- Lead
- 2,214
- Total
- 4,286
- vs nation
- R+50.2
Hereford, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 2,030
- Total
- 4,610
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Lead
- 1,726
- Total
- 4,216
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Lead
- 1,803
- Total
- 4,309
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Lead
- 2,219
- Total
- 4,744
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Lead
- 3,006
- Total
- 5,291
- vs nation
- R+54.4
- Lead
- 2,447
- Total
- 4,984
- vs nation
- R+49.6
- Lead
- 1,396
- Total
- 5,048
- vs nation
- R+36.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,4602024 5-year
- Population density
- 12 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,497 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,7992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 21.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 76.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.8 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Othello, WA · twin score 95.6
presidential history
Party record book
Hereford, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
89.1%
1,236 votes · D+78.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 86.8%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
78.2%
4,139 votes · R+56.8
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 75.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
2,613votes
48.1% of the vote · R+3.0
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · 2,131 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
4,762votes
75.8% of the vote · R+52.2
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 4,139 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+64.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.1 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +58.6 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+54.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.8 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +54.0 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 8,862 |
| 2020 | 8,900 |
| 2022 | 8,764 |
| 2024 | 8,756 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−91 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,766 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −226 |
| 2012 | −382 |
| 2013 | −434 |
| 2014 | −235 |
| 2015 | −512 |
| 2016 | −193 |
| 2017 | −241 |
| 2018 | −259 |
| 2019 | −325 |
| 2021 | −276 |
| 2022 | −129 |
| 2023 | −230 |
| 2024 | −233 |
| 2025 | −91 |
Hereford anchors Deaf Smith County, a heavily agricultural area where the cattle-feeding industry shapes both the local labor market and a demographic mix that is majority Hispanic by population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 56.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.7 points.
A population of 18,460, a 21% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,799 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Othello, WA and Dumas, TX.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hereford, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/25820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.