† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSaginaw-Midland-Bay City, MIMichiganUnited States
German25.8%17.7%12.5%
Irish10.2%9.9%9.4%
English10.0%10.5%9.5%
Polish9.4%7.2%2.2%
French4.9%3.0%1.6%
American3.8%4.2%5.3%
Italian2.6%4.2%4.8%
Scottish1.5%—1.3%
African American†9.2%12.2%9.9%
African0.4%0.5%0.5%
Mexican5.5%4.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.5%1.8%
Asian Indian0.3%1.2%1.4%
Chinese0.2%0.5%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI
Michigan
United States
Median age
42.1
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.3%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.8%
18.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI
Michigan
United States
Median household income
$64,746
$72,875
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.2%
13.2%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
26.5%
32.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI
Michigan
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.8%
10.4%
22.3%
Spanish
1.7%
3.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI
Michigan
United States
Catholic
17.6%
14.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
16.3%
12.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
55.2%
60.3%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.3%
4.7%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+6.2%
1896
+2.0%
1900
−8.7%
1904
−34.4%
1908
−19.0%
1912
+2.9%
1916
−7.0%
1920
−43.9%
1924
−51.6%
1928
−28.5%
1932
+12.8%
1936
+16.2%
1940
−7.5%
1944
−11.1%
1948
−9.6%
1952
−27.7%
1956
−27.6%
1960
−10.0%
1964
+28.2%
1968
−7.0%
1972
−17.7%
1976
−8.2%
1980
−5.6%
1984
−15.9%
1988
+2.4%
1992
+10.0%
1996
+15.2%
2000
+5.3%
2004
+3.6%
2008
+12.3%
2012
+4.2%
2016
−8.4%
2020
−6.5%
2024
−9.3%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
44.6%Harris96,208
54.0%Trump116,275
0.5%Kennedy1,017 +8
R+9.3
R+2.8
R+7.8
215,485
All 11 candidates in 2024 · 9 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican54.0%116,275
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic44.6%96,208
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.5%1,017
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%807
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%620
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%243
Cornel WestIndependent0.1%166
Joseph KishoreIndependent0.1%120
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%16
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%12
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.0%1
R
46.0%Biden97,732
52.5%Trump111,585
1.6%
R+6.5
D+1.9
R+11.0
212,692
R
42.8%Clinton81,673
51.2%Trump97,643
6.0%
R+8.4
R+12.6
R+10.5
190,830
D
51.4%Obama99,708
47.2%Romney91,550
1.3%
D+4.2
R+8.1
D+0.4
193,857
D
55.3%Obama113,566
43.0%McCain88,283
1.6%
D+12.3
D+8.7
D+5.0
205,225
D
51.3%Kerry104,291
47.7%Bush96,982
0.9%
D+3.6
R+1.7
D+6.1
203,186
D
51.6%Gore95,035
46.2%Bush85,189
2.2%
D+5.3
R+9.9
D+4.8
184,280
D
52.3%Clinton90,591
37.0%Dole64,162
10.7%
D+15.2
D+5.2
D+6.7
173,364
D
44.1%Clinton83,693
34.0%Bush64,635
21.9%
D+10.0
D+7.6
D+4.5
189,884
D
50.9%Dukakis87,293
48.4%Bush83,105
0.7%
D+2.4
D+18.4
D+10.2
171,535
R
41.7%Mondale71,786
57.7%Reagan99,214
0.6%
R+15.9
R+10.3
D+2.3
171,998
R
43.0%Carter78,186
48.6%Reagan88,392
8.5%
R+5.6
D+2.6
D+4.1
182,001
R
45.3%Carter74,197
53.4%Ford87,570
1.3%
R+8.2
D+9.6
R+10.2
163,861
R
40.0%McGovern60,640
57.8%Nixon87,487
2.2%
R+17.7
R+10.7
D+5.4
151,475
R
42.5%Humphrey61,104
49.6%Nixon71,178
7.9%
R+7.0
R+35.2
R+6.3
143,648
D
64.0%Johnson87,650
35.8%Goldwater49,062
0.2%
D+28.2
D+38.2
D+5.6
136,943
R
44.9%Kennedy62,528
54.9%Nixon76,495
0.2%
R+10.0
D+17.6
R+10.2
139,354
R
36.0%Stevenson45,404
63.7%Eisenhower80,196
0.3%
R+27.6
±0.0
R+12.2
125,971
R
35.8%Stevenson39,041
63.4%Eisenhower69,199
0.8%
R+27.7
R+18.0
R+16.9
109,066
R
44.3%Truman34,548
54.0%Dewey42,055
1.7%
R+9.6
D+1.5
R+14.1
77,926
R
43.9%Roosevelt39,554
55.1%Dewey49,598
1.0%
R+11.1
R+3.7
R+18.6
90,088
R
46.1%Roosevelt41,226
53.6%Willkie47,929
0.4%
R+7.5
R+23.7
R+17.4
89,497
D
54.0%Roosevelt40,132
37.8%Landon28,085
8.1%
D+16.2
D+3.4
R+8.0
74,252
D
55.3%Roosevelt40,904
42.4%Hoover31,401
2.3%
D+12.8
D+41.3
R+4.9
73,995
R
35.5%Smith21,914
64.0%Hoover39,489
0.5%
R+28.5
D+23.1
R+11.0
61,697
R
19.9%Davis10,106
71.5%Coolidge36,300
8.6%
R+51.6
R+7.6
R+26.4
50,794
R
26.9%Cox12,536
70.9%Harding32,986
2.2%
R+43.9
R+36.9
R+17.7
46,556
R
45.1%Wilson15,884
52.1%Hughes18,356
2.8%
R+7.0
R+9.9
R+10.2
35,230
O
29.4%Wilson9,506
26.5%Taft8,559
44.1%
Roosevelt +14.7
D+22.0
R+16.6
32,313
R
37.9%Bryan12,117
57.0%Taft18,194
5.1%
R+19.0
D+15.4
R+9.5
31,942
R
29.9%Parker9,238
64.4%Roosevelt19,862
5.7%
R+34.4
R+25.8
R+14.8
30,858
R
43.9%Bryan13,912
52.6%McKinley16,659
3.6%
R+8.7
R+10.7
R+1.1
31,700
D
50.1%Bryan16,595
48.1%McKinley15,922
1.8%
D+2.0
R+4.1
D+8.1
33,121
D
50.1%Cleveland14,130
44.0%Harrison12,393
5.9%
D+6.2
—
D+4.5
28,176
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
45.7%96,647
51.7%109,409
211,688
2020
R
46.8%98,519
51.6%108,580
210,445
2018
R
48.3%79,933
49.7%82,257
165,491
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI
Year
Total registered
2016
295,773
2018
292,888
2020
311,343
2022
314,116
2024
319,877
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+300 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −17,620 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,856
2012
−1,929
2013
−2,481
2014
−3,282
2015
−2,932
2016
−2,232
2017
−1,204
2018
−1,726
2019
−1,046
2021
+243
2022
+89
2023
+246
2024
+190
2025
+300
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI sits in the Great Lakes. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.3 points.
A population of 375,430, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,746 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Erie-Meadville, PA and Wausau-Stevens Point-Wisconsin Rapids, WI.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/474/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Republican by 9.3 points (R+9.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 215,485 votes cast, 96,208 went Democratic and 116,275 went Republican.
When did Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan has a population of 375,430 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Median household income in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan is $64,746 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Saginaw-Midland-Bay City, MI, Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.
