HarrisDemocratic74.6%13,402TrumpRepublican24.0%4,319OtherAll other candidates1.4%249
D+50.5- Lead
- 9,083
- Total
- 17,970
- vs nation
- D+52.0
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Saginaw, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic76.4%14,210TrumpRepublican22.3%4,150OtherAll other candidates1.3%233
D+54.1- Lead
- 10,060
- Total
- 18,593
- vs nation
- D+49.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic75.7%13,527TrumpRepublican20.7%3,704OtherAll other candidates3.6%639
D+55.0- Lead
- 9,823
- Total
- 17,870
- vs nation
- D+52.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic84.8%14,439RomneyRepublican14.0%2,387OtherAll other candidates1.2%206
D+70.8- Lead
- 12,052
- Total
- 17,032
- vs nation
- D+66.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic79.5%18,580McCainRepublican18.9%4,418OtherAll other candidates1.6%380
D+60.6- Lead
- 14,162
- Total
- 23,378
- vs nation
- D+53.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic76.2%16,911BushRepublican22.1%4,912OtherAll other candidates1.6%365
D+54.1- Lead
- 11,999
- Total
- 22,188
- vs nation
- D+56.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+50.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,5362024 5-year
- Median household income
- $38,5792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 34.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 45.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70.8 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Flint, MI · twin score 97.4
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +54.1% |
| 2008 | +60.6% |
| 2012 | +70.8% |
| 2016 | +55.0% |
| 2020 | +54.1% |
| 2024 | +50.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 74.6%Harris13,402 | 24.0%Trump4,319 | 1.4% | D+50.5 | R+3.6 | D+52.0 | 17,970 | |
| D | 76.4%Biden14,210 | 22.3%Trump4,150 | 1.3% | D+54.1 | R+0.9 | D+49.7 | 18,593 | |
| D | 75.7%Clinton13,527 | 20.7%Trump3,704 | 3.6% | D+55.0 | R+15.8 | D+52.9 | 17,870 | |
| D | 84.8%Obama14,439 | 14.0%Romney2,387 | 1.2% | D+70.8 | D+10.2 | D+66.9 | 17,032 | |
| D | 79.5%Obama18,580 | 18.9%McCain4,418 | 1.6% | D+60.6 | — | D+53.3 | 23,378 | |
| D | 76.2%Kerry16,911 | 22.1%Bush4,912 | 1.6% | D+54.1 | — | D+56.5 | 22,188 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 78.7%13,279 | 21.3%3,586 | 16,865 |
| 2020 | D | 79.5%13,953 | 20.5%3,597 | 17,550 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 78.2%14,105 | 21.8%3,942 | 18,047 |
Saginaw's population has fallen sharply from its mid-century manufacturing peak, leaving a majority-Black city with persistently lower turnout rates that can swing Saginaw County results by several percentage points in close statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.8 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.5 points.
A population of 43,536, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $38,579 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flint and Gary.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Flint
Michigan
97.4twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Gary
Indiana
96.5twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ 2008 margin
Petersburg
Virginia
94.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ African American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Saginaw, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2670520/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Michigan at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Saginaw, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Saginaw, Michigan voted Democratic by 50.5 points (D+50.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 17,970 votes cast, 13,402 went Democratic and 4,319 went Republican.
How many people live in Saginaw, Michigan?
Saginaw, Michigan has a population of 43,536 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saginaw, Michigan?
Median household income in Saginaw, Michigan is $38,579 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Saginaw, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Saginaw, Michigan from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.