HarrisDemocratic24.3%3,231TrumpRepublican74.8%9,957OliverLibertarian0.5%67
R+50.5- Lead
- 6,726
- Total
- 13,312
- vs nation
- R+49.1
Akashicmetro area
Bay City, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic27.2%3,733TrumpRepublican71.7%9,845OtherAll other candidates1.1%149
R+44.5- Lead
- 6,112
- Total
- 13,727
- vs nation
- R+49.0
ClintonDemocratic28.7%3,500TrumpRepublican68.6%8,366OtherAll other candidates2.7%330
R+39.9- Lead
- 4,866
- Total
- 12,196
- vs nation
- R+42.0
ObamaDemocratic32.8%3,980RomneyRepublican66.3%8,040OtherAll other candidates0.9%113
R+33.5- Lead
- 4,060
- Total
- 12,133
- vs nation
- R+37.3
ObamaDemocratic35.9%4,440McCainRepublican63.3%7,835OtherAll other candidates0.8%98
R+27.4- Lead
- 3,395
- Total
- 12,373
- vs nation
- R+34.7
KerryDemocratic34.8%4,355BushRepublican64.8%8,119OtherAll other candidates0.4%47
R+30.1- Lead
- 3,764
- Total
- 12,521
- vs nation
- R+27.6
GoreDemocratic37.7%4,696BushRepublican60.9%7,584OtherAll other candidates1.4%179
R+23.2- Lead
- 2,888
- Total
- 12,459
- vs nation
- R+23.7
ClintonDemocratic43.0%5,374DoleRepublican47.0%5,876OtherAll other candidates10.0%1,244
R+4.0- Lead
- 502
- Total
- 12,494
- vs nation
- R+12.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,3292024 5-year
- Population density
- 33 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,093 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,6282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 43.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Big Spring, TX · twin score 90.5
presidential history
Party record book
Bay City, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
82.9%
2,039 votes · D+66.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 78.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.8%
9,957 votes · R+50.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
5,675votes
45.2% of the vote · R+8.8
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 5,374 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,957votes
74.8% of the vote · R+50.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,845 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+48.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+66.3 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +44.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+49.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.5 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +49.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,536 |
| 2018 | 21,662 |
| 2020 | 22,026 |
| 2022 | 21,681 |
| 2024 | 22,394 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+65 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,351 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −226 |
| 2012 | −341 |
| 2013 | −135 |
| 2014 | −192 |
| 2015 | +110 |
| 2016 | +152 |
| 2017 | −457 |
| 2018 | −410 |
| 2019 | −79 |
| 2021 | −10 |
| 2022 | −449 |
| 2023 | −34 |
| 2024 | −345 |
| 2025 | +65 |
Bay City, TX sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.5 points.
A population of 36,329, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,628 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Big Spring, TX and Hereford, TX.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Big Spring, TX
90.5twin score
% Latino% White2020–2024 trajectory
Hereford, TX
90.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
El Campo, TX
89.8twin score
% Latino2020–2024 trajectory% White≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bay City, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/13060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Bay City, TX
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Frequently asked questions
How did Bay City, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bay City, TX, Texas voted Republican by 50.5 points (R+50.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,312 votes cast, 3,231 went Democratic and 9,957 went Republican.
When did Bay City, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bay City, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Bay City, TX, Texas?
Bay City, TX, Texas has a population of 36,329 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay City, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Bay City, TX, Texas is $58,628 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Bay City, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bay City, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.