- Lead
- 13,259
- Total
- 38,625
- vs nation
- R+32.9
- Turnout
- 79.7%
Barry County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.7% of 48,753 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 11,674
- Total
- 35,905
- vs nation
- R+37.0
- Turnout
- 76.9%
- Lead
- 10,088
- Total
- 30,517
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Turnout
- 68.0%
- Lead
- 5,164
- Total
- 28,617
- vs nation
- R+21.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,982
- Total
- 30,565
- vs nation
- R+17.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,326
- Total
- 30,272
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,947
- Total
- 26,244
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,672
- Total
- 23,120
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 63,4092024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,5002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kalkaska County, MI · twin score 87.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.7%38,848 participants ÷ 48,753 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 66.5%–68.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 30,745 | 45,216 | 68.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 27,209 | 46,095 | 59.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 36,146 | 47,008 | 76.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 30,895 | 48,492 | 63.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 38,848 | 48,753 | 79.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
48 precincts · 38,625 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Irving Township, Precinct 1Irving Township, Precinct 1 | 658 | 1,731 | 36 | 2,425 | 27.1% | 71.4% | R+44.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Orangeville Township, Precinct 1Orangeville Township, Precinct 1 | 637 | 1,474 | 28 | 2,139 | 29.8% | 68.9% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -Prairieville Township, Precinct 1Prairieville Township, Precinct 1 | 847 | 1,261 | 24 | 2,132 | 39.7% | 59.1% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -Barry Township, Precinct 1Barry Township, Precinct 1 | 716 | 1,331 | 46 | 2,093 | 34.2% | 63.6% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -Thornapple Township, Precinct 1Thornapple Township, Precinct 1 | 572 | 1,486 | 30 | 2,088 | 27.4% | 71.2% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -Hope Township, Precinct 1Hope Township, Precinct 1 | 650 | 1,349 | 37 | 2,036 | 31.9% | 66.3% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -Yankee Springs Township, Precinct 1Yankee Springs Township, Precinct 1 | 598 | 1,381 | 31 | 2,010 | 29.8% | 68.7% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct -Thornapple Township, Precinct 2Thornapple Township, Precinct 2 | 575 | 1,286 | 33 | 1,894 | 30.4% | 67.9% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -Hastings Township, Precinct 1Hastings Township, Precinct 1 | 557 | 1,307 | 17 | 1,881 | 29.6% | 69.5% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Johnstown Township, Precinct 1Johnstown Township, Precinct 1 | 555 | 1,297 | 28 | 1,880 | 29.5% | 69.0% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -Thornapple Township, Precinct 3Thornapple Township, Precinct 3 | 687 | 1,145 | 32 | 1,864 | 36.9% | 61.4% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -Castleton Township, Precinct 1Castleton Township, Precinct 1 | 457 | 1,161 | 17 | 1,635 | 28.0% | 71.0% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -Rutland Township, Precinct 2Rutland Township, Precinct 2 | 605 | 948 | 26 | 1,579 | 38.3% | 60.0% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -Carlton Township, Precinct 1Carlton Township, Precinct 1 | 466 | 1,096 | 16 | 1,578 | 29.5% | 69.5% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Yankee Springs Township, Precinct 2Yankee Springs Township, Precinct 2 | 490 | 1,016 | 18 | 1,524 | 32.2% | 66.7% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -Assyria Township, Precinct 1Assyria Township, Precinct 1 | 320 | 970 | 14 | 1,304 | 24.5% | 74.4% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -Woodland Township, Precinct 1Woodland Township, Precinct 1 | 382 | 900 | 20 | 1,302 | 29.3% | 69.1% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -Rutland Township, Precinct 1Rutland Township, Precinct 1 | 384 | 775 | 18 | 1,177 | 32.6% | 65.8% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -Baltimore Township, Precinct 1Baltimore Township, Precinct 1 | 292 | 836 | 13 | 1,141 | 25.6% | 73.3% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -City of Hastings, Precinct 1City of Hastings, Precinct 1 | 500 | 573 | 26 | 1,099 | 45.5% | 52.1% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -City of Hastings, Precinct 4City of Hastings, Precinct 4 | 479 | 566 | 16 | 1,061 | 45.1% | 53.3% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct -City of Hastings, Precinct 2City of Hastings, Precinct 2 | 403 | 579 | 18 | 1,000 | 40.3% | 57.9% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -City of Hastings, Precinct 3City of Hastings, Precinct 3 | 371 | 534 | 24 | 929 | 39.9% | 57.5% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct -Maple Grove Township, Precinct 1Maple Grove Township, Precinct 1 | 190 | 648 | 16 | 854 | 22.2% | 75.9% | R+53.6 |
