akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 33·Michigan

Michigan 33rd State Senate District delivered R+11 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Michigan's most reliably Republican legislative districts

18762024·38 elections
MI
Latest
R+11
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
513,253
2024 ACS

Michigan 33rd State Senate District, Michigan: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
513,2532024 5-year
Median household income
$76,5132024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
78.5%2024 5-year
Black
7.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+17 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+61 in 1924MIT Election Lab
7 counties · 1 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.8%
123,639154,195282,940
R
−9.2%
119,978144,910270,116
R
−13.9%
90,639122,571230,217
R
−8.2%
98,511116,405218,553
D
+0.7%
113,059111,378228,483
R
−16.8%
91,145128,336221,691
R
−17.7%
76,236109,937190,848
R
−7.3%
71,76184,219171,824
R
−7.9%
66,00480,630185,277
R
−24.7%
58,81497,683157,604
R
−36.0%
49,675105,977156,592
R
−20.4%
56,05888,469159,011
R
−29.1%
50,50592,718145,181
R
−23.7%
49,56281,347133,869
R
−16.5%
46,25866,474122,776
D
+16.8%
69,29149,309118,823
R
−23.9%
46,43775,641122,446
R
−32.3%
38,04474,610113,058
R
−29.4%
36,09966,641103,858
R
−15.6%
32,20744,43978,391
R
−19.5%
32,36148,22981,443
R
−13.3%
36,59047,90385,069
D
+6.6%
37,80132,88074,808
D
+3.3%
37,52635,06675,097
R
−54.9%
14,08148,81363,296
R
−61.5%
8,36742,21155,062
R
−48.3%
12,59438,05152,742
R
−1.7%
17,51718,14537,078
O
+3.4%
8,9227,79532,920
R
−27.6%
10,77219,72132,439
R
−48.6%
7,54723,24532,284
R
−19.1%
14,11221,00136,089
R
−9.6%
16,35519,89337,011
R
−9.2%
12,88815,82632,060
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.3%
English
10.9%
Irish
9.7%
Polish
5.2%
American
3.7%
Italian
2.6%
French
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.9%
speak English only
Spanish5.2%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
12.7%
Other Christian
10.1%
Mainline Protestant
7.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.0%
Methodist
2.0%
Baptist
1.3%
Non-Christian
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in rural west-central Michigan, this district delivered a 24-point margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps in the state — reflecting a predominantly white, non-urban electorate with consistent conservative voting patterns across federal and state races.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventeen points in 1964; the Republican margin reached sixty-one points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 513,253, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $76,513 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 33, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 33, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 33, Michigan voted Republican by 10.8 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 282,940 votes cast, 123,639 went Democratic and 154,195 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 33, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 33, Michigan as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 29 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 33, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 33, Michigan voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in State Senate District 33, Michigan?
State Senate District 33, Michigan has a population of 513,253 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 33, Michigan?
Median household income in State Senate District 33, Michigan is $76,513 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of State Senate District 33, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 33, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.