HarrisDemocratic47.7%49,515TrumpRepublican51.0%52,912KennedyIndependent0.5%482
R+3.3- Lead
- 3,397
- Total
- 103,846
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- 71.3%
Akashiccounty
Saginaw County, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.3% of 146,584 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic49.4%51,088TrumpRepublican49.1%50,785JorgensenLibertarian1.0%1,007
D+0.3- Lead
- 303
- Total
- 103,349
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Turnout
- 70.1%
ClintonDemocratic46.8%44,396TrumpRepublican48.0%45,469JohnsonLibertarian3.4%3,199
R+1.1- Lead
- 1,073
- Total
- 94,780
- vs nation
- R+3.2
- Turnout
- 63.8%
ObamaDemocratic55.3%54,381RomneyRepublican43.5%42,720SteinGreen0.4%398
D+11.9- Lead
- 11,661
- Total
- 98,292
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic57.9%60,276McCainRepublican40.6%42,225OtherAll other candidates1.5%1,589
D+17.3- Lead
- 18,051
- Total
- 104,090
- vs nation
- D+10.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic53.4%54,887BushRepublican45.9%47,165OtherAll other candidates0.8%800
D+7.5- Lead
- 7,722
- Total
- 102,852
- vs nation
- D+10.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic54.2%50,825BushRepublican43.9%41,152NaderGreen1.5%1,418
D+10.3- Lead
- 9,673
- Total
- 93,756
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic54.2%47,579DoleRepublican36.0%31,577PerotReform9.2%8,081
D+18.2- Lead
- 16,002
- Total
- 87,794
- vs nation
- D+9.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 188,6652024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,6222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lucas County, OH · twin score 96.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.3%104,576 participants ÷ 146,584 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.0%–59.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 95,604 | 149,843 | 63.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 82,149 | 148,827 | 55.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 104,013 | 148,288 | 70.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 82,239 | 147,511 | 55.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 104,576 | 146,584 | 71.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
161 precincts · 103,846 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of Frankenmuth, Precinct 1City of Frankenmuth, Precinct 1 | 1,097 | 2,251 | 51 | 3,399 | 32.3% | 66.2% | R+34.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Birch Run Township, Precinct 1Birch Run Township, Precinct 1 | 874 | 1,930 | 49 | 2,853 | 30.6% | 67.6% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -Taymouth Township, Precinct 1Taymouth Township, Precinct 1 | 881 | 1,739 | 21 | 2,641 | 33.4% | 65.8% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 12Saginaw Township, Precinct 12 | 1,174 | 1,236 | 61 | 2,471 | 47.5% | 50.0% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct -Bridgeport Township, Precinct 2Bridgeport Township, Precinct 2 | 1,687 | 748 | 32 | 2,467 | 68.4% | 30.3% | D+38.1 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 15Saginaw Township, Precinct 15 | 958 | 1,139 | 35 | 2,132 | 44.9% | 53.4% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 13Saginaw Township, Precinct 13 | 1,112 | 839 | 47 | 1,998 | 55.7% | 42.0% | D+13.7 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 7Saginaw Township, Precinct 7 | 1,044 | 867 | 30 | 1,941 | 53.8% | 44.7% | D+9.1 |
| Precinct -Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 1Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 1 | 719 | 1,192 | 18 | 1,929 | 37.3% | 61.8% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 14Saginaw Township, Precinct 14 | 933 | 946 | 27 | 1,906 | 49.0% | 49.6% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 5Saginaw Township, Precinct 5 | 959 | 922 | 20 | 1,901 | 50.4% | 48.5% | D+1.9 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 16City of Saginaw, Precinct 16 | 1,190 | 648 | 28 | 1,866 | 63.8% | 34.7% | D+29.0 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 14City of Saginaw, Precinct 14 | 1,179 | 626 | 32 | 1,837 | 64.2% | 34.1% | D+30.1 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 10Saginaw Township, Precinct 10 | 990 | 822 | 24 | 1,836 | 53.9% | 44.8% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 6Saginaw Township, Precinct 6 | 917 | 863 | 20 | 1,800 | 50.9% | 47.9% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -Carrollton Township, Precinct 2Carrollton Township, Precinct 2 | 909 | 846 | 25 | 1,780 | 51.1% | 47.5% | D+3.5 |
| Precinct -St. Charles Township, Precinct 1St. Charles Township, Precinct 1 | 550 | 1,163 | 39 | 1,752 | 31.4% | 66.4% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -Maple Grove Township, Precinct 1Maple Grove Township, Precinct 1 | 602 | 1,113 | 19 | 1,734 | 34.7% | 64.2% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -Swan Creek Township, Precinct 1Swan Creek Township, Precinct 1 | 445 | 1,175 | 29 | 1,649 | 27.0% | 71.3% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 9Saginaw Township, Precinct 9 | 802 | 804 | 23 | 1,629 | 49.2% | 49.4% | R+0.1 |
| Precinct -Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 4Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 4 | 561 | 960 | 17 | 1,538 | 36.5% | 62.4% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -Bridgeport Township, Precinct 1Bridgeport Township, Precinct 1 | 634 | 867 | 20 | 1,521 | 41.7% | 57.0% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 11Saginaw Township, Precinct 11 | 877 | 580 | 29 | 1,486 | 59.0% | 39.0% | D+20.0 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 15City of Saginaw, Precinct 15 | 972 | 473 | 25 | 1,470 | 66.1% | 32.2% | D+33.9 |
