Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Bay City, TX
presidential margin
2008R+27.42012R+33.52016R+39.92020R+44.52024R+50.5
full record · 1912 → 2024
R+50.5
2024
median income$58,628U.S. $80,734 · TX $78,476
median age37.8U.S. 39.1 · TX 35.7
poverty rate20.7%U.S. 12.5% · TX 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)22.2%U.S. 35.6% · TX 33.6%
non-english27.2%U.S. 22.3% · TX 35.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican38.9%
Spaniard0.9%
Spanish0.7%
German11.5%
English8.3%
Irish6.6%
African American†9.2%
South African0.3%
Vietnamese0.9%
Asian Indian0.6%
Filipino0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline4.6%
Black Protestant1.8%
Other Christian1.2%
Latter-day Saints0.9%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Bay City, TX, Texas

Akashic
Bay City, TXTrumpR+50.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Bay City, TX, TXA map of the single county of Bay City, TX, TX, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Matagorda County, TX · R+50.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican74.8%9,957
Kamala HarrisDemocratic24.3%3,231
Jill SteinGreen0.9%124
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Bay City, TX, TX — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Matagorda County, TXRepublicanR+50.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
24.3%Harris3,231
74.8%Trump9,957
0.9%Stein124
−50.5%
13,312
R
27.2%Biden3,733
71.7%Trump9,845
1.1%Jorgensen149
−44.5%
13,727
R
28.7%Clinton3,500
68.6%Trump8,366
2.7%Johnson330
−39.9%
12,196
R
32.8%Obama3,980
66.3%Romney8,040
0.9%Johnson113
−33.5%
12,133
R
35.9%Obama4,440
63.3%McCain7,835
0.8%Barr98
−27.4%
12,373
R
34.8%Kerry4,355
64.8%Bush8,119
0.4%Badnarik47
−30.1%
12,521
R
37.7%Gore4,696
60.9%Bush7,584
1.4%Nader179
−23.2%
12,459
R
43.0%Clinton5,374
47.0%Dole5,876
10.0%Perot1,244
−4.0%
12,494
R
36.1%Clinton4,759
40.5%Bush5,328
23.4%Perot3,078
−4.3%
13,165
R
45.2%Dukakis5,675
54.0%Bush6,787
0.8%Paul104
−8.8%
12,566
R
38.0%Mondale5,201
61.7%Reagan8,452
0.3%Larouche41
−23.7%
13,694
R
44.2%Carter4,585
53.4%Reagan5,545
2.4%Anderson252
−9.2%
10,382
D
56.9%Carter4,971
42.1%Ford3,679
0.9%McCarthy81
+14.8%
8,731
R
33.0%McGovern2,473
66.8%Nixon5,003
0.3%Schmitz19
−33.8%
7,495
D
42.5%Humphrey3,595
36.5%Nixon3,094
21.0%Wallace1,777
+5.9%
8,466
D
63.2%Johnson4,143
36.7%Goldwater2,407
0.1%Hass5
+26.5%
6,555
R
49.5%Kennedy2,971
49.6%Nixon2,975
0.9%Byrd52
−0.1%
5,998
R
32.2%Stevenson1,904
66.5%Eisenhower3,927
1.3%Andrews78
−34.2%
5,909
R
33.8%Stevenson2,101
66.2%Eisenhower4,122
0.0%Hallinan1
−32.5%
6,224
D
49.3%Truman1,628
30.8%Dewey1,016
19.9%Thurmond655
+18.6%
3,299
D
60.4%Roosevelt1,854
13.4%Dewey412
26.1%Thomas801
+47.0%
3,067
D
76.6%Roosevelt2,156
23.1%Willkie651
0.2%Thomas6
+53.5%
2,813
D
78.6%Roosevelt1,700
21.2%Landon459
0.2%Lemke5
+57.3%
2,164
D
82.9%Roosevelt2,039
16.6%Hoover408
0.6%Thomas14
+66.3%
2,461
R
40.9%Smith829
58.8%Hoover1,194
0.3%Thomas6
−18.0%
2,029
D
57.0%Davis1,353
37.6%Coolidge893
5.4%La Follette128
+19.4%
2,374
D
47.4%Cox992
43.9%Harding918
8.7%Debs181
+3.5%
2,091
D
68.6%Wilson748
23.1%Hughes252
8.3%Benson91
+45.5%
1,091
D
63.9%Wilson710
9.6%Taft107
26.5%Roosevelt294
+54.3%
1,111
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1912 to 2024. Most recent: −50.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−50.5%DR19122024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1912+54.3%
1916+45.5%
1920+3.5%
1924+19.4%
1928−18.0%
1932+66.3%
1936+57.3%
1940+53.5%
1944+47.0%
1948+18.6%
1952−32.5%
1956−34.2%
1960−0.1%
1964+26.5%
1968+5.9%
1972−33.8%
1976+14.8%
1980−9.2%
1984−23.7%
1988−8.8%
1992−4.3%
1996−4.0%
2000−23.2%
2004−30.1%
2008−27.4%
2012−33.5%
2016−39.9%
2020−44.5%
2024−50.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Bay City, TXTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 22,394 in 2024.5.6K11.2K16.8K22.4K22.4K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Bay City, TX
YearTotal registered
201621,536
201821,662
202022,026
202221,681
202422,394
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Bay City, TX sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.5 points.

A population of 36,329, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,628 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Big Spring, TX and Hereford, TX.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Big Spring, TX
90.5twin score
% Latino% White2020–2024 trajectory
Hereford, TX
90.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
El Campo, TX
89.8twin score
% Latino2020–2024 trajectory% White≠ % Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bay City, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/13060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Bay City, TX

counties1
Matagorda County

Frequently asked questions

How did Bay City, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bay City, TX, Texas voted Republican by 50.5 points (R+50.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,312 votes cast, 3,231 went Democratic and 9,957 went Republican.
When did Bay City, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bay City, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Bay City, TX, Texas?
Bay City, TX, Texas has a population of 36,329 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay City, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Bay City, TX, Texas is $58,628 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Bay City, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bay City, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.