- Lead
- 13,897
- Total
- 54,574
- vs nation
- R+24.0
Michigan 30th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,221
- Total
- 52,567
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Lead
- 9,122
- Total
- 45,950
- vs nation
- R+21.9
- Lead
- 1,483
- Total
- 45,218
- vs nation
- R+0.6
- Lead
- 3,186
- Total
- 47,225
- vs nation
- R+0.5
- Lead
- 96
- Total
- 45,951
- vs nation
- D+2.7
- Lead
- 2,355
- Total
- 38,282
- vs nation
- D+5.6
- Lead
- 4,558
- Total
- 32,582
- vs nation
- D+5.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 93,4602024 5-year
- Population density
- 310 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 301 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,8842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 97, MI · twin score 92.9
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 30th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.2%
16,833 votes · D+40.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 62.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
62.0%
33,825 votes · R+25.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 61.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
24,842votes
52.6% of the vote · D+6.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 23,033 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
33,825votes
62.0% of the vote · R+25.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 31,477 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+18.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +11.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+40.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +25.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.5%17,399 | 66.5%34,533 | 51,932 |
| 2020 | R | 38.7%19,551 | 61.3%31,003 | 50,554 |
Carrying a 25.5-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, this northwest Michigan district combines small inland towns with a sparse, predominantly white rural population that has shifted steadily toward GOP candidates over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.5 points.
A population of 93,460, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,884 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 97 and State House District 98.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 30th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.