| Precinct -Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 2Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 2 | 475 | 963 | 18 | 1,456 | 32.6% | 66.1% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 2Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 1,269 | 165 | 17 | 1,451 | 87.5% | 11.4% | D+76.1 |
| Precinct -Chesaning Township, Precinct 2Chesaning Township, Precinct 2 | 527 | 905 | 17 | 1,449 | 36.4% | 62.5% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -Kochville Township, Precinct 1Kochville Township, Precinct 1 | 601 | 829 | 14 | 1,444 | 41.6% | 57.4% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct -Bridgeport Township, Precinct 3Bridgeport Township, Precinct 3 | 472 | 902 | 20 | 1,394 | 33.9% | 64.7% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 1Saginaw Township, Precinct 1 | 795 | 555 | 14 | 1,364 | 58.3% | 40.7% | D+17.6 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 3Thomas Township, Precinct 3 | 441 | 890 | 27 | 1,358 | 32.5% | 65.5% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -Frankenmuth Township, Precinct 1Frankenmuth Township, Precinct 1 | 393 | 944 | 20 | 1,357 | 29.0% | 69.6% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 10City of Saginaw, Precinct 10 | 843 | 490 | 17 | 1,350 | 62.4% | 36.3% | D+26.1 |
| Precinct -Richland Township, Precinct 1Richland Township, Precinct 1 | 397 | 935 | 15 | 1,347 | 29.5% | 69.4% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 2Saginaw Township, Precinct 2 | 700 | 623 | 20 | 1,343 | 52.1% | 46.4% | D+5.7 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 13City of Saginaw, Precinct 13 | 893 | 418 | 20 | 1,331 | 67.1% | 31.4% | D+35.7 |
| Precinct -Richland Township, Precinct 2Richland Township, Precinct 2 | 369 | 919 | 12 | 1,300 | 28.4% | 70.7% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 2Thomas Township, Precinct 2 | 466 | 817 | 12 | 1,295 | 36.0% | 63.1% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -Blumfield Township, Precinct 1Blumfield Township, Precinct 1 | 275 | 997 | 22 | 1,294 | 21.3% | 77.0% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 3Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 3 | 1,123 | 152 | 15 | 1,290 | 87.1% | 11.8% | D+75.3 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 3Saginaw Township, Precinct 3 | 706 | 573 | 8 | 1,287 | 54.9% | 44.5% | D+10.3 |
| Precinct -Fremont Township, Precinct 1Fremont Township, Precinct 1 | 345 | 916 | 22 | 1,283 | 26.9% | 71.4% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -Chesaning Township, Precinct 1Chesaning Township, Precinct 1 | 603 | 629 | 29 | 1,261 | 47.8% | 49.9% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 11City of Saginaw, Precinct 11 | 779 | 422 | 20 | 1,221 | 63.8% | 34.6% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -Carrollton Township, Precinct 1Carrollton Township, Precinct 1 | 646 | 547 | 21 | 1,214 | 53.2% | 45.1% | D+8.2 |
| Precinct -James Township, Precinct 1James Township, Precinct 1 | 354 | 835 | 18 | 1,207 | 29.3% | 69.2% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Brady Township, Precinct 1Brady Township, Precinct 1 | 387 | 781 | 18 | 1,186 | 32.6% | 65.9% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 1Thomas Township, Precinct 1 | 384 | 768 | 21 | 1,173 | 32.7% | 65.5% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -Albee Township, Precinct 1Albee Township, Precinct 1 | 349 | 790 | 18 | 1,157 | 30.2% | 68.3% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -Brant Township, Precinct 1Brant Township, Precinct 1 | 292 | 844 | 14 | 1,150 | 25.4% | 73.4% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 1City of Saginaw, Precinct 1 | 1,091 | 47 | 10 | 1,148 | 95.0% | 4.1% | D+90.9 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 12City of Saginaw, Precinct 12 | 763 | 352 | 16 | 1,131 | 67.5% | 31.1% | D+36.3 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 8Saginaw Township, Precinct 8 | 541 | 560 | 11 | 1,112 | 48.7% | 50.4% | R+1.7 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 7Thomas Township, Precinct 7 | 401 | 702 | 8 | 1,111 | 36.1% | 63.2% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -Spaulding Township, Precinct 1Spaulding Township, Precinct 1 | 460 | 611 | 12 | 1,083 | 42.5% | 56.4% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 7City of Saginaw, Precinct 7 | 984 | 92 | 5 | 1,081 | 91.0% | 8.5% | D+82.5 |
| Precinct -Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 3Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 3 | 334 | 727 | 16 | 1,077 | 31.0% | 67.5% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 5Thomas Township, Precinct 5 | 428 | 614 | 14 | 1,056 | 40.5% | 58.1% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 4Saginaw Township, Precinct 4 | 458 | 525 | 11 | 994 | 46.1% | 52.8% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 9City of Saginaw, Precinct 9 | 643 | 342 | 6 | 991 | 64.9% | 34.5% | D+30.4 |
| Precinct -Jonesfield Township, Precinct 1Jonesfield Township, Precinct 1 | 315 | 661 | 15 | 991 | 31.8% | 66.7% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 6Thomas Township, Precinct 6 | 389 | 578 | 9 | 976 | 39.9% | 59.2% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 4Thomas Township, Precinct 4 | 274 | 668 | 10 | 952 | 28.8% | 70.2% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 3City of Saginaw, Precinct 3 | 842 | 96 | 6 | 944 | 89.2% | 10.2% | D+79.0 |
| Precinct -City of Zilwaukee, Precinct 1City of Zilwaukee, Precinct 1 | 371 | 529 | 13 | 913 | 40.6% | 57.9% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 8City of Saginaw, Precinct 8 | 822 | 50 | 8 | 880 | 93.4% | 5.7% | D+87.7 |
