Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Saginaw, MI
presidential margin
2008D+17.32012D+11.92016R+1.12020D+0.32024R+3.3
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+3.3
2024
median income$60,622U.S. $80,734 · MI $72,875
median age41.2U.S. 39.1 · MI 40.3
poverty rate18.2%U.S. 12.5% · MI 13.2%
bachelor’s+ (25+)24.4%U.S. 35.6% · MI 32.6%
non-english4.6%U.S. 22.3% · MI 10.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German24.9%
Irish9.6%
English8.6%
African American†17.2%
African0.7%
Mexican7.7%
Puerto Rican0.5%
Asian Indian0.4%
Chinese0.2%
Vietnamese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Black Protestant7.5%
Mainline4.7%
Muslim0.8%
Other Christian0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Saginaw, MI, Michigan

Akashic
Saginaw, MITrumpR+3.3
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Saginaw, MI, MIA map of the single county of Saginaw, MI, MI, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Saginaw County, MI · R+3.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican51.0%52,912
Kamala HarrisDemocratic47.7%49,515
Jill SteinGreen1.4%1,419
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Saginaw, MI, MI — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Saginaw County, MIRepublicanR+3.3
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
47.7%Harris49,515
51.0%Trump52,912
1.4%Stein1,419
−3.3%
103,846
D
49.4%Biden51,088
49.1%Trump50,785
1.4%Jorgensen1,476
+0.3%
103,349
R
46.8%Clinton44,396
48.0%Trump45,469
5.2%Johnson4,915
−1.1%
94,780
D
55.3%Obama54,381
43.5%Romney42,720
1.2%Stein1,191
+11.9%
98,292
D
57.9%Obama60,276
40.6%McCain42,225
1.5%Nader1,589
+17.3%
104,090
D
53.4%Kerry54,887
45.9%Bush47,165
0.8%Nader800
+7.5%
102,852
D
54.2%Gore50,825
43.9%Bush41,152
1.9%Nader1,779
+10.3%
93,756
D
54.2%Clinton47,579
36.0%Dole31,577
9.8%Perot8,638
+18.2%
87,794
D
45.2%Clinton43,819
33.1%Bush32,103
21.7%Perot20,983
+12.1%
96,905
D
51.5%Dukakis45,616
47.9%Bush42,401
0.6%Paul549
+3.6%
88,566
R
42.5%Mondale38,420
57.0%Reagan51,495
0.6%Bergland501
−14.5%
90,416
R
44.4%Carter41,650
48.2%Reagan45,233
7.4%Anderson6,916
−3.8%
93,799
R
43.2%Carter36,280
55.6%Ford46,765
1.2%McCarthy1,026
−12.5%
84,071
R
37.5%McGovern29,424
61.0%Nixon47,920
1.5%Schmitz1,177
−23.6%
78,521
R
41.7%Humphrey32,266
49.2%Nixon38,070
9.2%Wallace7,087
−7.5%
77,423
D
61.6%Johnson45,309
38.3%Goldwater28,146
0.2%Hass127
+23.3%
73,582
R
44.0%Kennedy32,715
55.7%Nixon41,351
0.3%Byrd206
−11.6%
74,272
R
37.0%Stevenson25,681
62.7%Eisenhower43,470
0.3%Andrews210
−25.6%
69,361
R
34.9%Stevenson20,983
64.2%Eisenhower38,604
0.9%Hallinan513
−29.3%
60,100
R
41.7%Truman16,995
56.3%Dewey22,923
2.0%Thurmond815
−14.6%
40,733
R
42.1%Roosevelt20,383
56.4%Dewey27,289
1.5%Thomas730
−14.3%
48,402
R
45.2%Roosevelt22,490
54.4%Willkie27,042
0.4%Thomas221
−9.1%
49,753
D
54.6%Roosevelt22,592
37.5%Landon15,527
7.9%Lemke3,291
+17.1%
41,410
D
54.7%Roosevelt22,643
43.0%Hoover17,794
2.4%Thomas977
+11.7%
41,414
R
33.7%Smith11,555
65.6%Hoover22,467
0.6%Thomas220
−31.9%
34,242
R
15.8%Davis3,600
76.5%Coolidge17,435
7.7%La Follette1,745
−60.7%
22,780
R
23.0%Cox4,566
75.1%Harding14,938
1.9%Debs375
−52.2%
19,879
R
45.7%Wilson8,434
51.7%Hughes9,544
2.6%Benson483
−6.0%
18,461
O
32.5%Wilson5,845
27.9%Taft5,032
39.6%Roosevelt7,130
Roosevelt +7.1
18,007
R
40.4%Bryan7,019
54.4%Taft9,447
5.2%Debs898
−14.0%
17,364
R
31.9%Parker5,330
60.7%Roosevelt10,146
7.5%Debs1,251
−28.8%
16,727
R
45.4%Bryan7,610
50.2%McKinley8,413
4.4%Woolley746
−4.8%
16,769
D
50.4%Bryan8,792
47.9%McKinley8,361
1.7%Palmer294
+2.5%
17,447
D
50.1%Cleveland7,601
44.4%Harrison6,737
5.6%Weaver844
+5.7%
15,182
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −3.3% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−3.3%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+5.7%
1896+2.5%
1900−4.8%
1904−28.8%
1908−14.0%
1912+4.5%
1916−6.0%
1920−52.2%
1924−60.7%
1928−31.9%
1932+11.7%
1936+17.1%
1940−9.1%
1944−14.3%
1948−14.6%
1952−29.3%
1956−25.6%
1960−11.6%
1964+23.3%
1968−7.5%
1972−23.6%
1976−12.5%
1980−3.8%
1984−14.5%
1988+3.6%
1992+12.1%
1996+18.2%
2000+10.3%
2004+7.5%
2008+17.3%
2012+11.9%
2016−1.1%
2020+0.3%
2024−3.3%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Saginaw, MITotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 160,169 in 2024.40K80.1K120.1K160.2K160.2K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Saginaw, MI
YearTotal registered
2016150,018
2018148,679
2020156,776
2022157,436
2024160,169
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Saginaw's metro has shed population steadily since its auto-industry peak, leaving an electorate that is majority-minority in the city proper while surrounding townships tilt sharply in the opposite direction — a split that routinely tightens county-level margins.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.3 points.

A population of 188,665, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,622 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flint, MI and Toledo, OH.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Flint, MI
92.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Toledo, OH
91.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI
83.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Saginaw, MI, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/40980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Places within Saginaw, MI

counties1
Saginaw County

Frequently asked questions

How did Saginaw, MI, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Saginaw, MI, Michigan voted Republican by 3.3 points (R+3.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 103,846 votes cast, 49,515 went Democratic and 52,912 went Republican.
When did Saginaw, MI, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Saginaw, MI, Michigan voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Saginaw, MI, Michigan?
Saginaw, MI, Michigan has a population of 188,665 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saginaw, MI, Michigan?
Median household income in Saginaw, MI, Michigan is $60,622 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Saginaw, MI, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Saginaw, MI, Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.