- Lead
- 45,174
- Total
- 145,422
- vs nation
- R+29.6
Michigan 34th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 38,321
- Total
- 137,992
- vs nation
- R+32.2
- Lead
- 30,368
- Total
- 117,830
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Lead
- 9,385
- Total
- 114,969
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Lead
- 2,107
- Total
- 125,617
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Lead
- 12,475
- Total
- 120,028
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Lead
- 9,962
- Total
- 104,816
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Lead
- 6,149
- Total
- 96,901
- vs nation
- R+2.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 268,7082024 5-year
- Population density
- 63 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,270 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,7842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.4 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 16, MI · twin score 96.5
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 34th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
55.6%
33,185 votes · D+11.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 50.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
80.9%
30,182 votes · R+62.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 77.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
62,747votes
50.0% of the vote · D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 53,198 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
94,225votes
64.8% of the vote · R+31.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 87,028 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
−2.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+6.3 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −5.6 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+50.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.3 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +50.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 35.0%47,453 | 65.0%88,044 | 135,497 |
| 2020 | R | 31.6%26,784 | 68.4%57,849 | 84,633 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 21 points in the Republican direction, this west-central Michigan district consistently delivers outsized GOP margins, reflecting a rural and small-city electorate with deep conservative roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 62.4 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.1 points.
A population of 268,708, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,784 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 16 and State Senate District 26.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 34th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26034/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.