% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -Gilmore Township, Precinct 1Gilmore Township, Precinct 1 | 233 | 573 | 13 | 819 | 28.4% | 70.0% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -Fremont Township, Precinct 1Fremont Township, Precinct 1 | 213 | 583 | 13 | 809 | 26.3% | 72.1% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -Deerfield Township, Precinct 2Deerfield Township, Precinct 2 | 260 | 514 | 19 | 793 | 32.8% | 64.8% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -Vernon Township, Precinct 1Vernon Township, Precinct 1 | 250 | 534 | 7 | 791 | 31.6% | 67.5% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -Rolland Township, Precinct 1Rolland Township, Precinct 1 | 226 | 470 | 9 | 705 | 32.1% | 66.7% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -Wise Township, Precinct 1Wise Township, Precinct 1 | 168 | 509 | 13 | 690 | 24.3% | 73.8% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -Denver Township, Precinct 1Denver Township, Precinct 1 | 240 | 429 | 8 | 677 | 35.5% | 63.4% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -Coldwater Township, Precinct 1Coldwater Township, Precinct 1 | 141 | 301 | 6 | 448 | 31.5% | 67.2% | R+35.7 |
| 0731114000001073-11140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0731558000001073-15580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0731558000002073-15580-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0731592000001073-15920-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0731688000001073-16880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0731688000002073-16880-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0731706000001073-17060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0732114000001073-21140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0732114000002073-21140-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0732168000001073-21680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0733068000001073-30680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0733220000001073-32200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0734116000001073-41160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0734766000001073-47660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0735602000001073-56020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0735602000002073-56020-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0735602000003073-56020-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0735602000004073-56020-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0735602000005073-56020-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0735602000006073-56020-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0735602000007073-56020-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0735936000001073-59360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0736930000001073-69300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0737320000001073-73200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0738134000001073-81340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0738134000002073-81340-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0738134000003073-81340-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0738200000001073-82000-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0738804000001073-88040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −2.4% |
| 1896 | +4.9% |
| 1900 | −19.2% |
| 1904 | −44.5% |
| 1908 | −30.1% |
| 1912 | −0.6% |
| 1916 | −11.1% |
| 1920 | −50.2% |
| 1924 | −59.3% |
| 1928 | −47.0% |
| 1932 | +0.7% |
| 1936 | −2.1% |
| 1940 | −42.4% |
| 1944 | −42.8% |
| 1948 | −36.7% |
| 1952 | −47.8% |
| 1956 | −45.0% |
| 1960 | −28.0% |
| 1964 | +20.2% |
| 1968 | −21.5% |
| 1972 | −12.8% |
| 1976 | −18.0% |
| 1980 | −15.0% |
| 1984 | −30.8% |
| 1988 | −13.0% |
| 1992 | +4.9% |
| 1996 | +11.2% |
| 2000 | +0.8% |
| 2004 | +2.4% |
| 2008 | +19.3% |
| 2012 | +9.2% |
| 2016 | −3.7% |
| 2020 | −2.5% |
| 2024 | −7.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 43,606 |
| 2018 | 42,971 |
| 2020 | 46,411 |
| 2022 | 47,940 |
| 2024 | 49,935 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−316 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −4,236 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,383 in average income, against $69,829 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+16.9 on average — 9.4 points more Republican-leaning than Isabella County, MI itself (R+7.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Gratiot County, MI180R+31.3
- Clare County, MI173R+37.6
- Midland County, MI146R+15.2
- Mecosta County, MI86R+30.0
- Kent County, MI74D+5.4
- Montcalm County, MI69R+39.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Gratiot County, MI162
- Midland County, MI147
- Clare County, MI136
- Oakland County, MI94
- Mecosta County, MI86
- Kent County, MI85
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −69 |
| 2012 | −377 |
| 2013 | −898 |
| 2014 | −624 |
| 2015 | +229 |
| 2016 | +119 |
| 2017 | −513 |
| 2018 | −933 |
| 2019 | −921 |
| 2021 | −215 |
| 2022 | +250 |
| 2023 | −256 |
| 2024 | +288 |
| 2025 | −316 |
Isabella County anchors the Saginaw Chippewa Indian Tribe's sovereign territory and Central Michigan University's campus, yet the county has shifted toward Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, finishing 2024 at R+7.5.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.5 points.
A population of 64,565, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,237 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Vigo County and Cortland County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Isabella County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.