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Akashic

state house district

Michigan 34th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German24.6%17.7%12.5%

English16.5%10.5%9.5%

American12.1%4.2%5.3%

Irish11.1%9.9%9.4%

Polish4.7%7.2%2.2%

Italian3.2%4.2%4.8%

French2.8%3.0%1.6%

Scottish2.0%—1.3%

Mexican7.3%4.0%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.8%0.5%1.8%

Spaniard0.2%——

Spanish0.2%——

African American†2.6%12.2%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MI HD 34	Michigan	United States
Median age	42.7	40.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.9%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.3%	18.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MI HD 34	Michigan	United States
Median household income	$70,491	$72,875	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.5%	13.2%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	22.7%	32.6%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MI HD 34	Michigan	United States
Owner-occupied homes	79.2%	73.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	20.8%	26.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$199,100	$231,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$991	$1,129	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	47.2%	50.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	11.2%	11.8%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MI HD 34	Michigan	United States
Mean commute	27.5 min	24.2 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	11.0%	6.0%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	78.8%	74.3%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.3%	0.9%	3.2%
Works from home	9.3%	13.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MI HD 34	Michigan	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.8%	10.4%	22.3%
Spanish	3.4%	3.1%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MI HD 34	Michigan	United States
Catholic	—	14.8%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	12.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	60.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MI HD 34	Michigan	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.3%	7.2%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.2%	4.1%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.1%	3.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.7%	5.8%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.413	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic38.5%19,696TrumpRepublican60.1%30,758OtherAll other candidates1.4%701

R+21.6

Lead: 11,062
Total: 51,155
vs nation: R+20.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic40.0%19,820TrumpRepublican58.4%28,948OtherAll other candidates1.7%839

R+18.4

Lead: 9,128
Total: 49,607
vs nation: R+22.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic36.8%15,832TrumpRepublican56.5%24,291OtherAll other candidates6.7%2,880

R+19.7

Lead: 8,459
Total: 43,003
vs nation: R+21.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic49.2%20,582RomneyRepublican49.1%20,537OtherAll other candidates1.7%707

D+0.1

Lead: 45
Total: 41,826
vs nation: R+3.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic52.2%23,276McCainRepublican45.8%20,419OtherAll other candidates2.0%904

D+6.4

Lead: 2,857
Total: 44,599
vs nation: R+0.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic44.9%19,639BushRepublican53.9%23,582OtherAll other candidates1.2%515

R+9.0

Lead: 3,943
Total: 43,736
vs nation: R+6.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic46.6%17,383BushRepublican50.9%19,000OtherAll other candidates2.5%951

R+4.3

Lead: 1,617
Total: 37,334
vs nation: R+4.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic48.2%16,002DoleRepublican39.2%13,004OtherAll other candidates12.5%4,161

D+9.0

Lead: 2,998
Total: 33,167
vs nation: D+0.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+21.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 92,3712024 5-year
Population density: 142 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 652 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $70,4912024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 83.1%2024 5-year
Black: 2.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 8.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+20.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+53.5 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 71, MI · twin score 93.7

presidential history

Party record book

Michigan 34th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

60.1%

15,897 votes · D+20.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 52.2%

Republican

Herbert Hoover1928

76.4%

13,588 votes · R+53.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 72.2%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

23,276votes

52.2% of the vote · D+6.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 20,582 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

30,758votes

60.1% of the vote · R+21.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 28,948 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1900

+2.3pts D vs U.S.

Place R+5.2 · U.S. R+7.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +0.5 pts

Republican

Wendell Willkie1940

+49.6pts R vs U.S.

Place R+39.6 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +47.5 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RNancy Jenkins-ArnoState House · 34

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	35.7%17,674	64.3%31,878	49,552
2020	R	38.9%19,180	61.1%30,102	49,282

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+21.6, this district of roughly 92,000 residents trends well above the statewide Republican baseline, reflecting the rural and small-town demographics typical of west-central Michigan.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.6 points.

A population of 92,371, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,491 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 71 and State House District 67.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 71

12-yr trendelasticitycollege share≠ American ancestry

State House District 67

12-yr trendcollege share2020 margin≠ American ancestry

State House District 101

12-yr trendelasticity% unaffiliated≠ American ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Michigan 34th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26034/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Places within Michigan 34th State House District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did Michigan 34th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Michigan 34th State House District voted Republican by 21.6 points (R+21.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 51,155 votes cast, 19,696 went Democratic and 30,758 went Republican.

When did Michigan 34th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Michigan 34th State House District voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Michigan 34th State House District?

Michigan 34th State House District has a population of 92,371 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Michigan 34th State House District?

Median household income in Michigan 34th State House District is $70,491 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.

What is the political history of Michigan 34th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Michigan 34th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.