- Lead
- 2,460
- Total
- 22,851
- vs nation
- R+9.3
- Turnout
- 83.0%
Emmet County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 83.0% of 27,778 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,473
- Total
- 22,177
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- 83.9%
- Lead
- 3,644
- Total
- 18,994
- vs nation
- R+21.3
- Turnout
- 74.1%
- Lead
- 3,028
- Total
- 17,765
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 799
- Total
- 18,149
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,486
- Total
- 17,372
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,151
- Total
- 14,711
- vs nation
- R+21.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,110
- Total
- 12,580
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,1252024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,1122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grand Traverse County, MI · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 83.0%23,042 participants ÷ 27,778 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 69.0%–73.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,239 | 25,976 | 74.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,134 | 26,252 | 69.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 22,307 | 26,577 | 83.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 19,338 | 27,633 | 70.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 23,042 | 27,778 | 83.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
44 precincts · 22,851 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Bear Creek Township, Precinct 2Bear Creek Township, Precinct 2 | 918 | 1,356 | 36 | 2,310 | 39.7% | 58.7% | R+19.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Bear Creek Township, Precinct 1Bear Creek Township, Precinct 1 | 997 | 1,035 | 32 | 2,064 | 48.3% | 50.1% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -Resort Township, Precinct 1Resort Township, Precinct 1 | 863 | 1,118 | 34 | 2,015 | 42.8% | 55.5% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -Little Traverse Township, Precinct 1Little Traverse Township, Precinct 1 | 799 | 1,007 | 47 | 1,853 | 43.1% | 54.3% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -Littlefield Township, Precinct 1Littlefield Township, Precinct 1 | 744 | 1,043 | 36 | 1,823 | 40.8% | 57.2% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -Springvale Township, Precinct 1Springvale Township, Precinct 1 | 546 | 970 | 28 | 1,544 | 35.4% | 62.8% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -West Traverse Township, Precinct 1West Traverse Township, Precinct 1 | 656 | 829 | 17 | 1,502 | 43.7% | 55.2% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -City of Petoskey, Ward 3, Precinct 1City of Petoskey, Ward 3, Precinct 1 | 559 | 544 | 19 | 1,122 | 49.8% | 48.5% | D+1.3 |
| Precinct -City of Harbor Springs, Precinct 1City of Harbor Springs, Precinct 1 | 469 | 437 | 15 | 921 | 50.9% | 47.4% | D+3.5 |
| Precinct -City of Petoskey, Ward 2, Precinct 1City of Petoskey, Ward 2, Precinct 1 | 553 | 332 | 13 | 898 | 61.6% | 37.0% | D+24.6 |
| Precinct -Maple River Township, Precinct 1Maple River Township, Precinct 1 | 277 | 514 | 17 | 808 | 34.3% | 63.6% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -City of Petoskey, Ward 1, Precinct 1City of Petoskey, Ward 1, Precinct 1 | 471 | 286 | 9 | 766 | 61.5% | 37.3% | D+24.2 |
| Precinct -City of Petoskey, Ward 4, Precinct 1City of Petoskey, Ward 4, Precinct 1 | 425 | 310 | 16 | 751 | 56.6% | 41.3% | D+15.3 |
| Precinct -McKinley Township, Precinct 1McKinley Township, Precinct 1 | 200 | 498 | 8 | 706 | 28.3% | 70.5% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -Pleasantview Township, Precinct 1Pleasantview Township, Precinct 1 | 294 | 391 | 8 | 693 | 42.4% | 56.4% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct -Friendship Township, Precinct 1Friendship Township, Precinct 1 | 267 | 395 | 9 | 671 | 39.8% | 58.9% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct -Carp Lake Township, Precinct 1Carp Lake Township, Precinct 1 | 178 | 325 | 8 | 511 | 34.8% | 63.6% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -Readmond Township, Precinct 1Readmond Township, Precinct 1 | 213 | 250 | 1 | 464 | 45.9% | 53.9% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -Wawatam Township, Precinct 1Wawatam Township, Precinct 1 | 185 | 249 | 4 | 438 | 42.2% | 56.8% | R+14.6 |
