- Lead
- 24,783
- Total
- 91,356
- vs nation
- R+25.7
- Turnout
- 75.6%
Monroe County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.6% of 121,559 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 19,735
- Total
- 87,148
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- 75.2%
- Lead
- 16,398
- Total
- 74,655
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- 65.6%
- Lead
- 717
- Total
- 73,095
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,322
- Total
- 76,422
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,381
- Total
- 74,132
- vs nation
- D+0.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,615
- Total
- 61,795
- vs nation
- D+3.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,394
- Total
- 52,529
- vs nation
- D+3.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 155,5052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,3352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+27.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Clair County, MI · twin score 89.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.6%91,929 participants ÷ 121,559 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 58.0%–62.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 75,319 | 114,892 | 65.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 66,733 | 115,674 | 57.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 87,687 | 116,659 | 75.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 69,672 | 121,001 | 57.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 91,929 | 121,559 | 75.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
127 precincts · 91,356 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Erie Township, Precinct 1Erie Township, Precinct 1 | 852 | 1,687 | 29 | 2,568 | 33.2% | 65.7% | R+32.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Raisinville Township, Precinct 2Raisinville Township, Precinct 2 | 768 | 1,372 | 25 | 2,165 | 35.5% | 63.4% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -City of Monroe, Precinct 5City of Monroe, Precinct 5 | 1,004 | 1,053 | 51 | 2,108 | 47.6% | 50.0% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -Dundee Township, Precinct 3Dundee Township, Precinct 3 | 733 | 1,320 | 33 | 2,086 | 35.1% | 63.3% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -Summerfield Township, Precinct 1Summerfield Township, Precinct 1 | 567 | 1,455 | 35 | 2,057 | 27.6% | 70.7% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -Monroe Township, Precinct 5Monroe Township, Precinct 5 | 698 | 1,325 | 27 | 2,050 | 34.0% | 64.6% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -City of Monroe, Precinct 4City of Monroe, Precinct 4 | 869 | 1,092 | 37 | 1,998 | 43.5% | 54.7% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -Ash Township, Precinct 2Ash Township, Precinct 2 | 610 | 1,342 | 25 | 1,977 | 30.9% | 67.9% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 6Bedford Township, Precinct 6 | 734 | 1,202 | 30 | 1,966 | 37.3% | 61.1% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -Berlin Township, Precinct 2Berlin Township, Precinct 2 | 585 | 1,278 | 27 | 1,890 | 31.0% | 67.6% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Township, Precinct 7Frenchtown Township, Precinct 7 | 686 | 1,150 | 20 | 1,856 | 37.0% | 62.0% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -London Township, Precinct 1London Township, Precinct 1 | 557 | 1,282 | 16 | 1,855 | 30.0% | 69.1% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -Raisinville Township, Precinct 1Raisinville Township, Precinct 1 | 485 | 1,347 | 23 | 1,855 | 26.1% | 72.6% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -La Salle Township, Precinct 2La Salle Township, Precinct 2 | 501 | 1,240 | 27 | 1,768 | 28.3% | 70.1% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 4Bedford Township, Precinct 4 | 650 | 1,090 | 18 | 1,758 | 37.0% | 62.0% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 11Bedford Township, Precinct 11 | 566 | 1,140 | 31 | 1,737 | 32.6% | 65.6% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -Ash Township, Precinct 1Ash Township, Precinct 1 | 548 | 1,152 | 36 | 1,736 | 31.6% | 66.4% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -Ida Township, Precinct 1Ida Township, Precinct 1 | 461 | 1,212 | 31 | 1,704 | 27.1% | 71.1% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -Dundee Township, Precinct 2Dundee Township, Precinct 2 | 638 | 997 | 27 | 1,662 | 38.4% | 60.0% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -City of Monroe, Precinct 1City of Monroe, Precinct 1 | 756 | 862 | 27 | 1,645 | 46.0% | 52.4% | R+6.4 |
| Precinct -Berlin Township, Precinct 4Berlin Township, Precinct 4 | 499 | 1,126 | 19 | 1,644 | 30.4% | 68.5% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -City of Monroe, Precinct 6City of Monroe, Precinct 6 | 733 | 886 | 25 | 1,644 | 44.6% | 53.9% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -Whiteford Township, Precinct 1Whiteford Township, Precinct 1 | 480 | 1,069 | 24 | 1,573 | 30.5% | 68.0% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -Berlin Township, Precinct 1Berlin Township, Precinct 1 | 468 | 1,074 | 23 | 1,565 | 29.9% | 68.6% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 8Bedford Township, Precinct 8 | 655 | 894 | 15 | 1,564 | 41.9% | 57.2% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct -Monroe Township, Precinct 4Monroe Township, Precinct 4 | 590 | 920 | 26 | 1,536 | 38.4% | 59.9% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 5Bedford Township, Precinct 5 | 630 | 864 | 26 | 1,520 | 41.4% | 56.8% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -Ash Township, Precinct 3Ash Township, Precinct 3 | 415 | 1,080 | 14 | 1,509 | 27.5% | 71.6% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 