- Lead
- 5,292
- Total
- 16,068
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Turnout
- 80.1%
Roscommon County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 80.1% of 20,206 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,504
- Total
- 15,018
- vs nation
- R+34.4
- Turnout
- 74.9%
- Lead
- 3,854
- Total
- 13,096
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Turnout
- 65.8%
- Lead
- 503
- Total
- 13,077
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 355
- Total
- 14,051
- vs nation
- R+4.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 554
- Total
- 14,359
- vs nation
- R+1.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 243
- Total
- 12,928
- vs nation
- D+1.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,957
- Total
- 11,834
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,7372024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,2462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16.5 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.8 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Iosco County, MI · twin score 96.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 80.1%16,191 participants ÷ 20,206 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.4 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 70.8%–72.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,242 | 20,111 | 65.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,030 | 20,094 | 59.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 15,122 | 20,180 | 74.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,079 | 19,944 | 65.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,191 | 20,206 | 80.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
27 precincts · 16,073 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Richfield Township, Precinct 1Richfield Township, Precinct 1 | 779 | 1,556 | 32 | 2,367 | 32.9% | 65.7% | R+32.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Gerrish Township, Precinct 1Gerrish Township, Precinct 1 | 820 | 1,341 | 30 | 2,191 | 37.4% | 61.2% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -Denton Township, Precinct 1Denton Township, Precinct 1 | 647 | 1,337 | 29 | 2,013 | 32.1% | 66.4% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -Markey Township, Precinct 1Markey Township, Precinct 1 | 542 | 1,110 | 24 | 1,676 | 32.3% | 66.2% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -Denton Township, Precinct 2Denton Township, Precinct 2 | 479 | 1,122 | 17 | 1,618 | 29.6% | 69.3% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -Roscommon Township, Precinct 1Roscommon Township, Precinct 1 | 431 | 897 | 20 | 1,348 | 32.0% | 66.5% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -Roscommon Township, Precinct 2Roscommon Township, Precinct 2 | 361 | 949 | 8 | 1,318 | 27.4% | 72.0% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -Lyon Township, Precinct 1Lyon Township, Precinct 1 | 373 | 674 | 11 | 1,058 | 35.3% | 63.7% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -Higgins Township, Precinct 1Higgins Township, Precinct 1 | 385 | 618 | 12 | 1,015 | 37.9% | 60.9% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -Lake Township, Precinct 1Lake Township, Precinct 1 | 278 | 554 | 15 | 847 | 32.8% | 65.4% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -Nester Township, Precinct 1Nester Township, Precinct 1 | 77 | 144 | 1 | 222 | 34.7% | 64.9% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -Backus Township, Precinct 1Backus Township, Precinct 1 | 61 | 150 | 1 | 212 | 28.8% | 70.8% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -Au Sable Township, Precinct 1Au Sable Township, Precinct 1 | 57 | 130 | 1 | 188 | 30.3% | 69.1% | R+38.8 |
| 1430432000001143-04320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1430472000001143-04720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1432164000001143-21640-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1432164000002143-21640-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1433196000001143-31960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1433802000001143-38020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1434440000001143-44400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1434984000001143-49840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1435178000001143-51780-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1435698000001143-56980-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1436820000001143-68200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1436820000002143-68200-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1436956000001143-69560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1436956000002143-69560-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +8.7% |
| 1896 | −32.7% |
| 1900 | −30.0% |
| 1904 | −49.2% |
| 1908 | −45.5% |
| 1912 | +2.7% |
| 1916 | −12.4% |
| 1920 | −54.3% |
| 1924 | −55.4% |
| 1928 | −53.2% |
| 1932 | +11.1% |
| 1936 | −3.2% |
| 1940 | −29.3% |
| 1944 | −45.2% |
| 1948 | −49.2% |
| 1952 | −57.8% |
| 1956 | −52.6% |
| 1960 | −38.0% |
| 1964 | +15.3% |
| 1968 | −21.1% |
| 1972 | −30.2% |
| 1976 | −10.9% |
| 1980 | −15.7% |
| 1984 | −31.2% |
| 1988 | −14.3% |
| 1992 | +8.9% |
| 1996 | +16.5% |
| 2000 | +1.9% |
| 2004 | −3.9% |
| 2008 | +2.5% |
| 2012 | −3.8% |
| 2016 | −29.4% |
| 2020 | −30.0% |
| 2024 | −32.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.5%5,127 | 66.5%10,166 | 15,293 |
| 2020 | R | 31.5%4,535 | 68.5%9,883 | 14,418 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,706 |
| 2018 | 21,742 |
| 2020 | 23,008 |
| 2022 | 23,536 |
| 2024 | 23,913 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+244 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,484 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,209 in average income, against $62,001 for residents who stayed — 5% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.1 on average — 26 points more Democratic-leaning than Roscommon County, MI itself (R+32.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Crawford County, MI60R+33.8
- Wayne County, MI59D+29.0
- Genesee County, MI46D+4.2
- Oakland County, MI44D+10.6
- Macomb County, MI40R+13.7
- Ogemaw County, MI34R+42.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Crawford County, MI54
- Oakland County, MI45
- Genesee County, MI40
- Ogemaw County, MI33
- Macomb County, MI32
- Saginaw County, MI26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +75 |
| 2012 | +49 |
| 2013 | +44 |
| 2014 | +218 |
| 2015 | +115 |
| 2016 | +119 |
| 2017 | +230 |
| 2018 | +326 |
| 2019 | +419 |
| 2021 | +579 |
| 2022 | +323 |
| 2023 | +462 |
| 2024 | +281 |
| 2025 | +244 |
Roscommon sits in Michigan's northern Lower Peninsula, a sparsely populated resort and retirement area where the 2024 presidential margin reached nearly 33 points — among the wider gaps recorded in the state's rural interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.5 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 57.8 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.9 points.
A population of 23,737, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,246 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Iosco County and Cheboygan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Roscommon County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26143/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.