Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Bay City, MI
presidential margin
2008D+15.32012D+5.52016R+12.62020R+11.62024R+14.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+14.7
2024
median income$61,763U.S. $80,734 · MI $72,875
median age43.9U.S. 39.1 · MI 40.3
poverty rate13.2%U.S. 12.5% · MI 13.2%
bachelor’s+ (25+)22.1%U.S. 35.6% · MI 32.6%
non-english2.3%U.S. 22.3% · MI 10.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German27.7%
Polish15.6%
Irish9.7%
Mexican4.8%
Puerto Rican0.2%
African American†0.9%
West Indian0.1%
religion
other traditions
Mainline3.4%
Latter-day Saints0.5%
Black Protestant0.5%
Other Christian0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Bay City, MI, Michigan

Akashic
Bay City, MITrumpR+14.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Bay City, MI, MIA map of the single county of Bay City, MI, MI, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Bay County, MI · R+14.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican56.7%34,792
Kamala HarrisDemocratic42.0%25,767
Jill SteinGreen1.3%779
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Bay City, MI, MI — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Bay County, MIRepublicanR+14.7
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
42.0%Harris25,767
56.7%Trump34,792
1.3%Stein779
−14.7%
61,338
R
43.4%Biden26,151
55.0%Trump33,125
1.6%Jorgensen979
−11.6%
60,255
R
40.6%Clinton21,642
53.2%Trump28,328
6.2%Johnson3,304
−12.6%
53,274
D
52.0%Obama27,877
46.5%Romney24,911
1.5%Stein798
+5.5%
53,586
D
56.7%Obama32,589
41.4%McCain23,795
1.8%Nader1,044
+15.3%
57,428
D
54.4%Kerry31,049
44.6%Bush25,448
1.0%Nader562
+9.8%
57,059
D
54.7%Gore28,251
42.9%Bush22,150
2.4%Nader1,235
+11.8%
51,636
D
56.1%Clinton27,835
32.3%Dole16,038
11.6%Perot5,730
+23.8%
49,603
D
48.7%Clinton26,492
30.1%Bush16,383
21.1%Perot11,480
+18.6%
54,355
D
57.4%Dukakis28,225
42.1%Bush20,710
0.4%Paul217
+15.3%
49,152
R
46.1%Mondale22,597
53.4%Reagan26,198
0.5%Bergland235
−7.3%
49,030
R
44.9%Carter24,517
46.4%Reagan25,331
8.7%Anderson4,744
−1.5%
54,592
D
52.2%Carter25,958
46.6%Ford23,174
1.1%McCarthy557
+5.6%
49,689
R
47.1%McGovern21,712
50.1%Nixon23,094
2.8%Schmitz1,312
−3.0%
46,118
D
50.3%Humphrey21,410
44.1%Nixon18,779
5.6%Wallace2,378
+6.2%
42,567
D
71.3%Johnson29,754
28.5%Goldwater11,896
0.1%Hass56
+42.8%
41,706
D
52.3%Kennedy22,998
47.5%Nixon20,909
0.2%Byrd104
+4.7%
44,011
R
39.3%Stevenson15,301
60.4%Eisenhower23,519
0.3%Andrews128
−21.1%
38,948
R
41.0%Stevenson14,113
58.4%Eisenhower20,087
0.6%Hallinan196
−17.4%
34,396
D
51.3%Truman14,349
47.6%Dewey13,321
1.2%Thurmond327
+3.7%
27,997
D
50.0%Roosevelt15,602
49.5%Dewey15,459
0.5%Thomas143
+0.5%
31,204
D
50.4%Roosevelt14,902
49.4%Willkie14,618
0.2%Thomas67
+1.0%
29,587
D
55.4%Roosevelt13,789
35.1%Landon8,729
9.5%Lemke2,367
+20.3%
24,885
D
58.6%Roosevelt14,708
39.1%Hoover9,816
2.3%Thomas568
+19.5%
25,092
R
42.9%Smith9,395
56.9%Hoover12,467
0.3%Thomas55
−14.0%
21,917
R
25.6%Davis5,881
64.8%Coolidge14,861
9.6%La Follette2,209
−39.1%
22,951
R
32.7%Cox7,011
64.9%Harding13,933
2.4%Debs516
−32.3%
21,460
R
45.7%Wilson5,996
51.1%Hughes6,708
3.2%Benson426
−5.4%
13,130
O
26.7%Wilson2,990
23.4%Taft2,625
49.9%Roosevelt5,590
Roosevelt +23.2
11,205
R
36.4%Bryan4,223
58.2%Taft6,760
5.4%Debs628
−21.8%
11,611
R
28.2%Parker3,142
68.3%Roosevelt7,609
3.6%Debs397
−40.1%
11,148
R
42.9%Bryan5,081
54.6%McKinley6,462
2.5%Woolley293
−11.7%
11,836
D
50.2%Bryan6,296
48.1%McKinley6,037
1.8%Palmer220
+2.1%
12,553
D
53.5%Cleveland5,714
43.0%Harrison4,587
3.5%Weaver377
+10.6%
10,678
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −14.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−14.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+10.6%
1896+2.1%
1900−11.7%
1904−40.1%
1908−21.8%
1912+3.3%
1916−5.4%
1920−32.3%
1924−39.1%
1928−14.0%
1932+19.5%
1936+20.3%
1940+1.0%
1944+0.5%
1948+3.7%
1952−17.4%
1956−21.1%
1960+4.7%
1964+42.8%
1968+6.2%
1972−3.0%
1976+5.6%
1980−1.5%
1984−7.3%
1988+15.3%
1992+18.6%
1996+23.8%
2000+11.8%
2004+9.8%
2008+15.3%
2012+5.5%
2016−12.6%
2020−11.6%
2024−14.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Bay City, MITotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 87,842 in 2024.22K43.9K65.9K87.8K87.8K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Bay City, MI
YearTotal registered
201680,236
201879,416
202084,901
202286,010
202487,842
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Bay City anchors a mid-Michigan metro where decades of manufacturing decline reshaped the electorate; the 2024 presidential margin of R+32.3 reflects a broader working-class realignment that has accelerated across the Saginaw Bay region since 2016.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.7 points.

A population of 103,008, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,763 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Monroe, MI and Alpena, MI.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Monroe, MI
85.3twin score
2000–2012 trajectoryPolish ancestry% White≠ median income
Alpena, MI
81.6twin score
Polish ancestry12-yr trendFrench ancestry≠ population scale
Stevens Point-Plover, WI
77.2twin score
2000–2008 trajectoryPolish ancestry≠ college share

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bay City, MI, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/13020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Bay City, MI

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Bay County

Frequently asked questions

How did Bay City, MI, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Republican by 14.7 points (R+14.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 61,338 votes cast, 25,767 went Democratic and 34,792 went Republican.
When did Bay City, MI, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bay City, MI, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Bay City, MI, Michigan has a population of 103,008 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Median household income in Bay City, MI, Michigan is $61,763 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Bay City, MI, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bay City, MI, Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.