13Bedford Township, Precinct 13 | 577 | 907 | 17 | 1,501 | 38.4% | 60.4% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct -Ida Township, Precinct 2Ida Township, Precinct 2 | 460 | 1,009 | 24 | 1,493 | 30.8% | 67.6% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -Exeter Township, Precinct 2Exeter Township, Precinct 2 | 460 | 1,017 | 14 | 1,491 | 30.9% | 68.2% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 7Bedford Township, Precinct 7 | 604 | 840 | 15 | 1,459 | 41.4% | 57.6% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Township, Precinct 6Frenchtown Township, Precinct 6 | 513 | 931 | 15 | 1,459 | 35.2% | 63.8% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 2Bedford Township, Precinct 2 | 562 | 860 | 25 | 1,447 | 38.8% | 59.4% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 3Bedford Township, Precinct 3 | 499 | 870 | 24 | 1,393 | 35.8% | 62.5% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Township, Precinct 5Frenchtown Township, Precinct 5 | 536 | 821 | 20 | 1,377 | 38.9% | 59.6% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct -La Salle Township, Precinct 1La Salle Township, Precinct 1 | 372 | 973 | 28 | 1,373 | 27.1% | 70.9% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -Whiteford Township, Precinct 2Whiteford Township, Precinct 2 | 346 | 994 | 18 | 1,358 | 25.5% | 73.2% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Township, Precinct 4Frenchtown Township, Precinct 4 | 556 | 780 | 12 | 1,348 | 41.2% | 57.9% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -City of Monroe, Precinct 2City of Monroe, Precinct 2 | 612 | 694 | 21 | 1,327 | 46.1% | 52.3% | R+6.2 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 12Bedford Township, Precinct 12 | 550 | 717 | 36 | 1,303 | 42.2% | 55.0% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct -Monroe Township, Precinct 6Monroe Township, Precinct 6 | 443 | 819 | 17 | 1,279 | 34.6% | 64.0% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 14Bedford Township, Precinct 14 | 525 | 714 | 17 | 1,256 | 41.8% | 56.8% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct -City of Milan, Precinct 1City of Milan, Precinct 1 | 641 | 591 | 18 | 1,250 | 51.3% | 47.3% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Township, Precinct 9Frenchtown Township, Precinct 9 | 489 | 743 | 14 | 1,246 | 39.2% | 59.6% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Township, Precinct 8Frenchtown Township, Precinct 8 | 383 | 809 | 22 | 1,214 | 31.5% | 66.6% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -Dundee Township, Precinct 1Dundee Township, Precinct 1 | 495 | 690 | 19 | 1,204 | 41.1% | 57.3% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct -Exeter Township, Precinct 1Exeter Township, Precinct 1 | 333 | 808 | 15 | 1,156 | 28.8% | 69.9% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Township, Precinct 3Frenchtown Township, Precinct 3 | 370 | 741 | 3 | 1,114 | 33.2% | 66.5% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -Monroe Township, Precinct 1Monroe Township, Precinct 1 | 464 | 596 | 16 | 1,076 | 43.1% | 55.4% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct -Berlin Township, Precinct 3Berlin Township, Precinct 3 | 335 | 709 | 14 | 1,058 | 31.7% | 67.0% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 10Bedford Township, Precinct 10 | 330 | 676 | 10 | 1,016 | 32.5% | 66.5% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -Milan Township, Precinct 1Milan Township, Precinct 1 | 331 | 649 | 17 | 997 | 33.2% | 65.1% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 9Bedford Township, Precinct 9 | 377 | 593 | 13 | 983 | 38.4% | 60.3% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Township, Precinct 2Frenchtown Township, Precinct 2 | 296 | 594 | 10 | 900 | 32.9% | 66.0% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Township, Precinct 1Frenchtown Township, Precinct 1 | 271 | 610 | 17 | 898 | 30.2% | 67.9% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -Monroe Township, Precinct 3Monroe Township, Precinct 3 | 322 | 557 | 15 | 894 | 36.0% | 62.3% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -Monroe Township, Precinct 2Monroe Township, Precinct 2 | 351 | 462 | 9 | 822 | 42.7% | 56.2% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct -Bedford Township, Precinct 1Bedford Township, Precinct 1 | 240 | 559 | 10 | 809 | 29.7% | 69.1% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -City of Monroe, Precinct 3NCity of Monroe, Precinct 3N | 365 | 409 | 14 | 788 | 46.3% | 51.9% | R+5.6 |
| Precinct -City of Luna Pier, Precinct 1City of Luna Pier, Precinct 1 | 306 | 438 | 20 | 764 | 40.1% | 57.3% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -City of Petersburg, Precinct 1City of Petersburg, Precinct 1 | 229 | 440 | 12 | 681 | 33.6% | 64.6% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -City of Monroe, Precinct 3SCity of Monroe, Precinct 3S | 341 | 274 | 11 | 626 | 54.5% | 43.8% | D+10.7 |
