Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Toledo, OH
presidential margin
2008D+23.42012D+22.52016D+7.72020D+6.72024D+2.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+2.7
2024
median income$65,600U.S. $80,734 · OH $71,389
median age38.2U.S. 39.1 · OH 39.8
poverty rate15.9%U.S. 12.5% · OH 13.3%
bachelor’s+ (25+)30.3%U.S. 35.6% · OH 31.6%
non-english5.9%U.S. 22.3% · OH 8.0%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German25.9%
Irish11.3%
English9.4%
African American†12.3%
African1.0%
Jamaican0.2%
Mexican5.8%
Puerto Rican0.7%
Asian Indian0.5%
Chinese0.4%
Filipino0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline8.2%
Black Protestant3.2%
Muslim1.4%
Other Christian0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Toledo, OH, Ohio

Akashic
Toledo, OHHarrisD+2.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Toledo, OH, OHA map of the constituent counties of Toledo, OH, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Fulton County, OH · R+42.4Lucas County, OH · D+12.6Wood County, OH · R+10.2
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic50.8%142,710
Donald TrumpRepublican48.2%135,168
Chase OliverLibertarian1.0%2,771
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Toledo, OH, OH — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Fulton County, OHRepublicanR+42.4
Lucas County, OHDemocraticD+12.6
Wood County, OHRepublicanR+10.2
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
50.8%Harris142,710
48.2%Trump135,168
1.0%Oliver2,771
+2.7%
280,649
D
52.5%Biden152,692
45.8%Trump133,251
1.7%Jorgensen5,047
+6.7%
290,990
D
50.1%Clinton144,220
42.3%Trump121,905
7.6%Stein22,001
+7.7%
288,126
D
60.0%Obama178,491
37.4%Romney111,382
2.6%Johnson7,733
+22.5%
297,606
D
60.8%Obama187,037
37.4%McCain115,043
1.8%Nader5,554
+23.4%
307,634
D
55.7%Kerry170,340
44.0%Bush134,392
0.3%Other998
+11.8%
305,730
D
53.3%Gore137,836
43.5%Bush112,392
3.2%Designated8,212
+9.8%
258,440
D
54.1%Clinton134,756
35.1%Dole87,341
10.8%Perot26,900
+19.0%
248,997
D
45.9%Clinton126,319
33.5%Bush92,234
20.5%Perot56,473
+12.4%
275,026
D
50.3%Dukakis123,410
48.9%Bush120,031
0.8%Fulani2,015
+1.4%
245,456
R
44.9%Mondale117,417
54.1%Reagan141,447
0.9%Serrette2,374
−9.2%
261,238
R
41.7%Carter103,452
48.1%Reagan119,487
10.2%Anderson25,279
−6.5%
248,218
D
53.6%Carter125,434
44.1%Ford103,291
2.2%McCarthy5,262
+9.5%
233,987
R
46.5%McGovern107,251
51.1%Nixon117,868
2.4%Schmitz5,449
−4.6%
230,568
D
47.9%Humphrey105,551
42.4%Nixon93,331
9.7%Wallace21,282
+5.6%
220,164
D
66.4%Johnson150,018
33.6%Goldwater75,897
0.0%
+32.8%
225,915
R
48.6%Kennedy116,680
51.4%Nixon123,326
0.0%
−2.8%
240,006
R
44.1%Stevenson99,773
55.9%Eisenhower126,375
0.0%
−11.8%
226,148
R
45.3%Stevenson102,776
54.7%Eisenhower123,950
0.0%
−9.3%
226,726
R
49.4%Truman86,461
49.4%Dewey86,518
1.2%Thurmond2,145
−0.0%
175,124
R
45.9%Roosevelt86,281
54.1%Dewey101,521
0.0%
−8.1%
187,802
R
46.9%Roosevelt90,189
53.1%Willkie102,056
0.0%
−6.2%
192,245
D
53.0%Roosevelt88,992
37.9%Landon63,721
9.1%Lemke15,268
+15.0%
167,981
D
54.4%Roosevelt80,907
42.3%Hoover62,849
3.3%Thomas4,966
+12.1%
148,722
R
33.7%Smith51,377
65.8%Hoover100,260
0.5%Thomas823
−32.1%
152,460
R
13.8%Davis16,572
57.6%Coolidge69,286
28.7%La Follette34,487
−43.8%
120,345
R
32.8%Cox37,466
61.8%Harding70,602
5.5%Debs6,244
−29.0%
114,312
D
58.1%Wilson39,082
36.7%Hughes24,678
5.2%Benson3,511
+21.4%
67,271
O
38.1%Wilson20,160
16.2%Taft8,571
45.7%Roosevelt24,168
Roosevelt +7.6
52,899
R
42.5%Bryan23,964
50.0%Taft28,227
7.5%Debs4,231
−7.6%
56,422
R
26.3%Parker13,337
66.2%Roosevelt33,542
7.5%Debs3,786
−39.9%
50,665
R
44.6%Bryan23,404
52.9%McKinley27,738
2.5%Woolley1,295
−8.3%
52,437
R
45.1%Bryan22,876
53.8%McKinley27,275
1.1%Palmer533
−8.7%
50,684
R
44.1%Cleveland16,527
51.6%Harrison19,333
4.2%Weaver1,588
−7.5%
37,448
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +2.7% in 2024.flipped D · 1988+2.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−7.5%
1896−8.7%
1900−8.3%
1904−39.9%
1908−7.6%
1912+21.9%
1916+21.4%
1920−29.0%
1924−43.8%
1928−32.1%
1932+12.1%
1936+15.0%
1940−6.2%
1944−8.1%
1948−0.0%
1952−9.3%
1956−11.8%
1960−2.8%
1964+32.8%
1968+5.6%
1972−4.6%
1976+9.5%
1980−6.5%
1984−9.2%
1988+1.4%
1992+12.4%
1996+19.0%
2000+9.8%
2004+11.8%
2008+23.4%
2012+22.5%
2016+7.7%
2020+6.7%
2024+2.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Toledo, OHTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 371,893 in 2024.107.9K215.9K323.8K431.7K371.9K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Toledo, OH
YearTotal registered
2016423,729
2018431,715
2020422,439
2022417,826
2024371,893
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Toledo's Lucas County anchors a metro that has swung between parties in presidential cycles, with manufacturing employment and a substantial Latino community in the city core acting as persistent variables in turnout models.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.7 points.

A population of 602,322, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,600 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Saginaw, MI and Flint, MI.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Saginaw, MI
91.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Flint, MI
90.0twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
89.5twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ population scale

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Toledo, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/45780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Toledo, OH

counties3
Fulton CountyLucas CountyWood County

Frequently asked questions

How did Toledo, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Toledo, OH, Ohio voted Democratic by 2.7 points (D+2.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 280,649 votes cast, 142,710 went Democratic and 135,168 went Republican.
When did Toledo, OH, Ohio last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Toledo, OH, Ohio voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Toledo, OH, Ohio?
Toledo, OH, Ohio has a population of 602,322 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Toledo, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Toledo, OH, Ohio is $65,600 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Toledo, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Toledo, OH, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.