akashic
1876–2024
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI·Michigan

Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI delivered R+9.3 in 2024.

20082024·5 elections
MI
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI
TrumpR+9.3
2024 presidential margin by county for Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, MIA map of the constituent counties of Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, MI, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Bay County, MI · R+14.7Midland County, MI · R+15.2Saginaw County, MI · R+3.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican53.9%116,275
Kamala HarrisDemocratic44.6%96,208
OtherAll other candidates1.5%3,234
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −9.3% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−9.3%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+6.2%
1896+2.0%
1900−8.7%
1904−34.4%
1908−19.0%
1912+2.9%
1916−7.0%
1920−43.9%
1924−51.6%
1928−28.5%
1932+12.8%
1936+16.2%
1940−7.5%
1944−11.1%
1948−9.6%
1952−27.7%
1956−27.6%
1960−10.0%
1964+28.2%
1968−7.0%
1972−17.7%
1976−8.2%
1980−5.6%
1984−15.9%
1988+2.4%
1992+10.0%
1996+15.2%
2000+5.3%
2004+3.6%
2008+12.3%
2012+4.2%
2016−8.4%
2020−6.5%
2024−9.3%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−9.3%
96,208116,275215,717
R
−6.5%
97,732111,585212,692
R
−8.4%
81,67397,643190,830
D
+4.2%
99,70891,550193,857
D
+12.3%
113,56688,283205,225
D
+3.6%
104,29196,982203,186
D
+5.3%
95,03585,189184,280
D
+15.2%
90,59164,162173,364
D
+10.0%
83,69364,635189,884
D
+2.4%
87,29383,105171,535
R
−15.9%
71,78699,214171,998
R
−5.6%
78,18688,392182,001
R
−8.2%
74,19787,570163,861
R
−17.7%
60,64087,487151,475
R
−7.0%
61,10471,178143,648
D
+28.2%
87,65049,062136,943
R
−10.0%
62,52876,495139,354
R
−27.6%
45,40480,196125,971
R
−27.7%
39,04169,199109,066
R
−9.6%
34,54842,05577,926
R
−11.1%
39,55449,59890,088
R
−7.5%
41,22647,92989,497
D
+16.2%
40,13228,08574,252
D
+12.8%
40,90431,40173,995
R
−28.5%
21,91439,48961,697
R
−51.6%
10,10636,30050,794
R
−43.9%
12,53632,98646,556
R
−7.0%
15,88418,35635,230
O
+2.9%
9,5068,55932,313
R
−19.0%
12,11718,19431,942
R
−34.4%
9,23819,86230,858
R
−8.7%
13,91216,65931,700
D
+2.0%
16,59515,92233,121
D
+6.2%
14,13012,39328,176
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorSaginaw-Midland-Bay City, MICombined statistical areaMichiganStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White80.5%73.7%61.0%
Black9.9%13.3%12.2%
Asian1.2%3.4%6.0%
Two or more races6.4%7.1%12.6%
Other race1.9%2.4%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino7.0%5.9%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$64,746$72,875$84,427
Poverty rate15.2%13.2%12.5%
Median age42.140.339.1
Age 18–248.3%9.2%9.2%
Age 65 and older20.8%18.5%17.2%
Education & Language
Speaks a non-English language at home3.8%10.4%22.3%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 25.8%German 17.7%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryIrish 10.2%English 10.5%English 9.5%
3rd-largest ancestryEnglish 10.0%Irish 9.9%Irish 9.4%
Religion
Catholic17.6%14.8%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant16.3%12.1%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed55.2%60.3%51.5%
Mainline Protestant5.3%4.7%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.8%
Irish
10.2%
English
10.0%
Polish
9.4%
French
4.9%
American
3.8%
Italian
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.2%
speak English only
Spanish1.7%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
17.6%
Evangelical Protestant
16.3%
Mainline Protestant
5.3%
Black Protestant
4.0%
Latter-day Saints
0.5%
Other Christian
0.5%
Muslim
0.4%
Orthodox Christian
0.2%
Unaffiliated or not counted55.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI sits in the Great Lakes. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.3 points.

A population of 375,430, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,746 describe the region.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/474/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Republican by 9.3 points (R+9.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 215,717 votes cast, 96,208 went Democratic and 116,275 went Republican.
What is Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan's political typology?
Akashic places Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the region has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 21 times, and other 1 times.
When did Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan has a population of 375,430 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Median household income in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan is $64,746 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The region's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.