- Lead
- 6,308
- Total
- 15,488
- vs nation
- R+39.3
- Turnout
- 75.2%
Gladwin County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.2% of 20,736 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,369
- Total
- 14,603
- vs nation
- R+41.2
- Turnout
- 71.8%
- Lead
- 4,330
- Total
- 12,542
- vs nation
- R+36.6
- Turnout
- 62.3%
- Lead
- 901
- Total
- 12,583
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 199
- Total
- 13,241
- vs nation
- R+5.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 427
- Total
- 13,227
- vs nation
- R+0.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 170
- Total
- 11,629
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,824
- Total
- 10,692
- vs nation
- D+8.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,6932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,3492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.1 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ogemaw County, MI · twin score 98.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.2%15,597 participants ÷ 20,736 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.2%–65.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,680 | 20,355 | 62.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,173 | 20,372 | 54.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,683 | 20,437 | 71.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,122 | 20,602 | 58.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,597 | 20,736 | 75.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
35 precincts · 15,488 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Tobacco Township, Precinct 1Tobacco Township, Precinct 1 | 520 | 1,172 | 27 | 1,719 | 30.3% | 68.2% | R+37.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Butman Township, Precinct 1Butman Township, Precinct 1 | 536 | 1,109 | 13 | 1,658 | 32.3% | 66.9% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -Billings Township, Precinct 1Billings Township, Precinct 1 | 466 | 1,037 | 12 | 1,515 | 30.8% | 68.4% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -Sage Township, Precinct 1Sage Township, Precinct 1 | 418 | 1,064 | 15 | 1,497 | 27.9% | 71.1% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -City of Gladwin, Precinct 1City of Gladwin, Precinct 1 | 487 | 938 | 26 | 1,451 | 33.6% | 64.6% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -Beaverton Township, Precinct 1Beaverton Township, Precinct 1 | 240 | 789 | 13 | 1,042 | 23.0% | 75.7% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -Grout Township, Precinct 1Grout Township, Precinct 1 | 228 | 744 | 12 | 984 | 23.2% | 75.6% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -Secord Township, Precinct 1Secord Township, Precinct 1 | 274 | 546 | 4 | 824 | 33.3% | 66.3% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -Hay Township, Precinct 1Hay Township, Precinct 1 | 232 | 551 | 10 | 793 | 29.3% | 69.5% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -Buckeye Township, Precinct 1Buckeye Township, Precinct 1 | 165 | 577 | 9 | 751 | 22.0% | 76.8% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -Clement Township, Precinct 1Clement Township, Precinct 1 | 183 | 465 | 6 | 654 | 28.0% | 71.1% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -Sherman Township, Precinct 1Sherman Township, Precinct 1 | 172 | 459 | 6 | 637 | 27.0% | 72.1% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -City of Beaverton, Precinct 1City of Beaverton, Precinct 1 | 196 | 346 | 13 | 555 | 35.3% | 62.3% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -Gladwin Township, Precinct 1Gladwin Township, Precinct 1 | 135 | 402 | 4 | 541 | 25.0% | 74.3% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -Bentley Township, Precinct 1Bentley Township, Precinct 1 | 150 | 345 | 1 | 496 | 30.2% | 69.6% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -Bourret Township, Precinct 1Bourret Township, Precinct 1 | 79 | 206 | 7 | 292 | 27.1% | 70.5% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -Grim Township, Precinct 1Grim Township, Precinct 1 | 20 | 59 | 0 | 79 | 25.3% | 74.7% | R+49.4 |
| 0510666000001051-06660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0510668000001051-06680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0510736000001051-07360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0510836000001051-08360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0510972000001051-09720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0511144000001051-11440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0511218000001051-12180-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0511636000001051-16360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0513232001001051-32320-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0513232001002051-32320-01002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0513234000001051-32340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0513534000001051-35340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0513562000001051-35620-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0513730000001051-37300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0517050000001051-70500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0517224000001051-72240-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0517314000001051-73140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0517986000001051-79860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −23.6% |
| 1896 | −38.1% |
| 1900 | −52.2% |
| 1904 | −62.7% |
| 1908 | −47.8% |
| 1912 | −18.8% |
| 1916 | −11.7% |
| 1920 | −64.1% |
| 1924 | −67.9% |
| 1928 | −67.8% |
| 1932 | +9.0% |
| 1936 | −3.4% |
| 1940 | −35.8% |
| 1944 | −42.5% |
| 1948 | −35.4% |
| 1952 | −52.4% |
| 1956 | −47.2% |
| 1960 | −39.4% |
| 1964 | +16.7% |
| 1968 | −23.3% |
| 1972 | −26.1% |
| 1976 | −1.0% |
| 1980 | −8.8% |
| 1984 | −23.0% |
| 1988 | −6.5% |
| 1992 | +7.8% |
| 1996 | +17.1% |
| 2000 | −1.5% |
| 2004 | −3.2% |
| 2008 | +1.5% |
| 2012 | −7.2% |
| 2016 | −34.5% |
| 2020 | −36.8% |
| 2024 | −40.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.0%3,827 | 74.0%10,892 | 14,719 |
| 2020 | R | 27.0%3,771 | 73.0%10,177 | 13,948 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,084 |
| 2018 | 20,742 |
| 2020 | 21,943 |
| 2022 | 22,478 |
| 2024 | 22,935 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+324 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,279 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,601 in average income, against $61,425 for residents who stayed — 8% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.6 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Gladwin County, MI itself (R+40.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Midland County, MI108R+15.2
- Bay County, MI52R+14.7
- Clare County, MI51R+37.6
- Oakland County, MI42D+10.6
- Macomb County, MI40R+13.7
- Wayne County, MI39D+29.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Midland County, MI118
- Clare County, MI48
- Bay County, MI46
- Genesee County, MI38
- Isabella County, MI34
- Saginaw County, MI34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +214 |
| 2012 | −211 |
| 2013 | +118 |
| 2014 | +8 |
| 2015 | −222 |
| 2016 | +17 |
| 2017 | +189 |
| 2018 | +216 |
| 2019 | +256 |
| 2021 | +361 |
| 2022 | +383 |
| 2023 | +442 |
| 2024 | +184 |
| 2025 | +324 |
Gladwin's population of roughly 26,000 skews older and heavily white, anchored by small-town economies and lake-country tourism. Its R+40.7 margin in 2024 places it among Michigan's most reliably Republican counties by a substantial distance.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.1 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 67.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.7 points.
A population of 25,693, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,349 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ogemaw County and Arenac County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Gladwin County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.