| Precinct -Birch Run Township, Precinct 2Birch Run Township, Precinct 2 | 326 | 525 | 12 | 863 | 37.8% | 60.8% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 6City of Saginaw, Precinct 6 | 767 | 52 | 9 | 828 | 92.6% | 6.3% | D+86.4 |
| Precinct -Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 1Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 327 | 436 | 8 | 771 | 42.4% | 56.5% | R+14.1 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 4City of Saginaw, Precinct 4 | 608 | 101 | 8 | 717 | 84.8% | 14.1% | D+70.7 |
| Precinct -Lakefield Township, Precinct 1Lakefield Township, Precinct 1 | 167 | 425 | 7 | 599 | 27.9% | 71.0% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 5City of Saginaw, Precinct 5 | 523 | 58 | 6 | 587 | 89.1% | 9.9% | D+79.2 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 2City of Saginaw, Precinct 2 | 501 | 52 | 4 | 557 | 89.9% | 9.3% | D+80.6 |
| Precinct -Chapin Township, Precinct 1Chapin Township, Precinct 1 | 127 | 362 | 3 | 492 | 25.8% | 73.6% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -Marion Township, Precinct 1Marion Township, Precinct 1 | 96 | 355 | 2 | 453 | 21.2% | 78.4% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -Zilwaukee Township, Precinct 1Zilwaukee Township, Precinct 1 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 41 | 17.1% | 82.9% | R+65.9 |
| 1450092000001145-00920-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1450856000001145-08560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1450856000002145-08560-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1450856000003145-08560-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1450940000001145-09400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1450994000001145-09940-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451010000001145-10100-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451046000001145-10460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451046000002145-10460-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451046000003145-10460-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451046000004145-10460-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451046000005145-10460-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451156000001145-11560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451156000002145-11560-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451156000003145-11560-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451156000004145-11560-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451156000005145-11560-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451354000001145-13540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451354000002145-13540-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451466000001145-14660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451516000001145-15160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1451516000002145-15160-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1453020000001145-30200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1453020000002145-30200-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1453022000001145-30220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1453072000001145-30720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1454148000001145-41480-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1454190000001145-41900-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1454380000001145-43800-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1454456000001145-44560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1455106000001145-51060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1455170000001145-51700-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1456834000001145-68340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1456834000002145-68340-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000001145-70520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000002145-70520-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000003145-70520-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000004145-70520-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000005145-70520-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000006145-70520-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000007145-70520-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000008145-70520-00008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000009145-70520-00009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000010145-70520-00010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000011145-70520-00011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000012145-70520-00012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000013145-70520-00013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000014145-70520-00014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000015145-70520-00015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457052000016145-70520-00016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000001145-70540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000002145-70540-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000003145-70540-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000004145-70540-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000005145-70540-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000006145-70540-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000007145-70540-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000008145-70540-00008