HarrisDemocratic25.5%3,867TrumpRepublican73.6%11,177OliverLibertarian0.6%87
R+48.1- Lead
- 7,310
- Total
- 15,183
- vs nation
- R+46.7
Akashicmetro area
Safford, AZ
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic26.8%4,034TrumpRepublican71.5%10,749OtherAll other candidates1.6%246
R+44.7- Lead
- 6,715
- Total
- 15,029
- vs nation
- R+49.1
ClintonDemocratic26.9%3,301TrumpRepublican65.3%8,025OtherAll other candidates7.8%955
R+38.5- Lead
- 4,724
- Total
- 12,281
- vs nation
- R+40.6
ObamaDemocratic30.3%3,609RomneyRepublican67.8%8,076OtherAll other candidates1.8%220
R+37.5- Lead
- 4,467
- Total
- 11,905
- vs nation
- R+41.4
ObamaDemocratic29.0%3,487McCainRepublican69.8%8,376OtherAll other candidates1.2%144
R+40.7- Lead
- 4,889
- Total
- 12,007
- vs nation
- R+48.0
KerryDemocratic29.7%3,185BushRepublican69.7%7,467OtherAll other candidates0.6%68
R+39.9- Lead
- 4,282
- Total
- 10,720
- vs nation
- R+37.5
GoreDemocratic34.7%3,355BushRepublican62.2%6,007OtherAll other candidates3.1%302
R+27.4- Lead
- 2,652
- Total
- 9,664
- vs nation
- R+28.0
ClintonDemocratic42.4%3,938DoleRepublican45.4%4,222OtherAll other candidates12.2%1,136
R+3.1- Lead
- 284
- Total
- 9,296
- vs nation
- R+11.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,2322024 5-year
- Population density
- 8.5 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,622 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,3252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 30.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+65.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hermiston-Pendleton, OR · twin score 83.1
presidential history
Party record book
Safford, AZ · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
80.9%
3,541 votes · D+65.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 79.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73.6%
11,177 votes · R+48.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
4,034votes
26.8% of the vote · R+44.7
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 3,938 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,177votes
73.6% of the vote · R+48.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,749 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+45.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+48.7 · U.S. D+3.1
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +43.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+49.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +48.0 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+31.5
Presidential vote · 2024R+48.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Republican than the rolls.
20,375 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−228 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −192 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −301 |
| 2012 | −394 |
| 2013 | +97 |
| 2014 | +243 |
| 2015 | −625 |
| 2016 | −372 |
| 2017 | −643 |
| 2018 | +302 |
| 2019 | +607 |
| 2021 | +194 |
| 2022 | −178 |
| 2023 | +602 |
| 2024 | +504 |
| 2025 | −228 |
Safford, AZ sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.1 points.
A population of 39,232, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,325 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hermiston-Pendleton, OR and Burley, ID.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Hermiston-Pendleton, OR
83.1twin score
2000–2004 trajectory% Latinocollege share≠ elasticity
Burley, ID
82.3twin score
2008 margin% Latino% Evangelical≠ 2000 margin
Big Spring, TX
80.8twin score
2004–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ % Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Safford, AZ, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/40940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Places within Safford, AZ
counties1
Frequently asked questions
How did Safford, AZ, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Safford, AZ, Arizona voted Republican by 48.1 points (R+48.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,183 votes cast, 3,867 went Democratic and 11,177 went Republican.
When did Safford, AZ, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Safford, AZ, Arizona voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Safford, AZ, Arizona?
Safford, AZ, Arizona has a population of 39,232 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Safford, AZ, Arizona?
Median household income in Safford, AZ, Arizona is $67,325 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Safford, AZ, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Safford, AZ, Arizona from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.