| Precinct -Bliss Township, Precinct 1Bliss Township, Precinct 1 | 162 | 256 | 7 | 425 | 38.1% | 60.2% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -Center Township, Precinct 1Center Township, Precinct 1 | 121 | 214 | 14 | 349 | 34.7% | 61.3% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -Cross Village Township, Precinct 1Cross Village Township, Precinct 1 | 108 | 106 | 3 | 217 | 49.8% | 48.8% | D+0.9 |
| 0470638000001047-06380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0470638000002047-06380-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0470898000001047-08980-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0471350000001047-13500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0471430000005047-14300-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0471890000001047-18900-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0473086000001047-30860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0473656000001047-36560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0474802000001047-48020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0474808000001047-48080-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0475034000001047-50340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0475128000001047-51280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0476382001001047-63820-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0476382002001047-63820-02001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0476382003001047-63820-03001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0476382004001047-63820-04001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0476496000001047-64960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0476754000001047-67540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0476806000014047-68060-00014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0477590000001047-75900-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0478484000001047-84840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0478630000001047-86300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +2.0% |
| 1896 | −12.2% |
| 1900 | −28.6% |
| 1904 | −45.1% |
| 1908 | −34.9% |
| 1912 | +2.7% |
| 1916 | −10.5% |
| 1920 | −44.8% |
| 1924 | −51.5% |
| 1928 | −51.5% |
| 1932 | +3.5% |
| 1936 | +2.8% |
| 1940 | −19.6% |
| 1944 | −23.0% |
| 1948 | −29.2% |
| 1952 | −46.2% |
| 1956 | −42.7% |
| 1960 | −27.4% |
| 1964 | +21.1% |
| 1968 | −23.8% |
| 1972 | −25.8% |
| 1976 | −18.8% |
| 1980 | −20.0% |
| 1984 | −40.7% |
| 1988 | −25.8% |
| 1992 | −8.1% |
| 1996 | −8.8% |
| 2000 | −21.4% |
| 2004 | −20.1% |
| 2008 | −4.4% |
| 2012 | −17.0% |
| 2016 | −19.2% |
| 2020 | −11.2% |
| 2024 | −10.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 43.3%9,532 | 56.7%12,460 | 21,992 |
| 2020 | R | 39.4%8,496 | 60.6%13,069 | 21,565 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 28,547 |
| 2018 | 28,690 |
| 2020 | 30,665 |
| 2022 | 31,032 |
| 2024 | 31,242 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−7 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,573 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $105,170 in average income, against $100,377 for residents who stayed — 5% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.9 on average — 2.1 points more Republican-leaning than Emmet County, MI itself (R+10.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Charlevoix County, MI128R+16.9
- Cheboygan County, MI113R+31.1
- Oakland County, MI55D+10.6
- Grand Traverse County, MI30R+1.7
- Kent County, MI30D+5.4
- Wayne County, MI27D+29.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cheboygan County, MI126
- Charlevoix County, MI122
- Kent County, MI53
- Oakland County, MI44
- Otsego County, MI44
- Grand Traverse County, MI37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +47 |
| 2012 | +83 |
| 2013 | +146 |
| 2014 | +110 |
| 2015 | +19 |
| 2016 | +3 |
| 2017 | +276 |
| 2018 | +189 |
| 2019 | +207 |
| 2021 | +347 |
| 2022 | +73 |
| 2023 | +11 |
| 2024 | +69 |
| 2025 | −7 |
Home to Petoskey and the northern Lake Michigan shoreline, Emmet County draws a mix of retirees and seasonal residents whose presence complicates simple rural-red categorizations, even as the county delivered a 10.8-point Republican margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.5 points in 1924. The 2024 margin was 10.8 points.
A population of 34,125, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,112 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grand Traverse County and Leelanau County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Emmet County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.