| 1150368000001115-03680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150368000002115-03680-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150368000003115-03680-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000001115-06740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000002115-06740-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000003115-06740-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000004115-06740-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000005115-06740-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000006115-06740-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000007115-06740-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000008115-06740-00008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000009115-06740-00009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000010115-06740-00010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000011115-06740-00011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000012115-06740-00012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000013115-06740-00013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150674000014115-06740-00014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150772000001115-07720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150772000002115-07720-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150772000003115-07720-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1150772000004115-07720-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1152340000001115-23400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1152340000002115-23400-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1152340000003115-23400-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1152632000001115-26320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1152632000002115-26320-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1152688000001115-26880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1152688000002115-26880-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1153082000001115-30820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1153082000002115-30820-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1153082000003115-30820-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1153082000004115-30820-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1153082000005115-30820-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1153082000006115-30820-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1153082000007115-30820-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1153082000008115-30820-00008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1153082000009115-30820-00009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
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| 1154026000002115-40260-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
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| 1154626000002115-46260-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
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| 1155502000002115-55020-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1155502000004115-55020-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1155502000005115-55020-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1155502000006115-55020-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 115550200003N115-55020-0003N | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
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| 1155504000004115-55040-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1155504000005115-55040-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1155504000006115-55040-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
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| 1156690000001115-66900-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1156690000002115-66900-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
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Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +12.2% |
| 1896 | +1.8% |
| 1900 | −0.2% |
| 1904 | −16.5% |
| 1908 | −9.5% |
| 1912 | +10.2% |
| 1916 | +5.1% |
| 1920 | −24.3% |
| 1924 | −25.7% |
| 1928 | −16.9% |
| 1932 | +25.8% |
| 1936 | +12.9% |
| 1940 | −13.2% |
| 1944 | −13.4% |
| 1948 | −2.9% |
| 1952 | −14.6% |
| 1956 | −13.1% |
| 1960 | +2.8% |
| 1964 | +39.4% |
| 1968 | +8.2% |
| 1972 | −13.0% |
| 1976 | +5.9% |
| 1980 | −10.1% |
| 1984 | −19.9% |
| 1988 | −9.0% |
| 1992 | +8.0% |
| 1996 | +12.2% |
| 2000 | +4.2% |
| 2004 | −1.9% |
| 2008 | +4.3% |
| 2012 | +1.0% |
| 2016 | −22.0% |
| 2020 | −22.6% |
| 2024 | −27.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.4%28,921 | 66.6%57,597 | 86,518 |
| 2020 | R | 38.7%32,539 | 61.3%51,619 | 84,158 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 118,691 |
| 2018 | 118,486 |
| 2020 | 130,899 |
| 2022 | 133,456 |
| 2024 | 137,306 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+530 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −17 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,895 in average income, against $78,769 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+18.6 on average — 46 points more Democratic-leaning than Monroe County, MI itself (R+27.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wayne County, MI1,111D+29.0
- Lucas County, OH618D+12.6
- Washtenaw County, MI278D+44.4
- Lenawee County, MI166R+23.0
- Oakland County, MI102D+10.6
- Macomb County, MI64R+13.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wayne County, MI926
- Lucas County, OH662
- Washtenaw County, MI230
- Lenawee County, MI167
- Oakland County, MI113
- Wood County, OH76
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −806 |
| 2012 | −936 |
| 2013 | −836 |
| 2014 | −419 |
| 2015 | −582 |
| 2016 | −296 |
| 2017 | +281 |
| 2018 | +777 |
| 2019 | +369 |
| 2021 | +851 |
| 2022 | +190 |
| 2023 | +281 |
| 2024 | +579 |
| 2025 | +530 |
Monroe County shifted sharply rightward over the past decade, posting an R+27 margin in 2024 after splitting more evenly in earlier cycles — a pattern common to blue-collar, majority-white counties along the western Lake Erie shore.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 27.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.1 points.
A population of 155,505, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,335 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Clair County and Bay County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Monroe County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.