HarrisDemocratic61.4%49,413TrumpRepublican38.0%30,616OliverLibertarian0.3%255
D+23.4- Lead
- 18,797
- Total
- 80,491
- vs nation
- D+24.8
- Turnout
- 54.5%
Akashiccounty
Muscogee County, GA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.5% of 149,125 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic61.5%49,529TrumpRepublican37.3%30,049JorgensenLibertarian1.2%965
D+24.2- Lead
- 19,480
- Total
- 80,543
- vs nation
- D+19.7
- Turnout
- 56.8%
ClintonDemocratic57.3%39,851TrumpRepublican38.8%26,976JohnsonLibertarian2.6%1,831
D+18.5- Lead
- 12,875
- Total
- 69,525
- vs nation
- D+16.4
- Turnout
- 47.6%
ObamaDemocratic60.2%42,573RomneyRepublican38.9%27,510OtherAll other candidates0.9%632
D+21.3- Lead
- 15,063
- Total
- 70,715
- vs nation
- D+17.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic59.6%44,158McCainRepublican39.9%29,568OtherAll other candidates0.5%339
D+19.7- Lead
- 14,590
- Total
- 74,065
- vs nation
- D+12.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic51.3%32,867BushRepublican48.2%30,850OtherAll other candidates0.5%335
D+3.1- Lead
- 2,017
- Total
- 64,052
- vs nation
- D+5.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic54.0%28,193BushRepublican45.0%23,479NaderGreen0.5%243
D+9.0- Lead
- 4,714
- Total
- 52,163
- vs nation
- D+8.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.8%24,867DoleRepublican41.9%19,360PerotReform4.1%1,891
D+11.9- Lead
- 5,507
- Total
- 46,248
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+23.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 203,7112024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,0732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 46.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bibb County, GA · twin score 98.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 54.5%81,218 participants ÷ 149,125 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.8%–44.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 69,525 | 146,004 | 47.6% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 63,392 | 143,464 | 44.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 81,265 | 143,164 | 56.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 60,131 | 149,904 | 40.1% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 81,218 | 149,125 | 54.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 80,491 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -127127 | 3,208 | 2,962 | 37 | 6,207 | 51.7% | 47.7% | D+4.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -120120 | 2,690 | 3,127 | 38 | 5,855 | 45.9% | 53.4% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -106106 | 2,247 | 2,850 | 41 | 5,138 | 43.7% | 55.5% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct -108108 | 1,767 | 3,236 | 40 | 5,043 | 35.0% | 64.2% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -116116 | 3,710 | 589 | 19 | 4,318 | 85.9% | 13.6% | D+72.3 |
| Precinct -112112 | 3,202 | 818 | 13 | 4,033 | 79.4% | 20.3% | D+59.1 |
| Precinct -118118 | 1,836 | 2,155 | 28 | 4,019 | 45.7% | 53.6% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct -115115 | 3,074 | 705 | 14 | 3,793 | 81.0% | 18.6% | D+62.5 |
| Precinct -117117 | 2,154 | 1,606 | 31 | 3,791 | 56.8% | 42.4% | D+14.5 |
| Precinct -113113 | 3,369 | 296 | 20 | 3,685 | 91.4% | 8.0% | D+83.4 |
| Precinct -119119 | 1,494 | 2,037 | 26 | 3,557 | 42.0% | 57.3% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct -103103 | 2,917 | 244 | 7 | 3,168 | 92.1% | 7.7% | D+84.4 |
| Precinct -101101 | 2,131 | 678 | 15 | 2,824 | 75.5% | 24.0% | D+51.5 |
| Precinct -114114 | 2,372 | 265 | 8 | 2,645 | 89.7% | 10.0% | D+79.7 |
| Precinct -124124 | 1,198 | 1,366 | 28 | 2,592 | 46.2% | 52.7% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct -110110 | 2,311 | 182 | 6 | 2,499 | 92.5% | 7.3% | D+85.2 |
| Precinct -105105 | 1,036 | 1,353 | 14 | 2,403 | 43.1% | 56.3% | R+13.2 |
| Precinct -121121 | 1,216 | 999 | 9 | 2,224 | 54.7% | 44.9% | D+9.8 |
| Precinct -107107 | 1,052 | 1,150 | 10 | 2,212 | 47.6% | 52.0% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct -109109 | 725 | 1,417 | 19 | 2,161 | 33.5% | 65.6% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -102102 | 1,943 | 164 | 6 | 2,113 | 92.0% | 7.8% | D+84.2 |
