HarrisDemocratic31.9%48,510TrumpRepublican66.6%101,370OtherAll other candidates1.5%2,292
R+34.7- Lead
- 52,860
- Total
- 152,172
- vs nation
- R+33.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Michigan 33rd State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic32.3%45,839TrumpRepublican65.8%93,337OtherAll other candidates1.8%2,583
R+33.5- Lead
- 47,498
- Total
- 141,759
- vs nation
- R+38.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic29.5%34,987TrumpRepublican63.4%75,087OtherAll other candidates7.0%8,334
R+33.9- Lead
- 40,100
- Total
- 118,408
- vs nation
- R+36.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic38.4%43,488RomneyRepublican59.9%67,857OtherAll other candidates1.7%1,870
R+21.5- Lead
- 24,369
- Total
- 113,215
- vs nation
- R+25.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic42.6%50,121McCainRepublican55.4%65,255OtherAll other candidates2.0%2,376
R+12.9- Lead
- 15,134
- Total
- 117,752
- vs nation
- R+20.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic35.6%42,081BushRepublican63.5%75,085OtherAll other candidates0.9%1,119
R+27.9- Lead
- 33,004
- Total
- 118,285
- vs nation
- R+25.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic35.1%35,759BushRepublican62.6%63,896OtherAll other candidates2.3%2,350
R+27.6- Lead
- 28,137
- Total
- 102,005
- vs nation
- R+28.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic38.2%35,086DoleRepublican51.4%47,227OtherAll other candidates10.5%9,642
R+13.2- Lead
- 12,141
- Total
- 91,955
- vs nation
- R+21.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 267,3782024 5-year
- Population density
- 94 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,859 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,4332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+7.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 18, MI · twin score 96.6
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 33rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
53.5%
32,355 votes · D+7.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 47.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
81.6%
31,050 votes · R+63.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 79.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
50,121votes
42.6% of the vote · R+12.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 48,510 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
101,370votes
66.6% of the vote · R+34.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 93,337 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
−12.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+36.0 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · −15.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+47.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +46.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRick OutmanState Senate · 33
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 37.3%50,874 | 62.7%85,637 | 136,511 |
| 2020 | R | 37.0%48,524 | 63.0%82,664 | 131,188 |
Anchored in rural west-central Michigan, this district delivered a 24-point margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps in the state — reflecting a predominantly white, non-urban electorate with consistent conservative voting patterns across federal and state races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 7.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 64.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.7 points.
A population of 267,378, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,433 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 18 and State Senate District 17.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 18
Michigan
96.6twin score
elasticitypopulation scale2016–2020 trajectory
State Senate District 17
Michigan
94.0twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory
State Senate District 32
Pennsylvania
91.7twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Michigan 33rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Michigan 33rd State Senate District
Frequently asked questions
How did Michigan 33rd State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan 33rd State Senate District voted Republican by 34.7 points (R+34.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 152,172 votes cast, 48,510 went Democratic and 101,370 went Republican.
When did Michigan 33rd State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Michigan 33rd State Senate District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Michigan 33rd State Senate District?
Michigan 33rd State Senate District has a population of 267,378 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan 33rd State Senate District?
Median household income in Michigan 33rd State Senate District is $74,433 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan 33rd State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Michigan 33rd State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 36 went Republican.