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000009145-70540-00009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000010145-70540-00010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000011145-70540-00011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000012145-70540-00012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000013145-70540-00013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000014145-70540-00014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000015145-70540-00015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457054000016145-70540-00016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457066000001145-70660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457066000002145-70660-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457548000001145-75480-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457766000001145-77660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457910000001145-79100-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457910000002145-79100-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457952000001145-79520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457952000002145-79520-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457952000003145-79520-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457952000004145-79520-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457952000005145-79520-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457952000006145-79520-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457952000007145-79520-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457984000001145-79840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457984000002145-79840-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457984000003145-79840-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1457984000004145-79840-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1458932000001145-89320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1458934000001145-89340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +5.7% |
| 1896 | +2.5% |
| 1900 | −4.8% |
| 1904 | −28.8% |
| 1908 | −14.0% |
| 1912 | +4.5% |
| 1916 | −6.0% |
| 1920 | −52.2% |
| 1924 | −60.7% |
| 1928 | −31.9% |
| 1932 | +11.7% |
| 1936 | +17.1% |
| 1940 | −9.1% |
| 1944 | −14.3% |
| 1948 | −14.6% |
| 1952 | −29.3% |
| 1956 | −25.6% |
| 1960 | −11.6% |
| 1964 | +23.3% |
| 1968 | −7.5% |
| 1972 | −23.6% |
| 1976 | −12.5% |
| 1980 | −3.8% |
| 1984 | −14.5% |
| 1988 | +3.6% |
| 1992 | +12.1% |
| 1996 | +18.2% |
| 2000 | +10.3% |
| 2004 | +7.5% |
| 2008 | +17.3% |
| 2012 | +11.9% |
| 2016 | −1.1% |
| 2020 | +0.3% |
| 2024 | −3.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 150,018 |
| 2018 | 148,679 |
| 2020 | 156,776 |
| 2022 | 157,436 |
| 2024 | 160,169 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+177 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −12,908 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,227 in average income, against $67,762 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+10.6 on average — 7.3 points more Republican-leaning than Saginaw County, MI itself (R+3.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bay County, MI480R+14.7
- Genesee County, MI405D+4.2
- Midland County, MI243R+15.2
- Tuscola County, MI181R+43.0
- Oakland County, MI152D+10.6
- Shiawassee County, MI119R+23.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bay County, MI502
- Genesee County, MI414
- Midland County, MI315
- Oakland County, MI173
- Tuscola County, MI151
- Kent County, MI132
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,373 |
| 2012 | −1,133 |
| 2013 | −2,066 |
| 2014 | −2,103 |
| 2015 | −2,237 |
| 2016 | −1,140 |
| 2017 | −801 |
| 2018 | −1,378 |
| 2019 | −421 |
| 2021 | +222 |
| 2022 | −506 |
| 2023 | −327 |
| 2024 | +178 |
| 2025 | +177 |
Saginaw County's legacy of UAW-organized auto manufacturing built a durable Democratic base, but population loss and deindustrialization have steadily compressed that margin, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide working-class shifts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.3 points.
A population of 188,665, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,622 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lucas County and Genesee County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lucas County
Ohio
96.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Genesee County
Michigan
94.5twin score
2004–2024 trajectory
Wayne County
Michigan
93.8twin score
Polish ancestryelasticitymedian income≠ 2004 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Saginaw County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26145/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Saginaw County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Saginaw County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Saginaw County, Michigan voted Republican by 3.3 points (R+3.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 103,846 votes cast, 49,515 went Democratic and 52,912 went Republican.
When did Saginaw County, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Saginaw County, Michigan voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Saginaw County, Michigan?
Saginaw County, Michigan has a population of 188,665 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saginaw County, Michigan?
Median household income in Saginaw County, Michigan is $60,622 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Saginaw County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Saginaw County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.