| 0150386000001015-03860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0150502000001015-05020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0150556000001015-05560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0151334000001015-13340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0151396000001015-13960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0153712000001015-37120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0153712000002015-37120-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0153712000003015-37120-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0153712000004015-37120-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0153714000001015-37140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0153912000001015-39120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0154112000001015-41120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0154186000001015-41860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0155096000001015-50960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0156098000001015-60980-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0156626000001015-66260-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0157042000001015-70420-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0157042000002015-70420-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0157962000001015-79620-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0157962000002015-79620-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0157962000003015-79620-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0158844000001015-88440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0158902000001015-89020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0158902000002015-89020-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −18.2% |
| 1896 | −2.1% |
| 1900 | −6.2% |
| 1904 | −31.9% |
| 1908 | −19.8% |
| 1912 | +3.9% |
| 1916 | −11.4% |
| 1920 | −45.0% |
| 1924 | −45.1% |
| 1928 | −60.6% |
| 1932 | −1.5% |
| 1936 | −11.6% |
| 1940 | −37.7% |
| 1944 | −39.7% |
| 1948 | −33.7% |
| 1952 | −46.4% |
| 1956 | −40.9% |
| 1960 | −35.5% |
| 1964 | +19.0% |
| 1968 | −21.3% |
| 1972 | −30.2% |
| 1976 | −22.9% |
| 1980 | −24.9% |
| 1984 | −41.2% |
| 1988 | −22.1% |
| 1992 | −3.4% |
| 1996 | −7.2% |
| 2000 | −22.7% |
| 2004 | −24.2% |
| 2008 | −9.8% |
| 2012 | −18.0% |
| 2016 | −33.1% |
| 2020 | −32.5% |
| 2024 | −34.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 45,336 |
| 2018 | 45,691 |
| 2020 | 49,912 |
| 2022 | 51,487 |
| 2024 | 53,002 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−43 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,043 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $70,488 in average income, against $82,967 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.7 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Barry County, MI itself (R+34.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Kent County, MI516D+5.4
- Allegan County, MI206R+27.2
- Kalamazoo County, MI149D+17.7
- Calhoun County, MI104R+14.0
- Eaton County, MI81R+3.1
- Ionia County, MI67R+31.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Kent County, MI358
- Allegan County, MI165
- Kalamazoo County, MI159
- Calhoun County, MI152
- Eaton County, MI110
- Ionia County, MI80
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −326 |
| 2012 | −42 |
| 2013 | +2 |
| 2014 | +69 |
| 2015 | +6 |
| 2016 | +269 |
| 2017 | +789 |
| 2018 | +463 |
| 2019 | +258 |
| 2021 | +599 |
| 2022 | +420 |
| 2023 | +491 |
| 2024 | +88 |
| 2025 | −43 |
Barry County has delivered double-digit Republican presidential margins for decades, and its 2024 result of R+34.3 reflects a largely white, small-town electorate concentrated around Hastings with minimal urban counterweight.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.6 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.3 points.
A population of 63,409, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,500 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kalkaska County and Ionia County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Barry County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.