| Precinct -126126 | 1,372 | 696 | 9 | 2,077 | 66.1% | 33.5% | D+32.5 |
| Precinct -104104 | 768 | 1,031 | 17 | 1,816 | 42.3% | 56.8% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct -125125 | 891 | 385 | 2 | 1,278 | 69.7% | 30.1% | D+39.6 |
| Precinct -122122 | 730 | 305 | 5 | 1,040 | 70.2% | 29.3% | D+40.9 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +57.3% |
| 1896 | +43.2% |
| 1900 | +64.0% |
| 1904 | +78.8% |
| 1908 | +52.0% |
| 1912 | +82.9% |
| 1916 | +86.7% |
| 1920 | +86.3% |
| 1924 | +76.6% |
| 1928 | +14.3% |
| 1932 | +86.8% |
| 1936 | +83.2% |
| 1940 | +76.9% |
| 1944 | +65.7% |
| 1948 | +34.1% |
| 1952 | +17.9% |
| 1956 | −0.1% |
| 1960 | −5.7% |
| 1964 | −25.6% |
| 1968 | −10.4% |
| 1972 | −55.1% |
| 1976 | +28.2% |
| 1980 | +20.4% |
| 1984 | −6.7% |
| 1988 | −10.2% |
| 1992 | +8.0% |
| 1996 | +11.9% |
| 2000 | +9.0% |
| 2004 | +3.1% |
| 2008 | +19.7% |
| 2012 | +21.3% |
| 2016 | +18.5% |
| 2020 | +24.2% |
| 2024 | +23.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 34 Senate · 5 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 131,070 |
| 2018 | 127,080 |
| 2020 | 136,673 |
| 2022 | 141,435 |
| 2024 | 150,724 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−609 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −19,556 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,430 in average income, against $67,571 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.7 on average — 24 points more Republican-leaning than Muscogee County, GA itself (D+23.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Russell County, AL647D+1.7
- Harris County, GA374R+46.1
- Lee County, AL316R+27.7
- Fulton County, GA165D+44.9
- Chattahoochee County, GA127R+16.5
- DeKalb County, GA103D+64.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Russell County, AL624
- Harris County, GA437
- Lee County, AL391
- Fulton County, GA208
- El Paso County, CO114
- Chattahoochee County, GA113
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2,659 |
| 2012 | +889 |
| 2013 | +2,084 |
| 2014 | −4,589 |
| 2015 | −3,903 |
| 2016 | −4,133 |
| 2017 | −3,617 |
| 2018 | −648 |
| 2019 | +544 |
| 2021 | −2,191 |
| 2022 | −3,171 |
| 2023 | −1,612 |
| 2024 | −1,259 |
| 2025 | −609 |
Home to Fort Moore and a majority-minority population, Muscogee has voted Democratic by double digits in every recent presidential cycle, with its 2024 margin of D+23.4 reflecting the county's dense urban core and large Black electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 55.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.4 points.
A population of 203,711, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,073 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bibb County and Richmond County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Bibb County
Georgia
98.4twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Richmond County
Georgia
98.4twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Black
Shelby County
Tennessee
97.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Black
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Muscogee County, Georgia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/13215/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Muscogee County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Muscogee County, Georgia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Muscogee County, Georgia voted Democratic by 23.4 points (D+23.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 80,491 votes cast, 49,413 went Democratic and 30,616 went Republican.
When did Muscogee County, Georgia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Muscogee County, Georgia voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Muscogee County, Georgia?
Muscogee County, Georgia has a population of 203,711 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Muscogee County, Georgia?
Median household income in Muscogee County, Georgia is $58,073 — below the national median of $80,734. The Georgia state median is $77,353.
What is the political history of Muscogee County, Georgia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Muscogee County, Georgia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 27 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.