- Lead
- 1,418
- Total
- 8,295
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- 70.3%
Gogebic County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.3% of 11,916 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,030
- Total
- 8,266
- vs nation
- R+16.9
- Turnout
- 67.4%
- Lead
- 1,093
- Total
- 7,383
- vs nation
- R+16.9
- Turnout
- 57.0%
- Lead
- 614
- Total
- 7,613
- vs nation
- D+4.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,427
- Total
- 8,264
- vs nation
- D+10.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 486
- Total
- 8,452
- vs nation
- D+8.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 137
- Total
- 8,339
- vs nation
- D+1.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,667
- Total
- 8,186
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,3192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $52,7322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Iron County, MI · twin score 90.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.3%8,374 participants ÷ 11,916 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 56.4%–60.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,484 | 13,121 | 57.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,689 | 12,944 | 51.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,314 | 12,339 | 67.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,504 | 12,159 | 53.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,374 | 11,916 | 70.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 8,295 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Ironwood Township, Precinct 1Ironwood Township, Precinct 1 | 579 | 872 | 23 | 1,474 | 39.3% | 59.2% | R+19.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Ironwood, Precinct 2City of Ironwood, Precinct 2 | 645 | 798 | 22 | 1,465 | 44.0% | 54.5% | R+10.4 |
| Precinct -City of Ironwood, Precinct 1City of Ironwood, Precinct 1 | 531 | 534 | 18 | 1,083 | 49.0% | 49.3% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -City of Bessemer, Precinct 1City of Bessemer, Precinct 1 | 458 | 553 | 11 | 1,022 | 44.8% | 54.1% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -City of Wakefield, Precinct 1City of Wakefield, Precinct 1 | 302 | 590 | 5 | 897 | 33.7% | 65.8% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -Watersmeet Township, Precinct 1Watersmeet Township, Precinct 1 | 367 | 505 | 11 | 883 | 41.6% | 57.2% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -Bessemer Township, Precinct 1Bessemer Township, Precinct 1 | 249 | 430 | 9 | 688 | 36.2% | 62.5% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -Marenisco Township, Precinct 1Marenisco Township, Precinct 1 | 106 | 269 | 4 | 379 | 28.0% | 71.0% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -Erwin Township, Precinct 1Erwin Township, Precinct 1 | 87 | 123 | 2 | 212 | 41.0% | 58.0% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -Wakefield Township, Precinct 1Wakefield Township, Precinct 1 | 61 | 129 | 2 | 192 | 31.8% | 67.2% | R+35.4 |
| 0530796000001053-07960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0530798000001053-07980-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0532634000001053-26340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0534106000001053-41060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0534106000002053-41060-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0534106000003053-41060-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0534108000001053-41080-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0535156000001053-51560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0538278000001053-82780-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0538280000001053-82800-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0538438000001053-84380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −17.8% |
| 1896 | −39.5% |
| 1900 | −50.3% |
| 1904 | −62.7% |
| 1908 | −53.1% |
| 1912 | −8.1% |
| 1916 | −16.6% |
| 1920 | −67.8% |
| 1924 | −60.2% |
| 1928 | −31.3% |
| 1932 | +1.3% |
| 1936 | +28.8% |
| 1940 | +17.0% |
| 1944 | +20.0% |
| 1948 | +12.1% |
| 1952 | +4.7% |
| 1956 | −5.5% |
| 1960 | +14.0% |
| 1964 | +40.6% |
| 1968 | +16.3% |
| 1972 | −6.0% |
| 1976 | +23.0% |
| 1980 | +8.4% |
| 1984 | +16.2% |
| 1988 | +18.9% |
| 1992 | +21.2% |
| 1996 | +20.4% |
| 2000 | +1.6% |
| 2004 | +5.8% |
| 2008 | +17.3% |
| 2012 | +8.1% |
| 2016 | −14.8% |
| 2020 | −12.5% |
| 2024 | −17.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 40.9%3,204 | 59.1%4,626 | 7,830 |
| 2020 | R | 41.6%3,332 | 58.4%4,672 | 8,004 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,953 |
| 2018 | 13,864 |
| 2020 | 14,381 |
| 2022 | 14,035 |
| 2024 | 14,009 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+136 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,191 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,594 in average income, against $60,527 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.2 on average — 9.1 points more Republican-leaning than Gogebic County, MI itself (R+17.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Iron County, WI38R+26.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Iron County, WI47
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −182 |
| 2012 | +26 |
| 2013 | −30 |
| 2014 | −67 |
| 2015 | −160 |
| 2016 | −110 |
| 2017 | +69 |
| 2018 | −146 |
| 2019 | −1,073 |
| 2021 | +179 |
| 2022 | +118 |
| 2023 | −31 |
| 2024 | +80 |
| 2025 | +136 |
Gogebic, anchored by the old iron-mining town of Ironwood, was reliably competitive into the 2000s but has swung more than 30 points toward Republicans since 2008, tracking a broader blue-collar realignment across the Upper Peninsula.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 67.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.1 points.
A population of 14,319, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,732 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Iron County and Putnam County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Gogebic County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.